Posted on 09/15/2008 12:52:45 PM PDT by Darren McCarty
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Or, Democrat Barack Obama?
46% McCain (R)
50% Obama (D)
2% Other
2% Undecided
Virginia Men, Voters Age 50+, Independents, Take Another Look At Obama: In an election for President of the United States in Virginia today, 09/15/08, 7 weeks till votes are counted, Democrat Barack Obama defeats Republican John McCain 50% to 46%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted for WDBJ-TV in Roanoke, WJLA-TV in Washington DC, WTVR-TV in Richmond, and WJHL-TV in the Tri-Cities. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released one week ago, immediately following the Republican National Convention, Obama is up 3 points; McCain is down 3. The movement solidifies Virginia place as America's 2008 battleground. One week ago, McCain led among men by 11 points. Today, McCain and Obama tie. One week ago, McCain led among voters age 50+ by 14 points. Today, McCain leads by 1. One week ago, Obama led among lower income voters by 6 points. Today, Obama leads by 20. One week ago, McCain led among Independents by 21 points. Today, McCain leads by 4. 17% of Republicans today crossover to vote Democrat, up from 11% last week and 7% last month. 12% of Democrats cross over to vote Republican, compared with 10% in the two previous polls. Strikingly: week-on-week movement in the DC suburbs was to McCain; movement in the Shenandoah and Central VA was to Obama.
In Virginia, there is still no evidence that Sarah Palin is attracting women to the GOP ticket. McCain polled at 44% before he picked Palin, and at 43% in each of the two polls conducted after Palin was announced.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
This isn't over at all.
Virginia for Obama with 50%? In his dreams!
One week ago, McCain led among men by 11 points. Today, McCain and Obama tie.
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That’s nonsense. Noway is Obama tied with men.
Wilder effect. Obama is behind by 6-7 in VA at least
We haven’t even had debates yet.
Of course I mean tied with MCCAIN.
Over at National Review, Geraghty explains the SUSA polled on Saturday and Sunday and missed the Churchgoers, and believes their own poll might be off by 5%
This poll smells fishy. Obama ties with men and 50+ folks, 17% of GOP votes Obama? Highly dubious.
I agree, for those of you who like McCain, I think an state Obama does not poll +10%, McCain will win. I think racism is still that strong in the US
Oh how I wish we had a real candidate to vote for
I thought someone said here once that all polling on weekends is done in the evenings?
We do! Her name is Sarah Palin.
It’s very flawed. They surveyed on Sunday when churchgoers were not home.
See this:
http://rightwingliberal.wordpress.com/2008/09/15/memo-to-survey-usa-stop-polling-on-sunday/
Anything grab your attention about this sampling?
Couple questions about this poll:
1) How do they weigh party ID?
2) What percentage of surveys were fielded by black operators?
I think its alot of wishful thinking. Fact is, Obama will get 40% no matter WHAT he says, does, or is revealed about him.
This is going to be a dogfight, especially with the media so incessently bashing Palin, that has GOT to hurt. Black turnout is going to be historic, and I am not so sure there is going to be a big "Bradley" effect either.
Bogus. I call BS alert.
Catowner, you are all over the place friend. You had McCain down 10% before the Conventions and were pretty gloomy.
The whole trend was for McCain to be close before the debates. Obama was destroyed by Hillary in their debates because he cannot think on his feet or without a teleprompter. He is a gaffe machine while McCain makes few mistakes.
McCain will be up a solid 5 to 7 after the first debate and then these tossups will fall in line.
It’s not over, to be sure, but this smells like an outlier.
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