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McCain's path to victory through Pa.
The Politico ^ | October 22, 2008 | Charles Mahtesian

Posted on 10/22/2008 4:46:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: PaRep
I'm familiar with his support of McGovern. That said, Barone is no idiot, beltway or otherwise. He has knowlege of voting patterns at the PRECINCT level.

You might try reading some of his writings before posting. Here's a recent good one.

The Coming Obama Thugocracy

81 posted on 10/23/2008 10:15:46 AM PDT by prairiebreeze ( Our troops DESERVE BETTER than Barack Hussein Obama!!)
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To: prairiebreeze

I know who he is what he is & I also know he’s full of DUNG

Gallup Poll found same % of 1st time voters as in 2004 !!!

So Much for the WAVE of New Voters HUH??


82 posted on 10/23/2008 10:47:23 AM PDT by PaRep
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To: PaRep

You aren’t making any sense. What does Gallup, first time voters and new voters have to do with Michael Barone??

Barone’s 2004 predictions were actually quite accurate. Barone’s analysis is in a different league than GallupCNNNBCCBSMSNBCZogbyRassmussesnblahblahblah.


83 posted on 10/23/2008 10:52:49 AM PDT by prairiebreeze ( Our troops DESERVE BETTER than Barack Hussein Obama!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hopefully the GOP has adequate poll watchers in Philadelphia. Wouldn’t surprise to see 105% turnout.


84 posted on 10/23/2008 11:15:57 AM PDT by EDINVA
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To: prairiebreeze

UMM he’s the one telling anyone who will listen that the D’s could very well 8,9 or 10 point advantage over R’s in the election & Gallup just shot a Hellfire missile through that BS


85 posted on 10/23/2008 11:49:48 AM PDT by PaRep
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To: HamiltonJay

Today, for the first time, I’ve seen an Obama sign in NE Philly. But there are loads of McCain/Palin signs-even on lawns with signs for local Democrats. Pennsylvania is very winnable for McCain.


86 posted on 10/23/2008 1:30:54 PM PDT by Palin4ever
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To: Palin4ever

McCain has had PA in the bank since day one...

Now, with the mutiliation of a McCain campaign worker by a fauxbama backer happening here in Pittsburgh, you can bet that McCain doesn’t only have PA won, but won by a large margin, and Fauxbama will lose even more support across the nation.

This man and the people around him are dangerous, he doesn’t encourage greatness, but pettiness and anger.

He’s on his way to a McGovern finish.


87 posted on 10/23/2008 1:34:39 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: PennsylvaniaMom

“They disapprove of socialism and are still coming out for 0bama? What unions are talking about? Cause I can’t see (here in the west) the rank and file UMW or USW coming out for Barry. What gives in Philly?”

I think he meant NOT, instead of now


88 posted on 10/23/2008 2:19:31 PM PDT by gbscott1954 (Sarah 2012!!!)
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To: PaRep
UMMMM...I don't think that's accurate about Barone. You'll need to provide a link.

His blog doesn't state anything like that.

89 posted on 10/23/2008 3:28:10 PM PDT by prairiebreeze ( Our troops DESERVE BETTER than Barack Hussein Obama!!)
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To: prairiebreeze

he was on the sean Hannity show saying that very thing


90 posted on 10/23/2008 5:11:55 PM PDT by PaRep
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To: PaRep

Tell you what, since we have a prime opportunity to observe him for accuracy coming up in the next two weeks, how about we watch and evaluate.

Fair enough?


91 posted on 10/23/2008 5:24:27 PM PDT by prairiebreeze ( Our troops DESERVE BETTER than Barack Hussein Obama!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Kerry took PA by only a whisker. And he did not insult its population.


92 posted on 10/23/2008 5:39:04 PM PDT by BillyM
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To: Gondring
Actually the BEST candidate by far, the one that had it all, would have been Romney. We would have been in better shape with a Romney/Palin ticket.

But that has nothing to do with my not doing more. I just don't have the time. And I'm sure some of my good "friends" know eactly why.

93 posted on 10/23/2008 9:48:18 PM PDT by TAdams8591 (McCain/Palin '08)
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To: EDINVA
Hopefully the GOP has adequate poll watchers in Philadelphia.

LMHO!


94 posted on 10/23/2008 10:33:24 PM PDT by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: HamiltonJay
Yea, I don’t know who this zebrahead guy is, but its clearly evident he isn’t living in PA. McCain has PA in the bag, and has from day one

And HamiltonJay, you have been all over the state recently? Are you trying to tell me that the sea of Obama lawn signs in Philly suburbs is because they fell off passing trucks or something?

Fauxbama has no chance of carrying PA.

Yes, yes, and we can all take it to the bank.... (funny you left that part out this time!)

It will not be as much of a spread as the RCP average is saying, but I wouldn't bank on a win. :-(

95 posted on 10/23/2008 10:38:27 PM PDT by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: TAdams8591
We would have been in better shape with a Romney/Palin ticket.

Definitely.

But the Huckster took care of that.

96 posted on 10/23/2008 10:39:22 PM PDT by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: prairiebreeze

No Problem !!


97 posted on 10/24/2008 6:23:49 AM PDT by PaRep
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To: Gondring

Ok, you believe that Fauxbama has as much support as Kerry did in 04? If you believe that you are certifiable, you need to get out of Philly.

Kerry took Philly 4 to 1, and then won by 2.5% of the vote or about 140k votes. Fauxbama won’t get that margin out of Philly and won’t have nearly the numbers through the rest of the state that Kerry had.

You can keep quoting your polls, but if you think Fauxbama suddenly has going insanely negative in his ads in PA because he’s got a 10+ point lead you need to share the source of your wacky tobaccee, because that’s some good stuff you’ve been smoking.

His support is nowhere near Gore’s or Kerry’s, and Rendell has the state machine on life support his token efforts are so miniscule.

Come, walk around Brookline, Ingram, Crafton, Mt Washington, Elliot, West End, Avalon, McKees Rocks, Stowe... The support for this guy isn’t there, you get outside the black neighborhoods and the UMC/University areas and his support is non existant compared to previous elections. The Hillary voters aren’t falling lock step behind this guy.

This guys the weakest on the ground since Dukakis, and while Philly is going to go D, because it always does, it won’t be going D by the margins of Kerry or Gore, and the rest of the state won’t support him at the same levels of Kerry or Gore either. He’s not winning PA, you can keep quoting me your RCP, I’ll stick with what I am seeing first hand over what some phone bank in Deleware or NJ is saying I should be seeing.


98 posted on 10/24/2008 6:56:43 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: TAdams8591

Nope, Romney would have lost huge, hate to break your bubble, but the guy who’s ineptitude brought us Gay Marriage as a national issue, and government fiat mandatory health care or go to jail, had no chance to win a national race. You can’t run around claiming the mantle or Reagan after governing under the mantle of a Todd Witman.

Romney couldn’t even win the primaries of his own party, and was only alive as long as he was due to spending his own money on it.


99 posted on 10/24/2008 7:00:55 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay; Gondring
I hate to break YOUR bubble. Your assessment, colored by your dislike of Romney, is preposterous. Gondring’s right. We can thank the Huckster and people who pushed the Hucksters campaign to hurt Romney and help McCain, something I've said many times on this forum.
100 posted on 10/24/2008 9:05:28 AM PDT by TAdams8591 (McCain/Palin '08)
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