Skip to comments.Polls:Obama Up by 5 in CO, 6 in MI, 17 in MN, and 13 in WI
Posted on 06/26/2008 11:28:29 AM PDT by maccaca
Bad news for McCain all over the map.
Four surveys conducted by Quinnipiac University for the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, fielded June 17-24
Colorado: Obama 49 - McCain 44, n=1,351 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.7 percent
Michigan: Obama 48 - McCain 42, n=1,411 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.6 percent
Minnesota: Obama 54 - McCain 37, n=1,572 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.5 percent
Wisconsin: Obama 52 - McCain 39, n=1,537 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.5 percent
It is time, McCain!
I don’t think a McCain roadmap includes any of those states.
These guys finished near the absolute bottom of polster rankings in 2006.
It’s only bad news if the election is today.
While hardly surprising, I find it very amusing that a state like MI — a state that seems to be still suffering from a malaise inspired by Jimmy Carter — actually thinks a socialist like Obama can help them.
It’s still mighty early.
Back in 1988, Dukakis had an 18 point lead on GHWB right after the Democratic convention in mid summer.
Polls at this juncture can be misleading and, in the case of this outfit, downright inaccurate.
The Repubs still have a chance to ditch McCain and get a real candidate. Get on with it, Repubs, or be prepared to witness the end of our party.
Whistling past the graveyard. What makes you think Captain Queeg is going to look any better in November? Between now and then the left wing media is going to pull put all the stops for Hussein. If we had a real conservative, or a candidate with some balls, we could fight them. McCain is no conservative, and he wont fight back.
At this point in 1992, Bush had an 8 point lead over Clinton. (Of course, Perot had a 2 point lead on Bush.)
All went Kerry in 2004 I believe... Quinnipiac sht pole to boot. However, only 6 in MI says something whether it’s Quinnipiac or not...
“It’s getting late mighty early around here.”
Nothing too worrisome in these numbers. Bambi got a slight bounce after Hillary! dropped out. The numbers are already settling back down.
Add to that the fact that Quinnipiac is pretty good in the Northeast but terrible everywhere else, and this particular set of numbers means pretty much zero.
Obama has a slight lead right now just like virtually all Democrat candidates do in the summer. If McCain plays this right, and if the GOP-leaning 527s carry his water for him, he still has an excellent chance of winning this in November.
Quinnipiac University pollsters are a propaganda organ for the Dems.
Hey. I’m no McCainiac. I’m an abstainiac!
Chris Matthews has Obama up by ‘hundreds and hundreds’ of points.
This type of poll at this point is absolute garbage.
Meaningless. and wrong.
I’m surprised that Obama isn’t leading by more after all the free publicity he gets from the main stream media he should have at least a 15 point lead in every state.
All things considered, I think the “Messiah” is doing poorly.
Better resurrect more dead voters to vote for him in November.
Actually the bigger Obama’s lead is the easier it will be to turn it around on him.
The longer this goes without Bambi truly pulling away, the more likely a McCain victory. Despite the attempts of a couple of polling outfits to make this look like a blowout, the reality is it is a very close race right now with Obama holding a small lead.
When the 527s start to attack Obama, that will tell the story IMO. If he can withstand the barrage, he could get a close win. I think it is equally possible he will implode under the pressure though.
Bad news for Obamicans, it a Qunnipac poll. They have never been even close to right on Election day. Might as well be quoting a DNC poll as quote Qunnipac
What 527s are going to go after Obama? The vast majority have their sights set on McCain. Besides, though part of McCain-Feingold was overruled, it will still limit them some in that the election is within 60 days of the nomination.
And this is why they do such a poor job.
From their website:
"Ninety minutes from New York City and two hours from Boston, Quinnipiac is located next to picturesque Sleeping Giant Mountain in Hamden, Conn. The campus is home to nearly 5,400 undergraduates and 2,000 graduate students, coming from 24 states and several countries."
Live in the middle of the liberal bastion.
Oh, and they are sooooooo unbiased. These words are emblazoned on the the top of the Quinnipiac U. polling Homepage:
November cant get here soon enough for Sen. Barack Obama. He has a lead everywhere, and if nothing changes between now and November he will make history, said Peter Brown. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml
Do you feel the love?
And the Q. college kiddies doing the "news"
How would the “Repubs” ditch McCain, when he has a committed by rule majority of the delegates? How would you get ANY of those who voted for McCain in the primary to support another candidate once you threw out THEIR votes and their candidate, who won the primaries?
How would you EVER again complain about the undemocratic Democrats if you overturned the results of an election because you weren’t happy with the result?
The time to “replace” McCain was when he was running. Instead, conservatives right here at FR were urging him on to victory in New Hampshire and North Carolina.
Add a few (4-6) points to McCain and subtract a few from Obama for the "Bradley Effect" and Obama would seem to be in some trouble.
Five months of this crap...and that’s all this is ...crap. ,o debates, no nothing yet. Ridiculous.
We won't have nearly as many on our side as the RATs will have on theirs, but ours have typically been very effective with their limited funds (e.g. the Swifties).
The media is giving Obama a free pass. McCain is giving Obama a free pass. Our 527s will not.
I'm betting the attacks will be pretty devastating when they come. There is soooo much material out there to work with.
Gallup has been doing this since FDR. Maybe they know something?
The polling should widen again over the weekend (when people with families will be going to the beach or the mountains) and narrow or cross again next week.
And those states aren't going to change from their commie status this time either. Minnesota and Wisconsin are becoming the butt of so many jokes that the people up there are embarrassed what their legislators are doing.
Minnesota ... illegal to idle your vehicle over 3 minutes. Stupid liberals get what they deserve. Wisconsin said it would follow suit.
They must have polled only Minneapolis and Madison.
Boy, am I confused. I meant that for macca.
Enough already with the Dukakis BS... That was a long time ago... 20 years... You folks are delusional to bring that up... We had an incredibly popular President in Reagan on the stump for Bush... It was a totally different political climate... It’s naive, and dumb to even bring that up. Why don’t you bring up Dole/Clinton, where Clinton was in the lead, and never gave it up?
If they can do a bait-and-switch before the official nomination, and select Romney, they’d be in much better shape.
BINGO! Everything I’ve been saying
Obama is ahead. He isn't ahead by much, but he is ahead.
That means something needs to happen to shake up the race. I am doubtful McCain will go on the attack (although he desperately needs to). I am hopeful the GOP-leaning 527s will be able to get the job done for him.
Most Americans do not agree with Obama's policies, but they need to be informed on what those policies are. Time for our side to get to work.
Were these idiots abused as children.What else could explain this compulsion to oppress? (/Dr. Phil)
They haven’t even had one debate.
Don’t dig up the burial plot yet.
Because Obama isn't an incumbent?
Against Kerry, they had someone to enthusiastically support. They now have McCain and they now feel betrayed by their support of President Bush. I don't know that there will be as much enthusiasm this time.
Are you kidding? Are you aware that lib 527s out-spent GOP 527s 20-1 last year? 20-1!!!
Even if one of them wants to join the effort, McCain will blast them and apologize for them... so what's the point?
Ever heard of the Bradley/Wilder effect?
Just ignore the polls and show up on November 4th to vote.
After that, who else would even think about starting another 527?
Stop wasting your time.