Posted on 05/16/2012 5:35:58 PM PDT by kristinn
From May 5-11, 2012, I conducted a survey of 6,000 likely voters. On such a mammoth sample, the margin of error is less than 1 percent. I found that Romney has amassed a sizable lead over Obama of 51-42, far in excess of what published polling and surveys of registered — as opposed to likely — voters are indicating.
If Romney were to win 51 percent of the vote, the election would, of course, be very close. But if he could hold Obama to 42 percent, it would be a landslide. So the obvious question is how Romney should go about winning the voters in between.
To answer this question, I drilled down in my sample to these undecided voters, none of whom voted for Romney in the survey. I added to their ranks those who voted for Obama but indicated that they only “somewhat” approved of his performance in office. This left me with a sample of 1,500 likely voters who are in play. The data in this column reflects their views. If Romney can win a quarter or a third of their votes, he will win by a landslide margin of 10 points.
On the economy, 46 percent of these swing voters do not believe that there is any recovery. Twenty-three percent say the economy is the same as when Obama took office and an additional 23 percent say it is worse. Thirty-nine percent say the jobs situation has not improved. Twenty-five percent say it is the same and 14 percent say it is worse. And 37 percent agree with the statement that “if we look around, there isn’t real evidence that we are actually making progress.”
Specifically, swing voters do not believe that the unemployment rate drop Obama heralds is real.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Oh, please. Deliver me too, from Sheherd On-The-Bridge-Katrina-Smith!
I so agree with you on Juan too! He is the most non-threatening liberal among the media hats, who sometimes seems to serve in the role only to draw the paycheck. I actually like Juan, whose son is a Republican!
(Don’t know if the son is still an (R), but he has been for some time.)
Second paragraph of what? The article or your post#2 to which I replied when you said that Romney won’t do anything to fix Social Security
I despise Rodney, but I will crawl through glass on election day to vote for him.
People are losing faith in Obama, democrats and the MSM... liberal's lies are coming home to roost...
...and that “even if a conservative congress makes the proposals, Romney will fight them”.
I think you are being deliberately obtuse. Are you a Romneybot, or just a neo-con new world order guy?
Go Barak!!! I can’t really make myself cheer for Romney, but the thought of Obama leaving makes me smile.
I can’t wait to see all of the fags crying like little girls on November 8, if Obama loses....that alone would be worth the price of admission.
That was exactly my sentiments too the day he sorta went off the deep end just because Romney said something positive about Newt being part of his campaign.
But, but, Shep is from Mississippi...surely he’s a conservative...uuuuhhhh, he’s not...who knew?
But he won’t name Eric Holder to the Supreme Court!!
The thing about Sheppy is that he’s a caddy he-bitch.
He belongs on one of those “Real Housewives Of...” crapfest shows.
At least Juan Williams registers as a human...Sheppy is like a Stepford Wife that ran out of pep pills.
I agree. I’m very certain Romney carries NH, 55/45 that he carries ME-02. OTOH, if he takes WI and/or PA, NH and ME-02 become less important.
Either way I expect a blowout loss for Barry.
This is among the most the most poignant things I've heard all day, if not all year.
ROTFLMAO!! Boy you’ve got Shep’s number.
You like that, huh? :)
I sure did!
Nice! A laugh is a good thing!
You don’t want to go to the kind of bar Shep Smith would take you to. I heard he gave herpes to a mechanical bull.
I wish the election were today, Obama would clearly lose.
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