Posted on 09/17/2011 1:03:44 PM PDT by SamAdams76
Much speculation going on the past few weeks with regard to Sarah Palin and whether or not she will be a presidential candidate for 2012. As we move through mid-September, the majority of those speculating have decided that she is not going to run. Even among those who remain hopeful that she will run, they seem to have given up on the prospects of a Palin candidacy, many of them holding the opinion that even should she enter the race at this point, it will be "too late".
Three questions for those who are convinced that Palin is not going to run:
If you can answer YES to any of the above questions, then you can make the case that Palin is not running for president. However, as the facts stand today, the answers to all of the above are an unequivocal NO.
I also have a multiple choice question for those who feel that it is now too late for Palin to get into this race:
Which of the following presidents announced their candidates prior to October of the year before their election?
a) Bill Clinton
b) Richard Nixon
c) Ronald Reagan
d) None of the above
If you answered: d) None of the above; you would be CORRECT! All three of those presidents announced their candidacies relatively late in the process. To be precise, Bill Clinton announced his candidacy on October 3, 1991. Ronald Reagan announced his on November 13, 1979. And then we have Richard Nixon…he of the high negatives, who waited until January 31, 1968 to announce his candidacy. All three of these candidates not only won their elections handily, but were re-elected four years later. Another interesting factoid: All three of these presidents were considered divisive and had relatively high negative approval ratings throughout their presidencies. They were mostly beloved by those who supported them but were loathed by the opposite party. Yet in the case of Nixon and Reagan (easily the two Republican presidents who are most despised by the political Left), they were both re-elected in two of the largest landslides in presidential history.
Enter Sarah Palin. Like Clinton, Reagan and Nixon before her, there is not much middle ground with respect to where people stand on her. They either love her or hate her. Yes, she is divisive and her entry into the race is going to generate some very strong emotions on both sides of the political fence. But she is a game-changer and perhaps just the person we need at this point in our history to lead our nation out of the abyss that it is currently in. Can she win if she get in? Yes, you bet she can! It probably won't even be close.
The stakes are very high this coming election year. Our nation simply cannot endure another four years under a corrupt and incompetent president who has reduced our standing in the world, degraded the health of our nation and is now in the process of destroying our future prospects. As Ronald Reagan said of the Carter Administration during the 1980 campaign, an "unprecedented calamity has befallen us." Only this time, under the Obama Administration, the calamity is far, far worse. We are now suffering under a chief executive who is not only the most unprepared and unable man to ever hold the office, but one who holds un-American socialist views and surrounds himself with others who feel the same way and who are looting our tax dollars right under our noses to reward themselves and their cronies. Our current president got himself elected with the empty slogan of "hope and change" and once he got into office, he proceeded to destroy all hope and while he brought plenty of change, none of it is good. His supposed solution to our failing economy is to tax working Americans out of more of their money so that it can be flushed away on socialist government programs that are doomed to failure and transferred to people who are either unable or unwilling to work.
It is for these reasons that many Republicans want to play it safe again this election year. Rather than getting behind somebody who can advance the conservative cause, many feel it is more prudent to elect somebody that they believe can more easily beat Obama. Which basically means a watered down Republican who supposedly has appeal to "moderates" and "right-leaning Democrats" (such as those who crossed over and voted for Reagan in 1980 and 1984). This has proven to be a FAILED strategy time and time again.
It is that very line of thinking that has saddled us with weak "RINO" nominees in the past like John McCain, Bob Dole and George Bush (both of them). I simply do not understand why so many conservatives feel that we need a watered-down RINO in order to win a general election. RINOs tend to LOSE general elections, and even when they win, it is usually in a squeaker that produces no mandate for change and with little coattails so that we end up with a mixed Congress. The result is that very little changes - even in the best case scenario, the conservative cause does NOT get advanced using this strategy. The end result is we have a weak president that usually gets replaced by a Democrat.
Ronald Reagan was the last "true" conservative that represented the Republicans in the White House. Yes, he was divisive and polarizing. His negatives were always high because liberals and Democrats did not like him one bit! His approval rating in his first term rarely went over 50% and his negative approval ratings were consistently in the 40s - peaking at 53% negative in January 1983 (just before the recovery started building steam). For those old enough to remember Reagan's first term, it was a very exciting time to be an American. We were transformed from the malaise of the Carter years to a respected world superpower once more with a roaring economy to go with it. This was all brought about not because Reagan tinkered with the economy like Obama and his henchman are trying to do. It was brought about because Reagan did the best he could to lessen the tax burden on both citizens and corporations and to move federal government OUT OF THE WAY as much as possible. Reagan succeeded because he allowed capitalism to actually work. Reagan truly believed that a rising tide could lift all boats while on the other hand, Obama's administration seems intent on draining our economic system so that our corporations and businesses are all run aground or stuck on sandbars.
Now back in the early days of the 1980 campaign, there were whispers in Republican circles that Reagan "can't win the general" and that his nomination would result in another four years of Carter. The knock on Reagan was that he was too extreme, too divisive, too polarizing. Many Republicans of the day felt that we would be better off with George H.W. Bush (with whom much of the establishment got behind early on) and even when Reagan sewed up the nomination, the anti-Reagan feelings were still so strong that moderate John Anderson was encouraged to break from the Republicans and run an Independent campaign.
So lets circle back to Sarah Palin. Now it is not my intention to state that Sarah Palin is another Ronald Reagan. But I think I can state with confidence that Sarah Palin is the best conservative candidate the Republicans have had on a national level SINCE Ronald Reagan. It is apparent that the liberal mainstream media and the Democrats feel the same way because how else could you explain their non-stop three-year crusade to absolutely destroy and marginalize her? I am sad to say that many conservatives have sat on their hands while allowing the other side to "Dan Quayle" Sarah Palin and even sadder to say, some of those conservatives are going right along with the program, by themselves hurling the same arrows at her.
If we sit idly by and allow a fine American like Sarah Palin to be destroyed, simply because she poses a threat to the establishment status quo, then we might as well just turn in our conservative card now and move on over to the other side. Because if we allow Sarah to be destroyed, we have just given the Democrats the necessary blueprint to ensure that another Ronald Reagan is never allowed to emerge again. They will simply destroy any good candidate that we have early on, thereby ensuring that only the John McCains and the Mitt Romneys will ever represent us at the national level again.
Also, I am sick and tired of hearing about how Sarah has waited too long to get into this race and that she is playing her followers for fools. Listen up people, we are still MONTHS away from the Iowa caucus and as mentioned at the top of this article, Sarah has not missed any of the filing deadlines. So why all the hand-wringing that it's "too late…too late"? So why the rush to embrace Rick Perry because he is our "only hope." Now as a Palin backer, I'm not saying that I'm not going to support Rick Perry should he get the nomination. But it's too darn early to be rallying around Perry and settling for second best now when we have other announced candidates still in the race that better represent the conservative cause such as Herman Cain, Rick Santorum and Michelle Bachmann? Yet before the first meaningful vote is cast and before the first delegate is assigned, many of us are already saying those three (in addition to Palin) have no chance to win!
Why are we allowing the mainstream media and a few polling outfits decide for us who should be in the running for the Republican nomination? It's too early to be looking at polls. Let's focus on the candidates who will best advance the conservative cause and support them while they are still in the race. It appears that mainstream media want to shove Romney and Perry down our throats - why do you think that is? It is because those two represent less of a threat to liberalism and the entrenched establishment in Washington. Even if one of those two beat Obama, not too much will change. Neither of those two candidates have the coattails that will result in taking back the Senate and perhaps creating a super-majority in the House. Yet a Tea Party conservative like Sarah Palin can definitely achieve that and that is what has the liberals scared to death - especially after the shocker of the 9th Congressional district election last Tuesday. We've got the liberals on the run - why stop the momentum now? I have no doubt that Palin will get into this thing and when she does, we just might be able to secure a massive mandates a year from November and get ourselves out of the mess that we are in.
I will end this column with the following lines from Ronald Reagan's acceptance speech at the 1980 Republican convention:
"The major issues of this campaign are the direct political, personal and moral responsibilities of Democratic Party leadership - in the White House and in Congress -- [who are responsible] for this unprecedented calamity which has befallen us. They tell us they have done the most that humanly could be done. They say that the United States has had its day in the sun; that our nation has passed its zenith. They expect you to tell your children that the American people no longer have the will to cope with their problems; that the future will be one of sacrifice and few opportunities.My fellow citizens, I utterly reject that view. The American people, the most generous on earth, who created the highest standard of living, are not going to accept the notion that we can only make a better world for others by moving backwards ourselves. Those who believe we can have no business leading the nation.
I will not stand by and watch this great country destroy itself under mediocre leadership that drifts from one crisis to the next, eroding our national will and purpose. We have come together here because the American people deserve better from those to whom they entrust our nation's highest offices, and we stand united in our resolve to do something about it…(snip)
Can anyone look at the record of this administration and say, "Well done?" Can anyone compare the state of our economy when the Carter Administration took office with where we are today and say, "Keep up the good work?" Can anyone look at our reduced standing in the world today and say, "Let's have four more years of this?"
I believe the American people are going to answer these questions the first week of November and their answer will be, "No--we've had enough." And, then it will be up to us -- beginning next January 20th -- to offer an administration and congressional leadership of competence and more than a little courage.
Ronald Reagan - July 17, 1980 at the Republican National Convention
BUMP!!
Analyzing the political situation and coming to a conclusion you don’t like isn’t PDS.
You guys play the PDS card more than barry the zero’s followers play the race card.
You can hold your breath until you turn blue and that doesn’t change the fact it is too late. Period.
“Anyways, awhile back, I decided that what she really wanted was...........”
So you’re telling Sarah what she wants now? (You’re fired!)
Are you sure you’re Conservative with a big C?
I thought most closed minded people were more to the left of the political spectrum.......
The one thing I can say, looking at past election cycles, is that the front runners now will be distant memories in Nov. 2012.
The 2012 election cycle will begin when Sarah formerly announces her hat is in the ring. From that point on we’ll see just what is what, and who is who.
Polls at this stage of the game are refuges for folks who prefer to remain blind to future developments. Polls at this time in 2007 indicated that Hillary was the clear choice of Democrats and that on the GOP side, McCain didn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell of getting the nomination. Polls are subject to, and used for, manipulation. You are being manipulated — or perhaps you are attempting to manipulate. Either way, your poll arguments are thin gruel at best.
“This gal saw the millions to be made down here in the lower “forty eight” and a a result of that revelation dumped her job as Governor and came down here to make millions telling decent people what they want to hear.”
Pure projection on your part.
>>Agreed with the exception that RINOS ARE the enemy!<<
A reminder of the current de-facto rules:
1) “My” candidate is the only Conservative candidate.
2) All other candidates and their followers are RINOs.
3) If you say anything “I” perceive as “bad” towards “my” candidate, you are a Romney-loving, DU/KOS posting, Socialist/Commie TROLL.
This is what passes for “discourse” these days on FR.
>>People who are real conservative love Palin like they loved Reagan.<<
Platitudes are the way people with weak minds are controlled.
In strictly technical terms, the "starting bell" would be the Iowa Caucus on February 6, 2012. That is the first contest in which actual delegates are won and lost.
Obviously there are filing deadlines involved in order for a candidate to be part of those contests. Not sure when the filing deadline for Iowa is but I assume the candidates and potential candidates (including Palin) would have a handle on that.
Yes, candidates do have a history of announcing their candidacy well in advance and expend a lot of money and resources doing so. Usually it is candidates that have a strategy of building early momentum so they can generate some buzz and get themselves at the front of the pack early on.
I believe that it would be wasteful for Palin to do this. She already has near 100% name recognition. She is one of the few candidates that is capable of coming into the race at the last minute and make a big splash. Hell, in Palin's case, I think it will be more on the magnitude of a nuclear bomb. If she gets into this race, by the time of the Iowa caucus on Feb 6 (still almost four months away) - people will have seen so much of her that nobody is going to remember that she waited until late September or October to get into the race.
Until writing this post, I had no idea that Clinton himself waited until October to enter the 1992 race. All I know is that I was already sick and tired of him by that Christmas!
So while many here seem to have their panties in a wad over the fact that Palin hasn't deigned to inform them one way or the other on the status of her running, it will all be forgotten about in a few short months.
Your question was a dodge in any case -- WHY do you think it's so important to convince Palin supporters more than a month before the first official filing deadline for candidates to be on the ballot in any state primaries, that Palin isn't going to run?
Your opinion is that Palin supporters aren't dealing with reality because of being emotionally invested in a person whose political acumen, record, and judgment they admire: fine, fair enough. You decline to admit that it's your opinion that Palin won't run; instead, you don't just say, you repeatedly SHOUT it as fact that she won't. Which is fair enough as well, I guess. All I'm asking is: WHY, when we have yet to know if Palin will run or not, and she is on record saying that she'll announce one way or the other sometime in September (or early October, if I remember correctly) is it so important to you to convince people she won't? What is your purpose in doing so?
I don't like Santorum, Romney, Huntsman, Pawlenty and their ilk. I do like Cain and Bachmann but they haven't done well IMO in the debates.
Newt is not a RINO but no start for other reasons.
Perry seems to copy W too much for my liking. Not that W wasn't a good manager but the country needs a leader now.
As far as your #3 goes, I am not calling people who disagree with me DU/KOS posting, Socialist/Commie TROLLs. Others have their opinions and I have mine.
In fact I would wager that no matter what our political alliances are most FReepers are on the same page.
That said I will not vote for anyone who even smells like a RINO. I've held my nose and pulled the lever too many times before.
“In strictly technical terms, the “starting bell” would be the Iowa Caucus on February 6, 2012. That is the first contest in which actual delegates are won and lost. ‘
Are you claiming that she can announce the day before and suddenly she will win the next day?
“already has near 100% name recognition. “
She sure does. She also has a huge negative rating.
But she is a game-changer and perhaps just the person we need at this point in our history to lead our nation out of the abyss that it is currently in. Can she win if she get in? Yes, you bet she can! It probably won't even be close.
Palin's coattails will be huge! Sarah Palin, coupled with the tea party grassroots will result in an overwhelming landslide. I'd hate for our nation to miss out on that because too many were being too small minded to understand the possibilities.
Then don't.
Then don't.
You are vastly incorrect. The only thing foul is your thinking. It stinks.
I'm not claiming that. I was simply responding to your query as to the starting bell. The NFL starting bell was last week but that didn't mean that the players weren't in training camps for the 4-6 weeks prior.
Palin herself is on record as stating that she will need to make her decision known in the September/early October timeframe. So we won't have to wait too much longer.
As for the negative ratings, that didn't stop Reagan, Nixon and Clinton from getting elected which is mentioned in my article. Palin is going to be just as polarizing if not more so than those candidates so her negatives are always going to be high. In fact if her negatives weren't high and even liberals liked her, I wouldn't be such a big supporter of her.
I wouldn’t be so quick to lump Santorum in with Romney/Huntsman/Pawlenty. He hasn’t gained traction, and he’s not going to get the nomination, but he’s FAR from a “RINO” in just about anyone’s book.
Santorum was fiercely targeted in his ‘06 race by the left, especially the gay lobby, for his very vocal support of DOMA. He ended up losing in a big Dem year to what has become a totally ineffective senator who ran on his late father’s coattails. I’m not so sure PA wouldn’t like a do-over.
Maybe next time!!
Another member of the Clinton wing of the Republican party heard from. Let's replace Obama but continue the corruption!!
Assessment? This is an absurd statement with no factual foundation.
This is merely your opinion.
.And mine is, you're way off-base and very ill-informed, probably purposely.
Thank you for contributing nothing to the conversation.
Finished grinding that axe yet?
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