Posted on 12/12/2010 2:17:22 PM PST by freespirited
The upcoming election has disaster written all over it for Senate Democrats... 23 are up for reelection in 2012 and many sit where the Republican surge is hitting. Plus, most voted for the president's agenda that included healthcare reform and the bailouts of Wall Street and auto industry. ... the National Republican Senatorial Committee has a top 10 list of Senate Democrats to beat.
1. Nebraska's Ben Nelson. The NRSC will remind voters of Nelson's support for Majority Leader Harry Reid...
2. Montana's Jon Tester. While popular at home, Tester comes from a Republican state that the GOP is confident of winning back with the right candidate.
3. Ohio's Sherrod Brown. Ohio elected a Republican senator and governor in November and party officials believe the swing to the GOP will continue in 2012.
4. Missouri's Claire McCaskill. Seats in Missouri are always tough to defend because the state's electorate is split. But like many other states, Missouri seems to be trending Republican.
5. Florida's Bill Nelson. Look for outgoing Sen. George LeMieux ... to run against Nelson in a state where Tea Party is strong.
6. West Virginia's Joe Manchin. Another state trending Republican ...
7. Pennsylvania's Bob Casey. GOP sees a good chance to pick up another Senate seat in Pennsylvania where fiscal conservative Toomey won in November.
8. Wisconsin's Herb Kohl. If Kohl runs for reelection, Republicans feel they have a good chance to portray him as the same kind of liberal as ousted Russ Feingold. ...
9. Virginia's Jim Webb. Another purple state that has been painted red in recent elections, Webb could find himself running against former Sen. George Allen.
10. North Dakota's Kent Conrad. Conrad worked hard on the Obama healthcare plan, and that will be a problem for many Democrats, GOP believes. ...
(Excerpt) Read more at politics.usnews.com ...
We need to go after the rinos just as spirited.Afterall its those sumbitches that give them cover.Tea Party all the way.
Stabenow has been polling rather weakly.
If they get only 4 of these 10 that makes a majority. Still though it is early to talk about major Demo losses next time. Two years ago at this time most analysts thought Republicans would lose more seats in both houses in 2010!
hile we are at it, stop with “Islam” and “Muslim”. Those are Arabic terms. In English, please use “Mohammedism” and “Mohammedan”, respectively.
Webb and McCaskill should be targets.
Mr. Bedard, just what in the H are you smokin' dude? Pepe LeMieux has already reached his high point. Take it from a Tea Partier, he is not anywhere near a viable candidate as to have been associated with Charlie. Bet your bottom dollar we are looking for another Marco type of candidate to come out of the blue like he did and I'm sure he has a listing of those he would consider and George is not on that list.
Random thoughts:
1. Nebraska’s Ben Nelson.
-Good chance for a GOP pickup, unless Nelson can sell himself as a conservative Democrat in 2012 back home. Right now, I’d guess a 60% chance of a GOP pickup.
3. Ohio’s Sherrod Brown.
-Love to see Brown sent home. Ultra-liberal.
4. Missouri’s Claire McCaskill.
-My gut instinct is, this is as close to a lock as any GOP race can be. Run a decent candidate, and McCaskill is toast.
6. West Virginia’s Joe Manchin.
-I think Manchin wins re-election.
7. Pennsylvania’s Bob Casey.
-PA has broken my heart before, but I’m hoping on this one.
9. Virginia’s Jim Webb.
-Allen can take this guy.
#####
My Darkhorse picks:
Stabenow-MI Run Engler or some other high recognition GOP candidate, and I think the GOP can pull off the upset. Detroit’s corruption is always a factor, but I don’t think it will be as strong as in past elections. I might be dead wrong, but right now, I’d give 40-45% chance of beating her in 2012.
Feinstein - CA. If DiFi runs, she’ll win big. The question is, will she retire? She’s given no indications of doing so, but she’ll be 79 in 2012. If she chooses to retire, there could be a small window of opportunity for a GOP candidate. Very long odds here, but a guy can hope, yes?
Of that list, I’ll keep Kyl and Corker — both have done good conservative work (OK, I know, not perfect; but what senators have been more conservative than they?); but above all, I’ll keep Scott Brown. Not beause he is a conservative. He is just the best we could ever hope to get out of that phooey-balooey state.
Feinstein would probably win. Then with a Republican Senate and maybe some changes in assignments, she might wait about a yearn to retire so Brown could name a Democrat to replace her. Feinstein’s seat needs to be won outright by a Republican, and that is the proverbial mountain to climb.
yearn = year
I hope the MN. conservatives can come up with a viable
threat to the “box of rocks” Amy Klobuchar this round, also.
Hey Claire....the message was clearly explained...furthermore MISSOURIANS reject it.
Oh Claireeeee....we're coming for you *itch.
Imagine....Senator Vicky Kennedy (D-MA)
What is wrong with Barrasso?
Where’s Debbie Stabenow from Michigan? She is definitely vulnerable.
Brown got in because he was running against Dewine. If the Republicans run another RINO Brown could win again but that is the only way.
Brown got in because he was running against Dewine. If the Republicans run another RINO Brown could win again but that is the only way.
I agree with you on Pa. To me, Pa, Ne, and WV are all in the same boat. I believe those states are becoming more conservative and I think we can win them. But I wont believe it until I see it. How many times was Murtha dead in the water in a growing conservative area of Pa, just to keep getting reelected. Same with the WV Sens. As for Ne (and Nelson of Fl and Conrad), these states just seem to enjoy sending the bums back over throwing them out. I really hope we get it.
Im in Tx, so I know I wont vote for Hutch. I will vote against in the primary, but if she wins there, will abstain. The GOP candidate will win any way, so at least I can feel good about it.
As for Mi, is there any chance of the conservatives who lost the Gov primary running here, maybe like Hoekstra? I dont know much about them or Mi politics, but Hoekstra seems to have name recognition in Mi.
Right you are. He spent so much time in crist's back pocket that he likely still has lint stuck in his rear end. Although it is useful to call his office and pretend to be on the fence about him during critical votes, you should not have to worry about his vote. I hope that the FL Tea Party is actively looking for a suitable primary challenger for him.
Another Bushie. No to him. He has RINO stamped on his forehead.
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