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RED ALERT: FX Dislocation In Process
Market Ticker ^ | 2-16-2009 | Karl Denninger

Posted on 02/16/2009 7:47:40 PM PST by dangermouse

8:17 CT

I do not know what is going on here, and I don't think I want to.

Someone, apparently someone in Asia, wants dollars. A LOT of dollars. There is a forced-liquidation event underway that is massive, it is against all asset classes and it is spreading.

It originated at approximately 7:15 CT this evening and originated out of Asia somewhere. All of the primary currency crosses got hit at once - Euro, Pound, Yen - all weakened dramatically against the dollar and it is still going on. The Asian stock markets got walloped at the same time in coordinated waves of forced selling.

At the same time the US futures markets got nailed as well, down some six handles on the /ES in a near-vertical drop. While this sounds "not that big" to move these markets in a coordinated fashion like this is a trillion-dollar enterprise - this is not some small company that went bankrupt, or even a large company.

There is no news coverage at the present time identifying the source of this but it is not small and contrary to some reports it is not "automatic selling"; this is forced liquidation.

Folks, if this translates into Eastern Europe where there are severe instabilities already brewing literally everything in the financial world could come apart "all at once."

The worse news is that if this happens Bernanke will have killed us (in the US) by extending those swap lines all over the planet during the last six months. These will become utterly uncollectable and they are massive, in the many hundreds of billions of dollars.

To those who are reading this, I hope if you're in the markets you are prepared for extreme levels of violence. You must expect that the authorities will try to arrest the destruction if they are able, but you must also be prepared for the possibility that we have reached a "critical mass" point beyond which "duck and cover" is the only winning strategy.

Unfortunately.

I hope I'm wrong; this is going to be a long night.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Japan; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; currency; denninger; dollar; economy; tm; yen
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I don't know too much about FOREX, but Karl seems to know what he's talking about most of the time.
1 posted on 02/16/2009 7:47:40 PM PST by dangermouse
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To: dangermouse; TigerLikesRooster

Ping for your input.


2 posted on 02/16/2009 7:48:59 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Atlas Shrugged Mode: ON)
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To: dangermouse

Yikes!

I have no idea what all this means but I sorta read: BAD BAD BAD


3 posted on 02/16/2009 7:49:01 PM PST by freedumb2003 (Communism comes to America: 1/20/2009. Keep your powder dry, folks.)
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To: dangermouse

I agree ! What is up with the nuclear bomb montage?


4 posted on 02/16/2009 7:49:51 PM PST by free from tyranny
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To: Squantos

ping!


5 posted on 02/16/2009 7:50:32 PM PST by hiredhand (Understand the CRA and why we're facing economic collapse - see my about page.)
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To: dangermouse
Link to a discussion forum on this topic:

http://www.tickerforum.org/cgi-ticker/akcs-www?post=83465

6 posted on 02/16/2009 7:50:44 PM PST by FReepaholic (Diversity = .45 .357 .223 .38 ...)
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To: dangermouse

Welcome to flights to quality...and deflation.


7 posted on 02/16/2009 7:51:17 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: dangermouse

Just posted it on this thread:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2187175/posts?page=34


8 posted on 02/16/2009 7:51:29 PM PST by Quix (POL BOSSES say fm1900 2 presnt: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/religion/2130557/posts?page=81#81)
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To: dangermouse

U.S. Futures heading way down. Gold and Silver up big... something is going on. Thanks for the info.


9 posted on 02/16/2009 7:53:54 PM PST by Sleeping Freeper
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To: dangermouse

Would you mind putting this extremely bad news in layman’s language so we can understand?


10 posted on 02/16/2009 7:54:18 PM PST by PhiKapMom ( BOOMER SOONER! Sam Bradford Heisman! LetsGetThisRight.com RED STATE Oklahoma Republican)
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To: All

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/chat/2136635/posts
“Are you looking for a job?”

Note: This thread is updated on a regular basis.


11 posted on 02/16/2009 7:55:29 PM PST by Cindy
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To: dangermouse

One thing that is going on in Asia is the buggest run on a currency in history - the Ruble.

Another is almost $2 trillion in short term debt to Western Europe from West Asia and Eastern Europe and its really not clear they can pay.

This will put some large European banks and even countries at risk.

Gonna be a heck of a ride and the U.S. is better off than most others. Thus the flight to dollars.


12 posted on 02/16/2009 7:55:31 PM PST by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: dangermouse

Oh, come on. Obama and the Democrats eat “hundreds of billions” of dollars for breakfast. Trillion is no longer a insurmountable sum. Have no fear, the Obamassiah’s gonna save us.


13 posted on 02/16/2009 7:55:35 PM PST by Jim Robinson
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To: LucyT

ping


14 posted on 02/16/2009 7:55:38 PM PST by Velveeta
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To: hiredhand; Travis McGee

Got it......damn !


15 posted on 02/16/2009 7:55:49 PM PST by Squantos (Be polite. Be professional. But have a plan to kill everyone you meet)
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To: dangermouse

From what I understand, Poland is about to default on debt. Same with Ireland. The Euro is tanking on this news, dollar soaring, temporarily at least. Big worry is that counterparty risk through derivatives will cause the defaults in Europe to “jump the pond” and the whole ball of wax starts melting down.


16 posted on 02/16/2009 7:57:00 PM PST by jsh3180
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To: dangermouse

Yikes bump for look tomorrow morning!


17 posted on 02/16/2009 7:57:30 PM PST by Freedom56v2
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To: dangermouse
Streaming FOREX rates

http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/forex-rates/

EURO dropping fast
18 posted on 02/16/2009 7:57:57 PM PST by HangnJudge
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To: dangermouse

Korea Bank Funding Costs Rise to Record on Woori Woes (Update1)

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=asIynTA6wD48&refer=asia


19 posted on 02/16/2009 7:58:06 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Atlas Shrugged Mode: ON)
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To: dangermouse

Soros?


20 posted on 02/16/2009 7:58:15 PM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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