Viscount Monckton of Brenchley: Climate Myths and National Security

American Thinker ^ | October 12, 2009 | Viscount Monckton of Brenchley

[neverdem]

The President of the United States recently told the United Nations that "global warming" poses a threat to national security and may engender conflicts as populations are displaced by rising sea levels, droughts, floods, storms etc. etc. etc. However, it is now clear that there is no basis for the notion that the barely-detectable human influence on the climate is likely to prove a threat to climate, still less to national security.

The first principle to which any national security advisor must adhere is that of objective truth. Though he must have an understanding of politics, he is not a politician: he is a truth-bearer. Therefore, he begins by narrowing down the issue to a single, central question whose answer determines whether the suggested threat is real. He then tries to find the truthful answer to that question, and draws his conclusion from that.

Quid enim est veritas? What, then, is the truth? The single question whose answer gives us the truth about the climate question is this: By how much will any given proportionate increase in CO2 concentration warm the world? We now know the answer. The oceans, which must store 80-90% of all heat-energy accumulated in the atmosphere as a result of the radiative imbalance caused by greater greenhouse-gas concentration, have shown no net accumulation of heat for almost 70 years, implying a very small influence of CO2 on temperature (Douglass & Knox, 2009). The devastating analysis of cloud-albedo effects shortly to be published by Dr. Roy Spencer of the University of Alabama at Huntsville will show that the UN has wrongly decided that cloud changes reinforce greenhouse warming, when in fact they substantially offset it. Repeated studies of the tropical upper troposphere (e.g. Douglass et al., 2008) show that it is failing to warm at thrice the surface rate as required by all of the UN's models, again implying very low climate sensitivity. The clincher is Professor Richard Lindzen's meticulous recent paper demonstrating - by direct measurement - that the amount of radiation escaping from the Earth's atmosphere to space is many times greater than the UN's models are all told to believe. From this, the world's most formidable atmospheric physicist has calculated that a doubling of CO2 concentration, expected over the next 150 years, would cause 0.75 C (1.5 F) of warming, at most: not the 3.4 C (6 F) that the UN takes as its central estimate.

Most analysts would stop there. Yet some might ask, "Suppose that the single satellite on which Lindzen's results depend is defective. What then?" They might consider the economic cost of attempting to mitigate the "global warming" which, as our Monthly Reports demonstrate, is not actually happening. The figures turn out to be startlingly simple. To mitigate just 1 C (2 F) of warming, one must forego the emission of 2 trillion tons of CO2. The world emits just 30 billion tons a year. So the analyst, as a thought-experiment, would shut down the entire world economy, emitting no CO2 at all. Even then, and even on the incorrect assumption that the UN's exaggerated projections of the effect of CO2 on temperature are correct, it would take 67 years to mitigate 1 C warming. Preventing the 3.4 C (6 F) warming that the UN's climate panel thinks would occur in 100 years would take 225 years without any transportation, and with practically no electrical energy. The national security advisor would at that point advise his head of government that there has never been any security threat less grave, or more expensive to prevent, than the non-problem that is "global warming". It is the fearmongers that are the real national security threat.

[Nipfan]

You can always rely on Lord Monckton to distil the truth in an accurate and highly amusing manner. No wonder he is so hated by the alarmists. He literally takes the wind out of their sails.

There was another thread today about the EPA having the power to reduce CO2 emissions to zero, thereby turning everyone in the U.S.A. into criminals. The point that wasn’t made is that the only way to truly eliminate CO2 emissions is to commit group hari-kari. We do exhale the stuff after all (like all other creatures), and at quite high levels too.

[Jack Hammer]

The good news is that there seems to be a bit of movement - small but perceptible - away from this horse sh1t notion that human activities are changing the climate. One wonders, however, what sort of idiotic fantasies the Chicken Littles will invent next.

[carumba]

...what sort of idiotic fantasies the Chicken Littles will invent next.
My guess is the food supply or the internet.

[Tainan]

Hear! Hear!

[PogySailor]

bttt

[steelyourfaith]

 

Beam me to Planet Gore !

[MissDairyGoodnessVT]

you would be better off inhaling with the Viscount.

Someone over there at American Thinker is asleep at the switch when publishing an article by Viscount(s) Monckton de Brenchley

see ya’......i’m gonna’ roll me a fattie ;)

[Nipfan]

I think you’ve already had enough of whatever it is you’re imbibing.

[MissDairyGoodnessVT]

i was just kidding about rolling a fattie.
Google Viscount Monckton of Brenchley /come back & tell me which Discount authored the article over at AT

[MissDairyGoodnessVT]

Discount Monckton

http://www.desmogblog.com/pompous-prat-alert-viscount-monckton-tour

[silverleaf]

https://www.cia.gov/news-information/press-releases-statements/center-on-climate-change-and-national-security.html

the cia is coopted into becoming a source of slush funds for enviro whackos.

[GBA]

The good news is that there seems to be a bit of movement - small but perceptible - away from this horse sh1t notion that human activities are changing the climate.

That is a good thing. Unfortunately, it has taken a decade of "normal" to cool weather since the high in 1998 for a wee bit of doubt to enter the national conciousness and take hold.

Just don't think for a minute that they have given up. Cap and Trade/crap and tax is still very much alive and moving towards obama's pen. This is far from over.

Like the bumper sticker says, "Never underestimate the power of stupid (and determined) people in large groups."

[Tax-chick]

Lord Monckton ping! (Grammar p0rn?)

[nina0113]

Do you get all your information from blogs? That speaks to YOUR credibility, not Monckton’s.

[nina0113]

Thanks! It’s always a pleasure to read his carefully-researched and wittily-written analyses.

[MissDairyGoodnessVT]

No i do not get “all” my information from blogs :) :)

[Tax-chick]

My Tom - 8th grade - has completed his current English workbooks. I think I’ll print out this piece and have him diagram some of the sentences.

[nina0113]

He’s going to need a really big piece of paper. Monckton is so literate that I’d have a hard time with them myself. Classics at Cambridge, sigh...Are any of the Chicklets considering that or Oxford?

I just looked at your page again. I rmember when James was a baby. Gosh, we’ve been on here a long time.

[Tax-chick]

Yeah, it has been a long time - more than six years since we moved here, and James will be six in January (Gen. Lee’s birthday). And Bill was a cute little boy, and now he’s a towering, handsome young man.

Bill wants to be a cook, Tom wants to be a biologist. The little girls haven’t expressed specific ambitions. Pat and Vlad are the ones studying Greek, so I’d pick Pat for the First in Classics at Oxford.