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Zogby Predicting a McCain Landslide?
Federal Review ^ | 09/25/08

Posted on 09/25/2008 11:44:49 AM PDT by Behind Liberal Lines

BROCKPORT, NEW YORK--Pollster John Zogby hinted Thursday (September 25) that he sees a McCain landslide as a real possibility.

According to the Rochester (NY) Democrat and Chronicle:(O) ne of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral landslide.

John Zogby, president of Zogby International, told a group of businesspeople today that it’s up to Democratic Sen. Barack Obama to convince voters to go with him. If he’s not successful, the country will likely vote for “a comfortable old shoe”, that being Republican Sen. John McCain.

Despite the books Obama has written, Americans are still asking, “Who are you, where are you from?,” Zogby said.

Also on Thursday, Zogby released his latest poll, which found that a slim majority favored McCain and his running mate, Sarah Palin, over Obama and running mate Joe Biden. A week earlier, Obama and Biden held the lead.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; electionpresident; elections; landslide; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; zogby
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To: kesg

Yeah I saw that too.

They broke for Bush in 2004 also.

Some would say in a race with no incumbent it would go to the opposition party candidate, but McCain is so Presidential that he is like an incumbent, compared to Barry.


81 posted on 09/25/2008 12:21:30 PM PDT by Wilder Effect
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
Zogby is not the most reliable pollster around. He may have been telling those businessmen what he thought they wanted to hear.

IMO, this election is basically tied...as previous two were. If the Obama ground game pays off, he could easily become our next President.

If you have not gone to work for a political candidate, I urge you to do so now. If you don't like McCain, work for your state Senator or Representative, or your state and local candidates.

If the Democrats outwork us, we lose. It is that simple.

82 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:01 PM PDT by goldfinch
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

Since Zogby is always wrong, I am biting my nails now.


83 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:09 PM PDT by ajwharton (FL GOP Pollwatcher, ACORN-buster)
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To: Dagny&Hank

if Clinton is to make his point about how the radicals screwed up the democrat party, the defeat must be totally crushing.


84 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:21 PM PDT by ari-freedom (We never hide from history. We make history!)
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To: Wilder Effect

I would tend to agree. Usually at this point in time the Democratic candidate is up by double digits. Mc Cain is keeping it at even. I would opine that the meltdown of the credit market came at a very opportune time for Mc Cain. The economy has always been his biggest weakness and I think his decision to suspend his campaign was brilliant. If he handles this well I think he has pretty much marginalized that issue with a good 4+ weeks left before the election. He can then pound away on Obama about his lack of foreign policy experience. It’s still a dangerous world out there and things can happen that would quickly cause the American public to realize that. Also, there’s a huge amount of campaign ad material out there for Mc Cain to use in the next 4 weeks and my bet is that there will be some real zingers (plus we have Smokin’ Joe). Lastly, my bet is that when the curtain closes on the voting both those undecideds will pull the lever (push the button?!) for Mc Cain. At the end of the day I think they will decide there’s simply too much risk in an Obama presidency. Does that make for a landslide. Maybe, maybe not but I beginning to feel much better about who will win this election.


85 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:24 PM PDT by technically right
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To: Behind Liberal Lines
I learned today that our local (Blue Bell, PA) McCain office has been having trouble supplying yard signs. I find this very interesting, because I've been seeing a lot of McCain signs and fewer Obama signs than I'd have expected. If the supply is constrained, the real level of support may well be higher than evident.

My 13 year old son has observed that homes with Obama signs don't fly American flags. I'm seeing a lot of American flags flying lately. I'm hoping it's a subtle pro-McCain signal. Tempers are high in this community, and I suspect many people won't put out signs out of concern about vandalism or post-election repercussions. It's a heck of a year.

86 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:25 PM PDT by Think free or die
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To: NOBAMA in 08

There is substantial Evidence now that the Terrorist and very close Friend of Obama’s, William Ayers was the GHOSTWRITER for Obama’s alleged Memoir, “DREAMS OF MY FATHER!”


87 posted on 09/25/2008 12:22:34 PM PDT by NOBAMA in 08 ( OBIE HUSSEIN IS AN EMPTY SUIT with NO Redeeming Value!)
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To: goldstategop
I have a feeling people will go with the "comfortable old shoe." In a dangerous world, Obama is an unknown risk our country quite simply can't afford.

I have a really hippy friend (lives in SF, drives a VW microbus, along with a few much nicer rides) but he's more realistic than most.

I was talking to him about the election, assuming he was in Obama's camp, but he wasn't.

He told me that he thought if Obama was the real deal and believed and could pull off all he spouts off about, it would make the world so much better. But if he's a fraud or a boob, it could be a gigantic disaster that we might never recover from.

He's not afraid of McCain and thinks McCain will just keep the ship straight and in good shape for his term. He won't fulfill his liberal dreams, but he won't burn the ship down to the waterline through incompetence.

He's leaning towards McCain, and the more shit that gets dumped on Obama will push him more firmly to McCain. He's a pretty wealthy and happy hippy and has no desire to watch the country blow up.

88 posted on 09/25/2008 12:24:58 PM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: Red Steel
This is what I'm referring to: Later, he gained more national attention in the 1996 Presidential election when his final poll came within a tenth of a point of the actual result. Zogby also correctly polled the cliffhanger result of the 2000 presidential election won narrowly by George W. Bush, in contrast to most other pollsters who had expected Bush to win easily.

I'm saying that it looks like this year he wants to be correct again, rather than try to sway the electorate.

89 posted on 09/25/2008 12:26:52 PM PDT by Cinnamon Girl (Welcome home, former McCain haters and rageaholics!)
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

BUMP a great thread title.


90 posted on 09/25/2008 12:28:31 PM PDT by Lancey Howard
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To: shaft29

Actually, for a period of time back in the nineties, he was rather accurate.

Returning to the election today, I don’t believe there’s any chance that Obama is going to come even close to winning this election. Look, I may be proven to be way off base, but I see a sort of mini to moderate landslide on November 4th.

The pollsters have a nasty habit of kibitzing in the Democrat’s favor before major elections. They are sometimes off by as much as 17 points. My guess is that Obama looses by at least ten and perhaps 15 or more.


91 posted on 09/25/2008 12:29:12 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (McCain, the Ipecac president... Obama the strychnine president...)
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To: dead
My brother is pretty much a lefty, so we don't talk politics much. When I was with him late this summer I was surprised to learn that he is leery of Obama. He just doesn't have a good feeling about the man, and senses that the media is pushing him too hard and is suspicious. I don't know how he'll vote, but I wouldn't bet on him voting Obama. He's in Michigan, so I sure hope he helps McCain this round.

My brother really shocked me when he said he'd changed his mind about gun control. He said he still found gun control appealing, but that in practice it didn't work and didn't reduce violent crime. As an honest man, he couldn't continue to back something that had been proven wrong. I wish all lefties were willing to examine their beliefs.

92 posted on 09/25/2008 12:32:07 PM PDT by Think free or die
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To: kesg
I was reading some column by Barone, I think, who was saying that while Americans are "uncomfortable" with the current status of things, and WANT to vote for "change," so far they haven't seen Obama demonstrate any understanding or capability to vote for.

That seemed right to me: early on, I detected a LOT of enthusiasm for Obama, but recently, it's much more tempered, and seems to reside solely among the hard-core Dems.

93 posted on 09/25/2008 12:32:55 PM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: Behind Liberal Lines

I don’t understand. How can various pollsters say as of yesterday that Obama is ahead by anywhere from 6 to 9 points and Zogby’s talking about a landslide for McCain??????
Which numbers are skewed and how can we pay asttention to polls 6 weeks before the election....or at all?


94 posted on 09/25/2008 12:36:46 PM PDT by stanz (Those who don't believe in evolution should go jump off the flat edge of the Earth.)
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To: Wilder Effect

I believe he also was spot on in 1996. I remember his final prediction of Clinton vs Dole was the closest of any of the others (within a point I think). I had never heard of him before then.

I still don’t believe it will be a landslide in either direction.


95 posted on 09/25/2008 12:36:49 PM PDT by Osama Obama
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To: Think free or die

Overall, I have seen a LOT fewer political signs for all candidates. Obama has been, by far, the minority. On the other hand, I am in the one of the “reddest” counties (Forsyth) in a very “red” state, Georgia.


96 posted on 09/25/2008 12:38:13 PM PDT by Little Ray (I'm a Conservative. But I can vote for John McCain. If I have to. I guess.)
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To: Think free or die

How old is your brother?

If he’s under 40 he could be a typical conservative....................in the making.


97 posted on 09/25/2008 12:39:52 PM PDT by SBprone
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To: DoughtyOne

Good call.


98 posted on 09/25/2008 12:40:58 PM PDT by 1035rep
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To: Nachum

I agree. The polls are so heavily weighted for Obama, it’s unbelievable.

The Obamabots know the real numbers and are scared sh!tless — that’s why he’s insisting so much on Friday’s debate. If he really was the frontrunner, he wouldn’t need to debate.


99 posted on 09/25/2008 12:41:35 PM PDT by EarlyBird
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To: Norman Bates

Pollster John Zogby hinted Thursday (September 25) that he sees a McCain landslide as a real possibility.

According to the Rochester (NY) Democrat and Chronicle:(O) ne of the country’s top pollsters thinks the race will end in an electoral landslide.


100 posted on 09/25/2008 12:47:13 PM PDT by 1035rep
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