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Poll: Trump’s entry into the race would hurt Palin the most
Hotair ^ | March 23,2011 | Allahpundit

Posted on 03/23/2011 8:01:22 PM PDT by Hojczyk

It’s weird to think of him pulling votes from anyone, but … Palin? The candidate with the single most devoted base in the entire field?

Draw me a Venn diagram of their respective constituencies, please.

Ten percent of Republicans and independents who lean Republican say they would most likely support Trump for the GOP’s 2012 presidential nomination.

That would place him fifth on the list behind former Arkansas Gov. and 2008 Republican presidential candidate Mike Huckabee at 19 percent, former Massachusetts Gov. and 2008 White House hopeful Mitt Romney at 18 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 14 percent, and 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee Sarah Palin at 12 percent…

“Removing Trump’s name from the list and allocating his voters to their second choice gives Huckabee 21 percent and Romney 19 percent – essentially unchanged from January. In a Trump-less field, Gingrich gets 15 percent, up from 10 percent in January, and Paul goes from 7 percent to 11 percent. Palin is the big loser, dropping from 19 percent in a no-Trump round in January to just 13 percent now,” adds Holland.

That’s the fun part of the poll. The less fun part is that Democratic enthusiasm has jumped to 56 percent, trimming a 22-point Republican advantage to … just six. I’m trying hard not to attribute that to a backlash on the left against Wisconsin, but it’s the most compelling explanation I can think of.

As for the Trump/Palin overlap, maybe there’s a portion of disengaged Republican voters who tilt towards the candidate with the highest name recognition. Normally that’s Sarah, but That Guy From “The Apprentice” out-celebrities even her. Similarly, could be that some righties are looking to liven up the debates for fear of a Romney/Pawlenty/Gingrich/Daniels soporific nightmare. Palin and Trump would both achieve that. Or maybe some of Palin’s support right now is as a protest vote by people disaffected with the establishment GOP. I’m skeptical of that, though, since protest votes don’t normally go to candidates like her who can actually win.

If the Trump vote is coming from people who are simply looking to spoil a ballot as a kiss-off to the top contenders in the field, I would think he’d be pulling more from someone like Ron Paul (who actually finished two points behind Trump) than from her.

All theories welcome. Via JWF, here he is


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: birthertrump
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To: Hojczyk
Hot Air - the only “conservative” website run by trolls. AllahPundit is a committed liberal and Ed Morressey is a squishy RINO.
41 posted on 03/23/2011 8:26:47 PM PDT by bwc2221
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To: Lazlo in PA

OMG, is that Trump’s wife? She’s beautiful.

She’s # 3 right? The third is a charm.


42 posted on 03/23/2011 8:28:13 PM PDT by ladyjane
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To: Kevmo

I can’t see Trump being a spoiler just for spite’s sake. If the country goes down, so do many of his fortunes. Palin knows how to make amicable political accommodations with potential allies.


43 posted on 03/23/2011 8:28:30 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Hawk)
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To: Hojczyk

not likely, as a Palin fan, I will not support Trump


44 posted on 03/23/2011 8:28:43 PM PDT by 4rcane
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To: chris37

>> “If The Donald has the balls to call the Kenyan bastard out on his non-existent birf certificate, then let him. It serves a useful purpose.” <<

.
Really, no.

Obama is inelligible regardless of his time or place of birth because his father was not a citizen. Its just as simple as that, and no BC is going to help or hurt him as much as that simple fact.


45 posted on 03/23/2011 8:29:18 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: Lazlo in PA

I believe his wife is smokin’ hot, precisely because of before referenced confidence and balls.

People instinctively admire those qualities.

Wish the GOP would pick up on that fact. They’ve certainly been told enough.


46 posted on 03/23/2011 8:29:18 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (Palin / Trump 2012 - America First)
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To: RockinRight

Damaged why?

Because the liberal media says she’s not good enough???


47 posted on 03/23/2011 8:29:19 PM PDT by proudpapa
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To: Hojczyk
Donald Trump

born June 14, 1946 in Queens, New York, NY (Meets the Jus Soli Requirement)

Parents were
Frederick Christ Trump, born October 11, 1905 in Queens, NY, died June 1999 in Queens, NY
Mary Ann MacLeod, born May 10, 1912 in SCOTLAND, died August 7, 2000 in Queens, NY. Arrived in US October 5, 1935. Married January 1936. Naturalized as a US Citizen March 10, 1942.

Both parents were US Citizens at the time of his birth (Meets the Jus Sanguinis Requirement)

Donald Trump is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN unlike Comrade Barry.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sarah Louise Palin

Born February 11, 1964 in Sandpoint, ID (Meets the Jus Soli Requirement)

Parents were
Charles R Heath, born in ID
Sarah Sheeran, born in WI

Both parents were US Citizens at the time of her birth (Meets the Jus Sanguinis Requirement)

Sarah Palin is a NATURAL BORN CITIZEN unlike Comrade Barry.

48 posted on 03/23/2011 8:29:42 PM PDT by ASA Vet (Natural-born citizens, are those born in the country, of parents who are citizens. De Vattel)
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To: Revel

Well, in this case Trump can skip the bankrupting step because the country already has virtually done it. He can go right to the rebuilding.


49 posted on 03/23/2011 8:29:42 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Hawk)
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To: ladyjane

Anyone can look good with enough make up. Take them off... um, what happened to that beautiful person


50 posted on 03/23/2011 8:31:49 PM PDT by 4rcane
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To: editor-surveyor
Palin is as good as elected.


51 posted on 03/23/2011 8:32:59 PM PDT by re_nortex (DP...that's what I like about Texas.)
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To: Lazlo in PA

Is this a photo or a painting?


52 posted on 03/23/2011 8:33:12 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (Hawk)
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To: RockinRight

LOL!

Where’s the damage?

She’s so far in front her tail lights are all there is to see.


53 posted on 03/23/2011 8:33:12 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

Well you do have a point their....LOL


54 posted on 03/23/2011 8:33:40 PM PDT by Revel
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To: 4rcane

At least Trump has an attractive wife, he knows how to hold a wine glass, can spell Syracuse, and can pronounce the word corps.

That would be an upgrade.


55 posted on 03/23/2011 8:36:14 PM PDT by ladyjane
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To: ladyjane

Trump is sort of a Republican John sKerry.


56 posted on 03/23/2011 8:38:11 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

I say photo. The contrast under the dress wouldn’t be so dark otherwise.


57 posted on 03/23/2011 8:39:35 PM PDT by Gene Eric (*** Jesus ***)
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To: Hojczyk

And Dewey will Defeat Truman.


58 posted on 03/23/2011 8:40:31 PM PDT by Dryman ("FREE THE LONG FORM!")
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To: editor-surveyor

I’d never vote for the guy but he’d certainly be better than our current president.

But then, who wouldn’t be better?


59 posted on 03/23/2011 8:42:01 PM PDT by ladyjane
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To: Hojczyk

Just curious. If Charlie Sheen gets in, who does he hurt the most? I mean, as long as we’re discussing completely absurd candidates.


60 posted on 03/23/2011 8:47:49 PM PDT by RichInOC (Palin 2012: The Perfect Storm.)
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