Posted on 12/29/2011 5:28:52 PM PST by neverdem
The mood in camp Obama is picking up these days, with the president’s poll numbers inching northward and Republicans mired in what could turn out to be a prolonged, expensive battle for the GOP nomination.
When Obama campaign officials look at a map of the U.S., they see any number of viable routes toward the 270 electoral college votes needed to win the presidency.
In a fundraising pitch Thursday, Obama campaign manager Jim Messina laid out five potential pathways to the magic number.
The Obama campaign likes to start with the states that John Kerry won in the 2004 election, on the theory that these rock-solid blue states are a lock for the Democratic nominee. Building on the 251 electoral votes that Kerry received, the Obama campaign believes that it can win a second term if any of the following strategies pans out.
The West. The Obama campaign says that one way to get over the top is to win Colorado and Nevada, states that Obama carried in 2008. “We believe if we register more voters, start putting teams in place that can start talking to voters...’’
--snip--
Beyond. No one in Obama’s campaign leadership expects him to have an easier time of it in 2012 than in ’08. Unemployment is high, Congress is gridlocked and voters are disillusioned with Washington. Still, anything can happen in an election year, and the Obama campaign hopes to pick up certain states that went Republican in ’08. The most promising is Arizona, Messina said. Arizona is the home state of the 2008 Republican nominee, John McCain, so Obama didn't compete there last time. In this election, though, Arizona may be in play. “There are hundreds of thousands of eligible voters who are unregistered in Arizona,’’ Messina said. “We’re excited about our opportunities there.’’...
(Excerpt) Read more at latimes.com ...
They're in a good mood because they are enjoying seasonal employment.
The Plan — CHEAT
This whole article strikes me as funny somehow. “Here’s how we plan to win.” I did not see anything like this when Clinton was running for reelection. Did you?
The backup plan - martial law and become dictator for life long it lasts, life could be short anyone who tries it.
I remember about this exact same backup plan when Bush was President the libs were screaming martial law. I wish.
The real strategy is ensure Mitt Romney wins the nomination so the conservatives and libertarians stay home or put up a third party...
“...voters are disillusioned...”
No.
We are filled to the brim with utter hatred for “Bath-House” Barry and his perverts and what they are doing to this country.
First of all the states that produces 251 EVs for Kerry in 2004, would only produce 246 EVs in 2012. Since 270 is the magic number, Obama is looking for 24 more EVs
1. Colorado, 9 EV, and Nevada, 6 EV, would still leave him 9 EV short. So I guess this includes Arizona, 11 EV, to get them over the top. This was the 2004 strategy and it failed to work. Winning Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, 5 EV, would still leave them 4 EV short. So really this is a strategy to win Arizona, Colorado and at least one of Nevada and New Mexico.
2. Florida, 29 EV, would get them there, but I have a lot of doubts about them winning Florida. Florida trended GOP in 2010 and I am not sure what reverses that? I am sure they will try a social security/medicare scare, but the truth is the Dims raided medicare for Obamacare.
3. How tired is the 1970s phrase “new south.” I guess we could call Virginia, 13 EV, the big government south where the federal government suburbs of DC give the Dims a possibility. But Virginia’s conservative Dim senator is retiring because he thinks it is not a year shaping up well for him. His analysis rings true to me. North Carolina, 15 EV, is even a tougher nut for them to crack.
4. Ohio, 18 EV, and Iowa, 6 EV, would also get them to 270. But Ohio trended GOP in 2010 and Iowa was one of I believe two states that switched from Dim to GOP from 2000 to 2004.
Maybe his best shot for 24 EV more would be Virginia, 13 EV, Colorado 9 EV and Nevada, 6 EV for a total of 28. This also would protect against New Hampshire, 4 EV, going back in the GOP column as 2010 indicates.
No, but Obama's situation is completely different from Clinton's with respect to jobs and the economy, and this hasn't been the first time Messina discussed this strategy, i.e. Kerry's 2004 base plus the other states to get 270 in the electoral college. Maybe it's just to rally their base, and keep the donations coming?
Election 2012: Romney 45%, Obama 39%
In his latest matchup with the president, Romney holds a 20-point lead among male voters but trails by six among female voters. The Republican posts a 45% to 29% lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.Not that I'm crazy about Romney, but that almost 3:2 ratio among independents dooms the rats.
If today’s poll (45-39 Mitt over Barry) is reflective of the actual vote, Barry will have trouble getting 175 EVs.
Throw Mitt into the ring and what happens? I would look for the Mormons to pull in Nevada at least, maybe Arizona. NH and MI would be in play also. The real question is what he would lose.
I wonder if there’s a way to get on one of those teams and then to start sabotaging it.
It’s not necessary for anyone to sabotage the Republicans. they do it to thmselves.
I forgot to mention that with Wisconsin’s new voter ID law, the Dims probably will not be able to steal it as they did in 2000 and 2004. That makes 10 more EVs they will have to make up.
I do agree that Romney as the candidate would almost surely give the GOP New Hampshire and maybe give them a real shot at Maine. I also agree that Michigan would be in play. The Dims have not won Nevada recently, but Romney might shore it up.
LOL!
Nice to see we can post newspapers from alternate universes on FR.
Will someone please sit the liberals down somewhere quiet and gently explain to them that their “Road to 270” won’t work because there is no enthusiasm on their side and there is roaring enthusiasm on our side?
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