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An Israeli Preventive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Sites: Implications for the U.S.
Heritage.org ^ | 1-15-10 | James Phillips

Posted on 01/15/2010 3:10:44 PM PST by SJackson

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To: John S Mosby
Wow John, where ya been for the last 5 months? Just getting caught up?

To answer your question, How do I know this:

Common sense tells me Hamas & Hezbollah need little provocation to attack Israel. They both get arms from Iran, so they owe Iran some allegiance. Syria is a partner of Iran, so I fully expect Syria to come to Iran's defense. Syria also wants the Golan Heights back. They can't get it back by themselves. Syria also presents an opportunity for Iran to wage a ground war on Israel thru Syria.

If any of these 3 turned their back on Iran after an attack by Israel, it would be a great victory for Israel & bring shame on the 3 cowards. Muslims don't react this way, & they would rather die than be shamed.

As for the Saudis, they never get involved militarily until they are invaded. They will play both sides until a winner is certain. Don't look for them to do much more than ignore Israeli overflights & spread a little money around to gain favor with everybody involved.

Short of using nukes, I do not believe that Israel alone has the military assets to destroy Iranian nuclear ambitions, only delay & disrupt them. And this strategy ignores chemical & biological weapons that could be built,deployed, & used much easier than nukes.

If the US were to join in, it could certainly be done. But that's not happening either. GWB didn't do it, even with all the provocations Iran made during the Iraq war. I doubt wimpy Obama would do it even if Iran sank one of our ships.

OTOH, the mullahs, Imanutjob, & a few others are the SOURCE of the danger facing Israel from Iran; & until they are dead & replaced with more rational & reasonable people, the danger to Israel will always be there - nukes or no nukes.
Much of this could be done w/o all the risks of a direct attack.

While it “is possible to both destroy the program sites and the leadership”, it is also possible to fail, & lose the cream of the air force in the effort, which could leave Israel weak to repel an attack from nearer home.

Nothing I would like better than to see ANYONE destroy the mullacracy & their nukes, but the risks are very high & success is not certain, nor is the reaction of the rest of the world. Only the US could do this & “get away” with it in the court of world opinion. Israel doesn't have a chance in that corrupt, immoral arena.

21 posted on 06/05/2010 9:59:28 AM PDT by Mister Da (The mark of a wise man is not what he knows, but what he knows he doesn't know!)
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To: Thunder90
"If Iran is attacked by Israel, it is likely that at least one of our Nimitz class carriers will be destroyed by the waves of missiles that will be fired into the Persian Gulf. Our troops would also be attacked in Iraq and Afghanistan by Iranian forces."

I highly doubt that. Carriers don't cruise around by themselves - think perimenter ships/AEGIS/Phalanx/aircraft, et al. But if so, that is the price to be paid by our Sailors, as do the Marines and Army every day in theater. Although, the Navy is currently a relatively safe service, they are still a military fighting force and are willing to possibly die for national security and the better good. If they do, so be it. I will mourn my shipmates.

The retaliation would shake the world. The Joint Chiefs would make sure of it and the peacenik obambi would be compelled to order such, or be replaced. There is no way, that a sinking of one of our carriers (with 5000 sons and daughters) would result in a stern letter to Iran or the UN.

Plus, if Israel attacked Iran, I'm-anutjob and his mullahs would have their hands too full to make any move on Iraq or Afghan. Pretty sure they would be cowering in their bunkers, providing they're still alive after an Israeli pre-emptive strike.

22 posted on 06/05/2010 10:04:26 AM PDT by A Navy Vet (An Oath Is Forever!)
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To: Bobalu

Dirty bomb their facilities and make them hot and unusable to safely work in. The threat of being exposed to high levels of radiation should put a damper on the Iranians to want desire to work there.


23 posted on 06/05/2010 11:00:22 AM PDT by Always Independent
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To: Always Independent

Iran has foolishly escalated this potential conflict to a nuclear one. They are and always have been the aggressors. Obviously a suicidal path, but Israel has the right to exist and defend itself.


24 posted on 06/05/2010 2:59:49 PM PDT by wolfman
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To: Mister Da

Thanks for your answer. No, I’m not catching up. As you say,the Saudis use the mother’s milk of politics in the area- money, and therefore can direct the action. Hamas is a tool and can be put down, as can Syria. Saudis do not like Persians, and especially not Almostgotajob. They tacitly support Israel over Iran, and have done so in the past. Israel does not have to worry about airspace. They have increased their covert naval presence through Suez. This will be a summer to end all. Hamas keeps pushing the Gaza thing, with Iran’s help. And Iran threatens. Iran is going to get some dessert. What I don’t know is when, and that is a real good thing. Hope this does not become a “perfect storm” for the US, with N. Korea coordinating with Iran. Not with an incompetent at the helm.


25 posted on 06/05/2010 5:22:10 PM PDT by John S Mosby (Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; blueyon; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Ernest_at_the_Beach; ...
Last year, Israeli officials leaked the details of a secret Israeli air attack against a convoy transporting Iran-supplied arms in Sudan that was headed for Egypt's Sinai Peninsula to be smuggled through tunnels to Hamas. The officials stressed that the long distances involved signaled Israeli preparedness to launch other aerial operations against Iran if necessary.

26 posted on 06/05/2010 5:35:13 PM PDT by SunkenCiv ("Fools learn from experience. I prefer to learn from the experience of others." -- Otto von Bismarck)
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To: wolfman

I agree, the nutjob is trying his best to get attacked by I’ll say anyone at this point.


27 posted on 06/06/2010 12:32:20 AM PDT by Always Independent
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To: SJackson

28 posted on 06/06/2010 1:15:39 AM PDT by Natural Born 54 (FUBO x 10)
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To: chuck_the_tv_out

Nope. Oklahoma City


29 posted on 06/15/2010 2:01:47 PM PDT by Doctor Don
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