Didn’t he have the Dems losing 4-5 seats last election until 2 weeks prior?
Pray for America
Why in the world is Texas only a “likely”? Obama wouldn’t beat a ham sandwich in Texas.
I’m pleased to see Colorado in the toss-up category. Used to be we were reliably Republican, but there’s been a huge influx of illegals and liberals in the last 20 years, and now our governor, both senators, and all but two congressmen are Democrats.
This map would work if 2009-2010 never happened.
Sabato is dreaming.
Wonder how that map changes if Trump somehow manages to make it? And how much money that’ll cost the Democrats just to bring that new map back to this one...
Michigan lost a seat.
Sabato is an always wrong puke.
Sabato often skews left, and he certainly overestimates the jackasses with this map.
Indiana and Ohio are SOLID R’s for 2012. Likely Wisconsin, Michigan and PA, too.
NO WAY Obama can win without those.
If Indiana goes Obama in 2012, I will eat my shoe. This map is worst case for GOP and best case for Dems as of now. FL is a deep Red again in 2012 if we have even a decent candidate.
Dems up 75 points? Whoever did this is definitely playing fast and lose with the numbers, no way in hell this is remotely accurate.
Hey sabato, youre a moron if you think Georgia is just likely R.We just wore the arse off a rat liar/lawyer for governor in this state.Your liberalism is showing larry.
Is this map considering electoral changes by state based on the last census?
Is this the consideration before or after the Franken effect?
Here are some things in our favor:
1. States are passing voter id/integrity laws
2. TP movement will help GOTV and voter monitoring efforts
3. Several states are cutting public sector union CB “rights” which will reduce union dues and thugs available for Dim candidates including 0bama.
4. Hopefully some swing states will pass eligibility (birther) laws
5. MSM has lost it and the conservatives are using Facebook and the internet for news and opinion.
6. Net pickup of Republican governors in competitive states (OH, WI, MI).
I do hope that we can keep the pressure on 0bama’s past because this could cause the narcissistic to crack up if we find something really embarrassing in his record.
It gets tougher each year for the GOP, as the dems have a guaranteed lock on 220 EVs before returns even come in. The West coast, NY and the New England states are forever lost. In 2012, the Repubs should retake VA, NC, FL and IN. Right now, Gov. Kasich is barely more popular than Satan, so getting OH back is going to be a difficult task. That makes it 248 EVs... gonna have to take a couple away from the enemy. Maybe PA, MI and NH.
I hate that my state is safe D.