Posted on 10/26/2008 12:24:07 AM PDT by RonDog
You’ll try to find it...something similar, something...something...
How about earning some credibility first. Then, you will have a better chance at convincing people of untruths.
Also, I have a question on the "Bradley effect". Since so many of the published polls have Obama at an unbelievable advantage (I am specifically talking about the double digit polls) wouldn't even a "normal" Obama win of 1-3% seem to bolster the Bradley effect argument? In other words, regardless of the outcome of this election, many Dems are repeating the double digit win, so when it comes out less than that (as every election in history has) they will continue to say "It must have been the Bradley effect", instead of admitting that their polls are crap.
she said the results of their polling lead her to believe that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV.
She’s not that bad either. In fact, I think she’s a fine specimen. A mighty fine specimen.
Hahahahahaha...hell..it could even be his own...straight from the tingle up his leg!
This why I pay no attention to the polls. I really think the PUMAS are having some effect with this tactic.
So, if you go through every major poll, you can predict within one point how much they will be off by how much they oversample Dems. If you want a 10-point lead in MN, sample 10% more Dems, even if the 2004 breakdown was only, say, 2%.
The internal polls generally can't afford that crap---they have to be right NOW, not on election day, because their strategy is based on what they see NOW.
That said, it's entirely POSSIBLE that the major pollsters are right, that Obama wins an unbelievable blowout, and that our analysis is sadly wrong.
But remember this: just because the pollsters have been close in a couple of elections, don't forget that they were hideously wrong in others. In 1994, NONE of them caught the Republican landslide. In 1996, ALL of them were off in Clinton's direction by as much as 8%---but the fact that none of them were off in Dole's direction suggests there is more to this than just "error," that there is some inherent bias that tends to lead them to certain conclusions. Neither the McCain nor Obama camp can afford those kinds of biases.
Philly had 275,000 already made votes waiting for Obama in the machines...McCain has to eat those numbers up first before he can consider winning PA.
We still have a lot of hard work to do.
Keep PRaying.
WE LOVE THOSE PUMAS!!!!!!!!!
Does anyone have an idea of how much ad time is available? It has seemed to me that zerO bought up every available slot ahead of time. He probably got a volume discount, too. Just what slots are available for anyone else? It seems to me that on cable/sat TV there is only about 1/3 of the slots actually showing consumer ads. Another 20% seem to be PSAs of one sort or another. I do see the 527 ads, but not nearly as often as the same zerO ad on every channel at the exact same time.
If not for FR, the PUMA sites and the right wing blogs, I would not know McCain was actually running if I wasn’t a political junkie. zerO is relying on overkill and I hope it backfires. It was bad enough when the consumer companies began running the same ad on every channel in the same time slot, so you couldn’t surf away from them. This political saturation is beyond annoying, it is actually physically sickening and Big Brother-ish.
She said she thinks there is a 55% chance Obama holds on in Pennsylvania
___________________________________________________________
If it is that close, I really think that the PUMA’s will be the difference. Likewise in other states as well. A PUMA’s vote will mean something and I believe that they will act.
I have a sneaking suspicion that McCain will take PA. I would not be surprised if he takes WI and MN too.
What does disturb me, however, is that none of the polls have McCain up. I am hopeful that they are wrong, but it does deflate my spirits. I can not believe that any polling company would consciously print polls for partisan reasons. We are either going to have an Obama landslide, or a very close race, but it can't be both.
Therefore I, for one, am praying that the Bradley effect is real!
You really should stop posting such fantastic pictures...the northern liberals might discover what beauty lies in the South and pollute the waters.
No, that's the PC bowdlerized version. You've been misled by some of the historical revisionism which has dominated our so-called educational system for so long.
The original quote by John Nance Garner, Vice-President under FDR, was indeed that the office of Vice-President was “not worth a bucket of warm piss”.
I didn't catch that. When did he say that?
You're right. I wish I could have credibility like this. With such solid, unimpeachable credentials like I, She, and They, how could I possibly doubt a story posted by someone called Virginia Virtuacon.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.