A new poll shows Colorado voters support McCain and Obama equally. [Obama collapsing in Colorado]

http://www.denverpost.com/previous2/home/ci_10639338 ^ | 10/19/2008 | Allison Sherry

[rumrunner]

Securing their reputations as independent-minded swing voters... the two presidential candidates tied at 44 percent

[DHarry]

We now have polls showing movement in OH FL and CO. I think pollsters are underestimating the Palin effect and a fair minded nation’s increasing fury at the injustice over how Bill Ayers Friend and his corrupt surrogates in the media have attacked Joe and Sarah. Good people are livid and tired of these a$$holes going to Frisco to call them racists.

[DHarry]

We now have polls showing movement in OH FL and CO. I think pollsters are underestimating the Palin effect and a fair minded nation’s increasing fury at the injustice over how Bill Ayers Friend and his corrupt surrogates in the media have attacked Joe and Sarah. Good people are livid and tired of these a$$holes going to Frisco to call them racists.

[Harry Wurzbach]

Obama can’t bring together the Kerry coalition of 2004. He’s lost too many bitter clingers. I also believe that many people who consider themselves ‘centrists’ will look at him and see an inexperienced and far left extremist candidate.

Also, I think the Dems are counting too much on the recent financial market problems and the swings in the Dow. That seemed to help Obama in the polls at first, but now I think people are processing just what each candidate will mean for them. Clearly, the cost of Obama’s policies is going to be greater than McCain’s. Higher taxes, fewer jobs, etc...People know the economy and the markets will be back. Do they want to be paying higher tax rates on future capital gains? Especially if they enter the market today?

[DHarry]

We now have polls showing movement in OH FL and CO. I think pollsters are underestimating the Palin effect and a fair minded nation’s increasing fury at the injustice over how Bill Ayers Friend and his corrupt surrogates in the media have attacked Joe and Sarah. Good people are livid and tired of these a$$holes going to Frisco to call them racists.

[Norman Bates]

Yeah what the heck. M-D has this up on their site big and bold.

[CSI007]

This poll is almost 20 days old.

[LS]

Huge, huge, huge. Now, come on Old Dominion!!!

[Reagan Man]

Did I miss it?
When did James Dobson endorse McCain?

Nonetheless, McCain will take Colorado and El Paso County will lead the way to victory.

[pgkdan]

He’ll never take Virginia! Obama will win the Old Dominion when hell freezes over.

[DHarry]

Sorry for the multiple posts. I’m on my blackberry bitterly clinging to my religion working at a church festival.

[pgkdan]

I think most undecideds re McCain voters who are too PC to admit that they’re going to vote for the ‘white guy’.

[ExtremeUnction]

What I'm worried about is that there is a large group of people who are now invested in this election for the first time and don't know that the MSM lies about the Dem until election night when they report the Republican won. They are going to be shocked by McCain's win and riot.

When people riot they usually burn down their own neighborhood.

[GatorGirl]

Dade is usually Republican, no? Cubans know a socialist when they see one! Perhaps the scandal with Foley’s replacement will produce reverse coat tails in PBC.

I think the conventional wisdom on Hispanics may be wrong. In my experience, Mexican and South American Hispanics are somewhat anti-black. It’s going to be a major internal battle for them to vote for the redistribution of wealth or against the black guy.

Should be interesting.

[techno]

I agree. Sarah is a once-in-a-generation politician. To come out of the wilderness to perhaps save America-if she can do this for McCain and country the American people will owe her big time. Short of a momentous gaffe, Darah will be the Republican presidential nominee whenever she wants to run for the office. The polls are beginning to shift and for those who deny the impact of Sarah on this race you are totally delusional and frankly dumb.

[pgkdan]

Last week I drove from VA to Orland FL and back with a colleague who started out as a dem leaning undecided who ended our trip firmly in McCain’s camp. I’d like to say that my winning personality convinced him but what really did the trick was ‘Joe the Plumber’. Obama actually saying he wants to ‘spread the wealth’ around really hit home!

[gswilder]

Seems like neither candidate is spending much time in CO, so makes you wonder what their internals are showing.

In the end, it probably comes down to VA and PA.

[Harry Wurzbach]

If the election were caucuses instead of elections Obama probably wins by a landslide...BUT.....

YES. YES. YES. How soon we forget what the Democrat primary illustrated. Obama won precisely because he was able to get his far left extremist goons to caucuses and dominate them. But when he had to compete in open primaries, especially in big states, he lost every time. And that was with him having the nomination all but wrapped up (which, of course, was due to anti-democratic measures in the Democrat party, such as the superdelegates). Whenever Obama faced an electorate of rural and suburban voters, he lost badly. This guy does not play well among those groups. Even among Democrats. Don't think the Hillary supporters don't know that an Obama loss this time around means their favorite will be able to run again in 2012. Kerry was able to attract enough bitter clingers and had the largest Democrat popular vote total in a presidential race ever. Obama won't do that. Let's face the truth. Obama dominates relatively small constituencies in American life. African-Americans, White Upper Class liberals, left wing extremists, entertainers, academics, and the young. This is not a winning coalition. Democrats put themselves in a position to win when they can appeal to rural and suburban whites. That's why the Clintons are successful, in general, because they are able to appeal to enough rural and suburban voters. I think McCain will win this thing by a larger margin than Bush beat Kerry back in 2004, when the uncertain aftermath of the Iraq invasion provided an opening for Kerry. Now there is less of a rationale for a Democrat. We need the markets to recover as well the economy in general. We're not going to get there with higher taxes and socialist redistribution. McCain needs to hit Obama over tax hikes and spending increases from here on. That's the bread and butter of GOP politics. Get people to vote based on what Obama's going to cost them.

[Norman Bates]

This poll is from the first week of the month by what I gather. That’s why I can’t understand it’s prominent place on the M-D site.

[mainepatsfan]

What I'm worried about is that there is a large group of people who are now invested in this election for the first time and don't know that the MSM lies about the Dem until election night when they report the Republican won. They are going to be shocked by McCain's win and riot.

I've been thinking about the same thing. Back in 2004 they HOPED that Kerry would win but they were at least thinking about the possibility of Bush winning. This time they have no concept of defeat and the shock maybe too much for them to handle.

[Graybeard58]

I would think Obama is a bigger threat to church going people than Obama.

Maybe, maybe not.