Posted on 08/08/2012 6:01:38 PM PDT by Jaguarmike
Rassmussen and Gallup national polls show a close race between Romney and Obama. Yet most swing state polls show Obama with a sizable lead.
Why the disparity?
We all know that many of the polls oversample Democrats. But I still believe Obama has a slight lead in most of those states. Obama has been bombarding airwaves in Ohio, FL, VA, CO, etc, with commercials, while Romney has been relatively quiet. Obviously Romney is going to spend most of his money after the convention. My question is, will those ads slam Obama, or will they lay out Romney's agenda?
I think it would be smarter to go the latter route.
Peoples' reaction to Obama is baked by now. I don't think even the most negative ads will change their minds. The best way to reach independents is to explain to them how Romney would be different. This is what I think Romney needs to do.
One key factor in our favor: it does seem as if Republicans are more motivated to come out and vote than Democrats. There won't be any +7 Democrat advantage. But Romney still has a lot of work to do.
We all need to get out and vote. We need to get our conservative friends out to vote.
...because the libtard media can't fix all the numbers
I can only hope Romney takes the gloves off and to coin a phrase”calls a spade a spade” and tells the people just what a POS the POTUS is.
Here in Colorado the ads on TV seem to be pretty even.
Just my subjective view.
Interesting.
I do know, overall Romney has been outspent in the swing states.
Can you fathom the mindless retard that would actually tell a pollster how she would vote on a secret ballot. Have we not learned these polls are worthless? Did you know that Carter was beating Reagan by 6 points the day before the election? This is because people with brains tell pollsters to go to hell. Don’t talk about polls any more . Only weak minded participate. I tell pollsters if you will pay me $600 ,I will answer— how much are you making?
I have a hard time believing all of the poll numbers that come out now, especially those from CBS and the hardcore lib media. They could fake Pintos exploding. They could fake Texas Air National Guard memos. What makes you think that they couldn’t fake something as simple as an opinion poll? They are NOT journalists, they are propagandists. And they are spinning hard for the Boy Genius. A poll comes out with Obama in the lead in a swing state and they come out all breathless in their newscast. Obama is NOT as popular as they claim. How could he be? He hasn’t accomplished ANYTHING. Think about that. Four years and no accompishments. And don’t give me killing bin Laden. Obama wanted no part of that, until it was explained to him that he would be dead in the water if he DIDN’T kill him. Bailing out GM was not a success either. Anyway, the mere fact that they are breathless about reporting on THEIR OWN polls, means that they are scared shirtless.
I told this story a few years ago while Bubba was testifying...
My phone rang and after the initial intro, I asked the “pollster” how long this would take...she said about 7 mins
The first question asked, Do you believe the impeachment of President Clinton will hurt the country?...I said No, they hung up....so the poll lasted about 23 seconds depending on the first question....*smiles*
Here in Wyoming Obama is toast.
Got to love Wyoming!
But you are missing soooooooo much fun. We get polling calls about every other week because we live in a swing area of a swing state. I tell them I used to be a black woman who’s had a male sex change operation and I despise Obama because he throws like a girl.
Bad idea. Negative ads work and they work best on middle of the road morons who say they hate negative ads.
After 4 years of nobama over exposure, constantly “in our face”, blame everyone else and clear lack of competence, Romney's being practically the opposite gives voters a refreshing contrast with a reassurance that he knows how to “manage” us out of this mess.
I do know, overall Romney has been outspent in the swing states.
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So far.
Romney has a huge war chest building up.
With the right VP nominee, he’ll go far.
The lib-tard media polls are ALL faked. The VAST MAJORITY of real American, legit voters are appalled by the Democrat/ Communist Party and have been for decades. The elite media turds have to pad the polls to cover up the impact of the MILLIONS of illegals who march to the polls to vote for the open-border libs. Add to that all the inner-city welfare bloodsucker who vote 10 to 20 times each, and the libs can sometimes sneak into office.
Question: We don’t have a television at my home.
I wonder how many people have given up network or cable tv and only see ads that they choose on YouTube?
Polls immediately before an election are anything but worthless
not since Dewey
1980 race had tightened in October and was nearly even till the debate
you are right though...polls this early out are just a snapshot of today
and heavily Democrat weighed...weighed for Democrat turnout in 2008 which was 10-15 points higher than in 2010
where it is now is speculative
but the polls immediately before an election are indicative..not worthless
Reagan surged the last week after the one and only debate one week before the elction.....
.http://www.amstat.org/sections/SRMS/proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
we do this every election here...discount polls that aren’t what we want
but those that are we treat as gold
That is funny. Maybe I AM missing something!!
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