Posted on 03/26/2012 7:32:37 AM PDT by Mozilla
Should Santorum Concede Romney is Inevitable...Yet?
Vote no!
Yes 124 43%
No 159 56%
If Romney wins, I will go third party or win in candidate. I won’t vote for a cheater, liar and socialist.
I think Rick should get the hell out of Newt’s way.
Romney & Santorum would get their butts handed to them by Obama. After what Santorum said about Zimmermann I don’t care to hear much more from him.
Buh bye, Rick.
Time for Little Ricky to go on to greener pastures elsewhere.
Santourm=GOP electoral disaster.
Interesting to see you are a Romney fan.
Actually, no, I am not a Romney fan. He’s just another Leftist trying to fit into Conservative clothes. I see him like I see Glenn Beck - as a used car salesman.
My fave is Gingrich but if I could have the Sarahcuda as a choice I would pick her.
If you assume the same 60-40 rule for Newt dropping applies to Santorum dropping, Romney clinches on June 5 with over 1300 delegates. The only one with any strength against Romney at this point is Santorum.
For example, Louisiana would have been Romney 47 to Gingrich 45, assuming 60% of the Santorum supporters switch to Newt.
I ran a simulation of that on Friday, assuming 60% of Newt's followers switch to Santorum. Romney does not win the nomination outright and Santorum is about 250 behind him at the end. In the other case, Romney clinches on June 5, with only Gingrich left. Even if you assume 70% of Santorum's supporters go to Gingrich, Romney still clinches.
Romney clinches before the convention without Santorum in the race. The only people who should want Santorum out of the way should be Romney supporters.
This was his Waterloo.
If Romney clinches the nomination I will not be voting for him. I might as well be voting for Obama!
I don't. I assume that Santorum's support goes to Newt 85-15.
Assuming 85% is probably unwise. With Newt’s +5 approval rating, 60-40 is likely generous.
With 85%:
Romney at start: 563
DC (WTA) +19
MD (WTA) +37
WI (WTA) +42 661
CT *WTA +28
DE (WTA) +17
NY *WTA +95
PA LOOP +50
RI PROP +17 868
IN WTAD +23
NC PROP +25
WV DELE +15 931
OR PROP +18 949
AR PROP +16
KY PROP +20 985
TX PROP +55 1040
NJ WTA +50 1090
NM PROP +10 1100
SD PROP +10 1110
CA PROP* +100 1210 —> we do not need to count further.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.