I think McCain/Palin have a LANDSLIDE!
2004 Presidential Election turnout:
Posted on 09/23/2008 7:37:54 AM PDT by IndianPrincessOK
General Election: McCain vs. Obama RCP Electoral Map | Changes in Electoral Count | Map With No Toss Ups | No Toss Up Changes Polling Data Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread RCP Average 09/11 - 09/22 -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9 Rasmussen Tracking 09/20 - 09/22 3000 LV 48 48 Tie Battleground Tracking 09/17 - 09/22 800 LV 46 48 McCain +2 CNN/Opinion Research 09/19 - 09/21 697 LV 51 47 Obama +4 Gallup Tracking 09/19 - 09/21 2740 RV 48 44 Obama +4 Hotline/FD Tracking 09/19 - 09/21 922 RV 47 42 Obama +5 CBS News/NY Times 09/12 - 09/16 LV 49 44 Obama +5 Quinnipiac 09/11 - 09/16 987 LV 49 45 Obama +4
See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data
Intrade Market Prices for General Election: McCain vs. Obama Obama McCain Intrade Real Time Quotes (See More Data)
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Obama handled the financial crisis very poorly.
I hope so! thanks!
General Election: McCain vs. Obama RCP Electoral Map | Changes in Electoral Count | Map With No Toss Ups | No Toss Up
Changes Polling Data Poll Date Sample Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread RCP Average 09/11 - 09/22 — 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9
Rasmussen Tracking 09/20 - 09/22 3000 LV 48 48 Tie
Battleground Tracking 09/17 - 09/22 800 LV 46 48 McCain +2
CNN/Opinion Research 09/19 - 09/21 697 LV 51 47 Obama +4
Gallup Tracking 09/19 - 09/21 2740 RV 48 44 Obama +4
Hotline/FD Tracking 09/19 - 09/21 922 RV 47 42 Obama +5 CBS
News/NY Times 09/12 - 09/16 LV 49 44 Obama +5 Quinnipiac
09/11 - 09/16 987 LV 49 45 Obama +4
there seems to be a pattern here:
-Event happens
-Media trys to make it look like obama is better at handling it
-obama’s numbers go up
-obama opens mouth
-obama’s numbers go down
This is good news and thanks for posting!
BTTT
I wonder if people are starting to catch on to the connections Obama has w/the financial crisis.
Folks, this is the way it’s going to be right up to the very end. Both candidates appear each to have a ‘solid’ base of support of around 45-46%, which is pretty unusual at this stage of the game, and will not budge much through the end (this is good for our side). The battle and fluidity will remain with those 6%-8% ‘clueless’ ones right up to finish (as usual).
At this point, I doubt that McCain can eat into Obama’s declared support of 45-46%, as well as Obama being able to eat into McCain’s 45-46%, what will change from week to week (UP UNTIL THE END) will be that additional 6-8%. Those are the ones that will be subject to change week to week.
More importantly will be the ‘vital signs’ exhibited in the ‘battleground’ states. This war will be won or lost in those 4 to 5 states. So, more important that the ‘national poll’ at this stage of the game, is the actual status of each of those battleground states.
It’s going to be a rough ride, week in and week out, all depending on gaffes through uncontrolable events.
We were never down folks.
Look at the internals during that dip last week or so... Fauxbama was down in every demographic in the internals of the polls released, the only way you lose ground in every demographic and gain in the polling outcome is if 1) Your opponent is losing ground in the demographics faster than you (didn’t happen) 2) You oversampled groups that do tend to support the candidate that went up by a very significant margin or 3) The secret sauce you use to “fix” your sampling has a major problem.
Look at the internals during that “bounce” and you’ll see Fauxbama was LOSING support in every demographic group, yet he was polling higher?? Sorry, but the smell test wasn’t being passed during that last week or so.
McCain had a bad week. It didn’t help when he dumped on Chris Cox while praising Andrew Cuomo (who as HUD Secretary was up to his ears in the sub-prime debacle.)
Juan Williams, who blows hot and cold on B.O., said yesterday that if B.O. doesn’t go into November with a 5 or 6 point lead, he will lose. Williams meant “the Bradley Effect.” Rather, I think it is the Obama effect. People are getting wise to him, but know it is not politically correct to say so to pollsters.
This financial crisis has been a ticking time bomb for a while now. I have a tinfoil hat theory that some powers that be actually pulled the trigger to collapse the economy so that 0bama could win the election. The timing is optimal. However, they didn't count on the new media getting out the real story of 0bama's advisers strong ties to fannie and freddie, or the campaign money 0bama got from same.
I don’t want to be pessimistic but I’ve got a sinking feeling this race will be decided in Colorado and McCain will narrowly lose.
Keen observation.
“I don’t want to be pessimistic but I’ve got a sinking feeling this race will be decided in Colorado and McCain will narrowly lose.”
I don’t feel the same. There are other ways to win this election by taking some of Obamas states...like PA and OH that HE did not win against Hillary and we are doing well. AND he screwed up and got caught calling PA people BITTER, clinging to their guns and religion....OOPS...He should have had these by now. For CO and NM the demograph has changed in 4 years to more illegal immigrants....but I feel very positive we will win by a landslide. Let the debates begin....
Obama is still very slightly ahead right now, but if I were one of his supporters I would be very concerned.
Had Obama been an attractive candidate, McCain's problems last week could have buried him completely. Instead, he is regaining momentum.
This proves Barack has still not sealed the deal with the American people, and time is running very short for him. If he doesn't move into a solid lead after the first debate, he will probably never get there.
Ohio is an absolute must for McCain. He loses there and he's done. I realize PA and MI are close, but I think it's a long shot for McCain to take either.
That being said, if he does take either, he's almost a lock to win.
There's also a reasonable chance this could end up in a 269-269 tie, a frightening prospect.
ROFLOL!!! You nailed it!
If McCain takes MI or PA, he wins the election. It doesn’t matter what happens in CO.
I think McCain/Palin have a LANDSLIDE!
2004 Presidential Election turnout:
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