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To: CincyRichieRich
I'm afraid I cannot trust this survey”

I can.
Rasmussen is the most trustworthy, and one of the most accurate pollsters out there. The poll is fine.
Thing is, there is nothing to worry about in this poll, with over 3 years to go to the 2012 elections, and over 2 years to go to the Republican primaries.

A quick look at the polls for the Republican primaries with from 2006 and 2007, with less than 2 years to go to the 2008 elections, and only a year out to the Republican primaries shows what I am talking about:

November 2006:
"Giuliani 24% Rice 18% McCain 17%
Posted on Wednesday, November 08, 2006 4:09:15 PM by RWR8189

Democrats carried the day in Election 2006 and the 2008 campaign has already begun. Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads the GOP field and is supported by 24%. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is in second with 18% support.

Senator John McCain earned a lot of important friends with his aggressive campaigning in 2006, but he starts the 2008 campaign as the choice for 17% of voters.

Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney comes in fourth with 9% support."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1735045/posts

December 2006:
"Giuliani Leads McCain by Seven
Posted on Sunday, December 10, 2006 2:57:45 PM by FairOpinion

Rudy Giuliani remains the most popular presidential hopeful for Republican Party sympathizers in the United States, according to a poll by Opinion Dynamics released by Fox News. 30 per cent of respondents would vote for the former New York City mayor in a 2008 primary.

Arizona senator John McCain is second with 23 per cent, followed by former House of Representatives speaker Newt Gingrich with nine per cent, and Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney with eight per cent."
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1751377/posts

April 2007:
" LA Times/Bloomberg Poll: McCain collapses to 3rd place; Thompson strong; Hillary has huge lead
REPUBLICAN DATA Giuliani 29%, Thompson 15%, McCain 12%, Romney 8%, Gingrich 8%. Others or none of the above, 28%.

Giuliani beats Clinton by 6, 48-42; McCain loses by 3, 42-45. Both lose to Obama (42-46 and 40-48, respectively).

61% of GOP wants to move beyond Bush's policies; only 30% wish to continue (immigration, war, etc?)"
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1816207/posts

Februray 2007:
" New York, New York Rudy vs. Hillary in 2008? [NOONAN]
The Wallstreet Journal ^ | Friday, February 9, 2007 12:01 a.m. EST | Peggy Noonan

According to polls, Hillary Clinton holds an early and significant lead among Democratic voters (43%, compared with 22% for Barack Obama in a Fox News poll 10 days ago). She is of course the killer fund-raiser of the race, with one of her contributors crowing this week that she'll raise more money than all the other candidates combined. So let's call her the likely Democratic nominee, even though Mr. Obama hasn't even announced yet. On the Republican side it's Giuliani time, with Fox News putting him at 34% among GOP voters and John McCain coming in second with 22%. He hasn't announced yet either, but this week he filed all the papers. So at the moment, and with keen awareness that not a vote has been cast, it is possible to say the state of New York is poised to become the home of both major-party presidential candidates"
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1783133/posts

So what happened to that all but certain, President Guiliani or President Hilary Clinton that they had going then?
Neither McCain or 0bama was ever ahead in any of these polls from 2006 or early 2007, yet they came from behind and won their primaries. If even a train wreck like John McCain could come back from behind and win, I don't see why an astute, super smart Sarah Palin can't do much better than McCain did, come 2012.

45 posted on 10/16/2009 9:33:46 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

“I’m afraid I cannot trust this survey”

I can.
Rasmussen is the most trustworthy, and one of the most accurate pollsters out there. The poll is fine.
Thing is, there is nothing to worry about in this poll, with over 3 years to go to the 2012 elections, and over 2 years to go to the Republican primaries


Good work, digging, putting it together. I’m convinced.


53 posted on 10/17/2009 4:00:11 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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