Anyone taking bets that they will touch off a Nuke??????????????
Unfortunately, they were given such good and detailed plans by A. Q. Khan and the US (through Operation Merlin), it's likely they wouldn't need to test it. All they need is the material, which they're feverishly trying to obtain.
I fear once they have what they need, their "test" would be on an Israeli city or US forces in the ME. Maybe both.
With what we’ve been hearing since before Christmas, that’s EXACTLY my thought, but WHERE?
If they do, it would probably be an accident
More likely they will announce they have one.
They might have enough fissionable material to do a nuke. Not that it is likely to work very well, but efficiency of the device is not really the point. It does not seem that any of these third world detonations are very good at yields.
As always, they are political weapons, versus actual weapons. By that I mean that you really can’t use them against others without being turned to a cinder yourself(not that some of the clergy would care given that they’re mostly Twelvers). My guess is that they’ve acquired some more fireworks from the Ruskies that they’re going to set off. Honestly, they’re like a bunch of kids on the Fourth of July. Chances are, they’re going to get their hands blown off eventually. They are not exceptionally bright on such matters, but with the literacy rate being exceptionally low in Iran, there is not going to be a lot of political responsibility on matters such as this.
All bravado aside, could be a fisionable weapon.
Yes, but where?