Posted on 10/26/2008 12:24:07 AM PDT by RonDog
Check out THIS great news, from the PUMAs over at HillBUZZ:
I was having dinner a night ago with a friend of mine who is a statistician for a well-regarded private polling company.They do some work for Republicans in California, but most of the work they do is for Democrats or Democrat-leaning operations (Unions, etc.). Anyway, her shop was retained to do a few Presidential polls for targetted states on behalf of a union so the union could decide where to spend their ad dollars for the last week. They did Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada and Missouri.
After mocking the hell out of the voter id spreads used by Rassmussen, Zogby, etc. (and this is coming from a committed Dem who will be voting for Barry O) she said the results of their polling lead her to believe that McCain will definitely win FL, OH, NC, MO and NV.
She says Obama definitely wins New Mexico. She said that Colorado and New Hampshire were absolute dead heats. She said she thinks there is a 55% chance Obama holds on in Pennsylvania and a 75% chance McCain wins Virginia.
She absolutely laughed at the public polls showing Obama leading Virginiaand pointed out that all of those polls rely on Dem turnout being +4 and as much as +7, when in 2006, Republicans actually had the advantage by +3. She also pointed out that the numbers for Obama in SWVA look absolutely awful and that McCain is running 10 points better then Allen did in NoVa.
Anyway, her companies conclusion is that the election will come down to Colorado, New Hampshire and the Republican leaning district in Maine, which in her opinion might very well decide the Presidency (apparently the district in Nebraska that Obama thought he might be able to get is now off the table).She said she has very little doubt that the public polling is part of a concerted voter suppression effort by the MSM. She said IBD/TIPP was the only outfit doing public polling that was worth a bucket of warm piss.
As a democrat, Hillary does what she's instructed to at least publically. The PUMA's should realize this about their....party.
What Hillary may be doing behind the scenes may be a horse of a different color though.
Palin cracked the nut nobody else could.The PUMAs LOVE Sarah!She seems to have them thinking. Amazing.
I found THIS wonderful image, also posted on HillBUZZ:
Agreed, though Hillary has become more aggressive in her appearance of support than I was hoping would be the case.
Yes!!!
The party masters wouldn’t be happy to only see a lukewarm performance out of her. She’s performing at the level they desire.
Mc/Palin will take PA but the msm will report the exit polls showing Osama in the lead.
This must be the same pollster they use at Fox. The O’Reilly website has McCain leading in “lockdown” states 189-183. McCain is still hitting Iowa and Pennsylvania hard and these states are listed as tossup. Also shows Indiana and NC locked for McCain.
Cute little ad at this PUMA site - Would you buy a used car from this man?
http://riverdaughter.wordpress.com/
I think that is more than offset by the huge percentage of undecided voters still out there. Of course, the undecided respondents might simply be lying because of the racial issue and are are voting McCain.
RonDog wrote:Oops!The ORIGINAL title was a little less informative:
October 25, 2008
Hey Eeyores: another take on those polls
Posted by hillbuzz under Uncategorized
See also THESE (related) threads -- posted YESTERDAY:
Corroboration of the Hillbuzz poll info from NYPostSorry!
Another take on the polls
I checked out the P.U.M.A. sight too. These folks are not being talked about by the MSN because that would put too much spotlight on Bambi for not choosing Hillary.
They haven’t exacted their revenge to Obama yet...but they will on November 4th and I thank them very sincerely.
Thank you P.U.M.A.s for your support of McCain/Palin.
We will all be relieved on November 5th that we put down the biggest threat to our nation.........SOCIALISM, COMMUNISM.
Like you, rumors I'm hearing through the grapevine saying that CO moving our way and that it may---MAY---be enough to bring Schaeffer in as well.
You can be blunt without using "loaded" terminology: Obama and the Democrats want to TAKE YOUR 401Ks. THEY SAID SO.
In fact, I'm stunned the RNC isn't running wall to wall ads for the House with that hearing on the 401Ks. This really resonates. Forget socialism---this is about "my retirement."
So far the strat is paying off. We aren’t seeing big numbers in early voting; in CO the Republicans were actually ahead in early voting #s; and in FL, the Dems had a “whopping” 900-ballot advantage. Now, we don’t know how many of THEM were “Operation Chaos Democrats,” or how many are Jews that absolutely will not vote for Obama . . . .
You are absolutely right- if they'd just frame the debate that way, it would be all over.
IIRC,most of the PUMA sites are by invitation only.
We shall see.
I am betting money, big, all in money.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.