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Polls:Obama Up by 5 in CO, 6 in MI, 17 in MN, and 13 in WI
red state ^

Posted on 06/26/2008 11:28:29 AM PDT by maccaca

Bad news for McCain all over the map.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1188

Four surveys conducted by Quinnipiac University for the Wall Street Journal and the Washington Post, fielded June 17-24

Colorado: Obama 49 - McCain 44, n=1,351 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.7 percent

Michigan: Obama 48 - McCain 42, n=1,411 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.6 percent

Minnesota: Obama 54 - McCain 37, n=1,572 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.5 percent

Wisconsin: Obama 52 - McCain 39, n=1,537 likely voters, margin of sampling error of +/- 2.5 percent

It is time, McCain!


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; co2008; electionpresident; mccainobama; mi2008; mn2008; newbie; quinnipiac; swingstates; troll; wi2008
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1 posted on 06/26/2008 11:28:30 AM PDT by maccaca
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To: maccaca

I don’t think a McCain roadmap includes any of those states.


2 posted on 06/26/2008 11:29:35 AM PDT by saganite
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To: maccaca
Quinnipiac University

These guys finished near the absolute bottom of polster rankings in 2006.

3 posted on 06/26/2008 11:30:53 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: saganite

It’s only bad news if the election is today.


4 posted on 06/26/2008 11:31:24 AM PDT by Misterioso
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To: maccaca
WELCOME TO FREE REPUBLIC!
5 posted on 06/26/2008 11:31:44 AM PDT by Coldwater Creek ( Derek Rose number one NBA draft pick!!!)
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To: maccaca

While hardly surprising, I find it very amusing that a state like MI — a state that seems to be still suffering from a malaise inspired by Jimmy Carter — actually thinks a socialist like Obama can help them.


6 posted on 06/26/2008 11:33:07 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Et si omnes ego non)
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To: maccaca

It’s still mighty early.

Back in 1988, Dukakis had an 18 point lead on GHWB right after the Democratic convention in mid summer.

Polls at this juncture can be misleading and, in the case of this outfit, downright inaccurate.


7 posted on 06/26/2008 11:33:36 AM PDT by RexBeach
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To: maccaca

The Repubs still have a chance to ditch McCain and get a real candidate. Get on with it, Repubs, or be prepared to witness the end of our party.


8 posted on 06/26/2008 11:34:14 AM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: Misterioso

Whistling past the graveyard. What makes you think Captain Queeg is going to look any better in November? Between now and then the left wing media is going to pull put all the stops for Hussein. If we had a real conservative, or a candidate with some balls, we could fight them. McCain is no conservative, and he wont fight back.


9 posted on 06/26/2008 11:34:14 AM PDT by Astronaut
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To: RexBeach

At this point in 1992, Bush had an 8 point lead over Clinton. (Of course, Perot had a 2 point lead on Bush.)


10 posted on 06/26/2008 11:35:05 AM PDT by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: AmericaUnited

All went Kerry in 2004 I believe... Quinnipiac sh•t pole to boot. However, only 6 in MI says something whether it’s Quinnipiac or not...


11 posted on 06/26/2008 11:35:14 AM PDT by johnny7 ("Duck I says... ")
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To: maccaca

“It’s getting late mighty early around here.”
Yogi Berra


12 posted on 06/26/2008 11:35:56 AM PDT by sono (It's a shame the Republicans took a pass on nominating a candidate for President this year.)
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To: Coldwater Creek
It was a pretty feeble post, wasn't it?

Nothing too worrisome in these numbers. Bambi got a slight bounce after Hillary! dropped out. The numbers are already settling back down.

Add to that the fact that Quinnipiac is pretty good in the Northeast but terrible everywhere else, and this particular set of numbers means pretty much zero.

Obama has a slight lead right now just like virtually all Democrat candidates do in the summer. If McCain plays this right, and if the GOP-leaning 527s carry his water for him, he still has an excellent chance of winning this in November.

13 posted on 06/26/2008 11:35:59 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: maccaca

Quinnipiac University pollsters are a propaganda organ for the Dems.


14 posted on 06/26/2008 11:36:26 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Astronaut

Hey. I’m no McCainiac. I’m an abstainiac!


15 posted on 06/26/2008 11:37:04 AM PDT by Misterioso
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To: maccaca

Chris Matthews has Obama up by ‘hundreds and hundreds’ of points.


16 posted on 06/26/2008 11:37:32 AM PDT by xDGx
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To: maccaca; All

This type of poll at this point is absolute garbage.


17 posted on 06/26/2008 11:38:17 AM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: maccaca

Meaningless. and wrong.


18 posted on 06/26/2008 11:39:31 AM PDT by TexanToTheCore (If it ain't Rugby or Bullriding, it's for girls.........................................)
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To: maccaca

I’m surprised that Obama isn’t leading by more after all the free publicity he gets from the main stream media he should have at least a 15 point lead in every state.

All things considered, I think the “Messiah” is doing poorly.

Better resurrect more dead voters to vote for him in November.


19 posted on 06/26/2008 11:39:35 AM PDT by Yankereb
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To: maccaca

Actually the bigger Obama’s lead is the easier it will be to turn it around on him.


20 posted on 06/26/2008 11:42:17 AM PDT by bilhosty
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To: Yankereb
I’m surprised that Obama isn’t leading by more after all the free publicity he gets from the main stream media he should have at least a 15 point lead in every state.

The longer this goes without Bambi truly pulling away, the more likely a McCain victory. Despite the attempts of a couple of polling outfits to make this look like a blowout, the reality is it is a very close race right now with Obama holding a small lead.

When the 527s start to attack Obama, that will tell the story IMO. If he can withstand the barrage, he could get a close win. I think it is equally possible he will implode under the pressure though.

21 posted on 06/26/2008 11:42:54 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: maccaca

http://www.gallup.com/poll/108388/Gallup-Daily-Obama-McCain-Still-Tied-Now-44.aspx


22 posted on 06/26/2008 11:43:20 AM PDT by golfisnr1 (Democrats are like roaches - hard to get rid of.)
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To: maccaca

Bad news for Obamicans, it a Qunnipac poll. They have never been even close to right on Election day. Might as well be quoting a DNC poll as quote Qunnipac


23 posted on 06/26/2008 11:43:55 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (http://www.iraqvetsforcongress.com ---- Get involved, make a difference.)
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To: comebacknewt

What 527s are going to go after Obama? The vast majority have their sights set on McCain. Besides, though part of McCain-Feingold was overruled, it will still limit them some in that the election is within 60 days of the nomination.


24 posted on 06/26/2008 11:45:55 AM PDT by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: comebacknewt
Some marketing expert told the Friends this morning to just wait...Barry was launching a "shock and awe" ad campaign. That McCain was in trouble.

Bring it on, I say...everywhere you turn, you see Barry's face (TV, print, even on Yahoo and Hotmail!) The Drive-Bys fawn and swoon day and night at the mere mention of his name. He's even doing TV ads during the Olympics. Talk about an Obama Overdose.
25 posted on 06/26/2008 11:49:43 AM PDT by Miss Didi ("Good heavens, woman, this is a war not a garden party!" Dr. Meade, Gone with the Wind)
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To: AmericaUnited
These guys finished near the absolute bottom of polster rankings in 2006.

And this is why they do such a poor job.

From their website:

Quinnipiac University

"Ninety minutes from New York City and two hours from Boston, Quinnipiac is located next to picturesque Sleeping Giant Mountain in Hamden, Conn. The campus is home to nearly 5,400 undergraduates and 2,000 graduate students, coming from 24 states and several countries."

Live in the middle of the liberal bastion.

Oh, and they are sooooooo unbiased. These words are emblazoned on the the top of the Quinnipiac U. polling Homepage:

“November can’t get here soon enough for Sen. Barack Obama. He has a lead everywhere, and if nothing changes between now and November he will make history,” said Peter Brown. http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x271.xml

Do you feel the love?

And the Q. college kiddies doing the "news"

26 posted on 06/26/2008 11:50:47 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: Da Coyote

How would the “Repubs” ditch McCain, when he has a committed by rule majority of the delegates? How would you get ANY of those who voted for McCain in the primary to support another candidate once you threw out THEIR votes and their candidate, who won the primaries?

How would you EVER again complain about the undemocratic Democrats if you overturned the results of an election because you weren’t happy with the result?

The time to “replace” McCain was when he was running. Instead, conservatives right here at FR were urging him on to victory in New Hampshire and North Carolina.


27 posted on 06/26/2008 11:51:44 AM PDT by CharlesWayneCT
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To: Yankereb
With the exception of Colorado, these were all "blue" states in 2004.

Add a few (4-6) points to McCain and subtract a few from Obama for the "Bradley Effect" and Obama would seem to be in some trouble.

28 posted on 06/26/2008 11:52:32 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Misterioso

Five months of this crap...and that’s all this is ...crap. ,o debates, no nothing yet. Ridiculous.


29 posted on 06/26/2008 11:52:39 AM PDT by Hildy
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To: maccaca
Quinnipiac Ding-BatsAnimations - Flying Bat 15jumping the gun to calling it over in June
30 posted on 06/26/2008 11:54:41 AM PDT by gitmogrunt
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To: Ingtar
What 527s are going to go after Obama? The vast majority have their sights set on McCain.

We won't have nearly as many on our side as the RATs will have on theirs, but ours have typically been very effective with their limited funds (e.g. the Swifties).

The media is giving Obama a free pass. McCain is giving Obama a free pass. Our 527s will not.

I'm betting the attacks will be pretty devastating when they come. There is soooo much material out there to work with.

31 posted on 06/26/2008 11:55:38 AM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: golfisnr1
Yes. Not including any "Bradley Effect".

Gallup has been doing this since FDR. Maybe they know something?

The polling should widen again over the weekend (when people with families will be going to the beach or the mountains) and narrow or cross again next week.

32 posted on 06/26/2008 11:57:50 AM PDT by Sooth2222 ("Suppose you were an idiot. And suppose you were a member of congress. But I repeat myself." M.Twain)
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To: Sooth2222
Thas a Fac Jac

And those states aren't going to change from their commie status this time either. Minnesota and Wisconsin are becoming the butt of so many jokes that the people up there are embarrassed what their legislators are doing.

Minnesota ... illegal to idle your vehicle over 3 minutes. Stupid liberals get what they deserve. Wisconsin said it would follow suit.

33 posted on 06/26/2008 11:58:44 AM PDT by HiramQuick (work harder ... welfare recipients depend on you!)
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To: Red Steel

Yep.


34 posted on 06/26/2008 12:01:14 PM PDT by Obadiah (I remember when the climate never changed, then Bush stole the election.)
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To: Astronaut
Agreed. Just wait until McCain and Obamanation are side by side on the big screen. Viewers will see a stumbling, bumbling, turkey necked, aging McCain trying to out liberal the articulate, youthful and Harvard Law review editor in chief Obama. The media is going to go after McCain's jugular after the first debate and espouse praise on their leftist messiah. Add $4 gas, inflation, depressed housing market, and a sluggish economy to the mix and it could get ugly fast.
35 posted on 06/26/2008 12:02:33 PM PDT by MBB1984
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To: maccaca
IMHO there is no way that Obama has a 17 point lead in Minnesota and a 13 point lead in Wisconsin.

They must have polled only Minneapolis and Madison.

36 posted on 06/26/2008 12:02:43 PM PDT by Senator_Blutarski (No good deed goes unpunished.)
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To: comebacknewt
I wasn't referring to your post. I just wanted to welcome you to the site!!
37 posted on 06/26/2008 12:04:22 PM PDT by Coldwater Creek ( Derek Rose number one NBA draft pick!!!)
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To: comebacknewt

Boy, am I confused. I meant that for macca.


38 posted on 06/26/2008 12:05:31 PM PDT by Coldwater Creek ( Derek Rose number one NBA draft pick!!!)
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To: RexBeach

Enough already with the Dukakis BS... That was a long time ago... 20 years... You folks are delusional to bring that up... We had an incredibly popular President in Reagan on the stump for Bush... It was a totally different political climate... It’s naive, and dumb to even bring that up. Why don’t you bring up Dole/Clinton, where Clinton was in the lead, and never gave it up?


39 posted on 06/26/2008 12:17:01 PM PDT by NYC Republican (Infuriate the MSM---Vote McCain... John McCain- Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory...oh g)
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To: Da Coyote

If they can do a bait-and-switch before the official nomination, and select Romney, they’d be in much better shape.


40 posted on 06/26/2008 12:20:47 PM PDT by NYC Republican (Infuriate the MSM---Vote McCain... John McCain- Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory...oh g)
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To: Astronaut

BINGO! Everything I’ve been saying


41 posted on 06/26/2008 12:21:41 PM PDT by NYC Republican (John McCain- Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory...Doesn't have the stomach or heart to fight.)
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To: NYC Republican
Clinton was a sitting President. That makes it a bad comparison as well.

Obama is ahead. He isn't ahead by much, but he is ahead.

That means something needs to happen to shake up the race. I am doubtful McCain will go on the attack (although he desperately needs to). I am hopeful the GOP-leaning 527s will be able to get the job done for him.

Most Americans do not agree with Obama's policies, but they need to be informed on what those policies are. Time for our side to get to work.

42 posted on 06/26/2008 12:23:15 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: HiramQuick
Minnesota ... illegal to idle your vehicle over 3 minutes.

Were these idiots abused as children.What else could explain this compulsion to oppress? (/Dr. Phil)

43 posted on 06/26/2008 12:24:48 PM PDT by Stentor (Obama supporters. Letting the little void do the thinking for the big void.)
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To: maccaca

They haven’t even had one debate.

Don’t dig up the burial plot yet.


44 posted on 06/26/2008 12:28:31 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: NYC Republican
Why don’t you bring up Dole/Clinton, where Clinton was in the lead, and never gave it up?

Because Obama isn't an incumbent?

45 posted on 06/26/2008 12:32:01 PM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: comebacknewt
I'm betting the attacks will be pretty devastating when they come. There is soooo much material out there to work with.

Against Kerry, they had someone to enthusiastically support. They now have McCain and they now feel betrayed by their support of President Bush. I don't know that there will be as much enthusiasm this time.

46 posted on 06/26/2008 12:33:48 PM PDT by Ingtar (Haley Barbour 2012, Because he has experience in Disaster Recovery. - ejonesie22)
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To: comebacknewt
GOP-leaning 527s carry his water for him

Are you kidding? Are you aware that lib 527s out-spent GOP 527s 20-1 last year? 20-1!!!

Even if one of them wants to join the effort, McCain will blast them and apologize for them... so what's the point?

47 posted on 06/26/2008 12:43:29 PM PDT by NYC Republican (John McCain- Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory...Doesn't have the stomach or heart to fight.)
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To: maccaca

Ever heard of the Bradley/Wilder effect?

Just ignore the polls and show up on November 4th to vote.


48 posted on 06/26/2008 12:48:03 PM PDT by devere
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To: comebacknewt
Here's the scenario... 527s take out an ad (IF the media even displays it)... H will claim it's rac---... McCain will disavow it, and call it a rac--- organization... The MSM will STILL point McCain... The 527 group just spent millions of dollars on something that caused a backlash

After that, who else would even think about starting another 527?

49 posted on 06/26/2008 12:48:57 PM PDT by NYC Republican (John McCain- Snatching Defeat from the Jaws of Victory...Doesn't have the stomach or heart to fight.)
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To: maccaca
Polls before October 25 are meaningless.

Stop wasting your time.

50 posted on 06/26/2008 12:51:07 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Cut the birth certificate crap! It's the communism, stupid!)
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