Posted on 08/23/2012 12:05:04 PM PDT by QT3.14
When you squint your eyes and look only at the broad historical trends at play in this presidential election, all signs point to a victory for Mitt Romney in November.
Back in February, the Signal's first draft of its elections model, which relied only on historical data, predicted that Obama would win the election with 303 electoral votes. This model relies heavily on economic indicators and was published before the dismal second quarter economic figures. If you apply that same model through June, Romney wins with 290 electoral votes to Obama's 248.
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
Who plans a convention in a hurricane-prone area, DURING HURRICANE SEASON?!
I only want to see slow, steady increases in Romney’s favor. I do not want one of us to get even a little bit complacent.
SOOOoooo much can and likely will happen between now and Election Day I don’t care what the polls say (although I study them every day!)
I am signed up to be on “Lawyers for Romney” to do vote fraud monitoring.
still waiting for my assignment.
He likes to be jammed, too.
States that you have GOP that will go Dem: Connecticut (7), New Jersey (14). Total = 21 EVs.
States that you have Dem that will go GOP: Ohio (18), Virginia (13), Minnesota (10), Colorado (9), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), New Hampshire (4). Total = 66 EVs.
Final Total: Romney 315 EVs, Obama 223 EVs.
Warning: Subject to change between now and Election Day.
Uh, Obama ain’t takin’ Virgina. Them’s fight’n words.
VIRGINIA
(kind of like Pubic service announcement.)
Currently, the Pollster average has Obama with 48 percent favorability and 45 percent unfavorability,
Yet, the most reliable polls currently available -- the The Gallup and Rasmussen tracking polls -- have Obama trailing Romney by 47-45 and 47-43, respectively.
There are those 2-3 percentage points you're referring to --people who will admit to "liking" President Obama, to avoid a charge of racism...but won't vote for him.
And I'd wager there are 2-3 percentage points more who claim they're going to vote for Obama on the phone...but, once inside the privacy of a voting booth, will do otherwise.
Not pansies, that's for sure.
But it looks like another storm is brewing that's aiming at the East Coast. Wouldn't THAT be something?!
Hey, FDR got reelected in ‘36, so anything’s possible.
“Who plans a convention in a hurricane-prone area, DURING HURRICANE SEASON?!”
Someone who hasn’t been through one. I also heard Tampa hasn’t had a hit from one in several years, so I guess they were feeling their luck would hold.
If a hurricane comes in at Galveston, it’s coming through my area and I go on “watch” mode from about the middle of June through October, and September is usually the worst month and the convention starts on Aug. 27. It was a roll of the dice and they lost.
You probably won’t have massive voter fraud in any one state, just enough to make a difference in a close state.
In 1960, Texas and Illinois had highly suspicious results and probable cause to believe that there was massive voter fraud. But Nixon refused to demand a recount.
In 2000, there was a lot of voter fraud in Florida, but not quite enough to counteract the POd Cuban voters going overwhelmingly for Bush.
Yes, there are a lot of parallels between Obama's MO and Roosevelt's, including government redistribution of wealth and publicly proclaimed class warfare. In addition, government welfare programs were commonly used to buy votes. Yet, in both instances, general economic conditions remained poor.
But Romney, no matter what you think of him, is a much more effective campaigner than Alf Landon, the 1936 GOP nominee who carried only Maine and Vermont for a grand total of 8 electoral votes.
No one has figured the race card in the “like” element. If one claims no to like BO they are endanger of being called a racist.....mmm mmm mmmm
They are desperate to define Romney instead of having him define himself.
They defined George Bush for 8 years...now they are trying the same thing with Romney although it's not working as well.
The debates will tell the story. When people see Romney for who he is in the debates they will see he is not the demon these leftists creeps are trying to make him out to be. And these screaming banshees are going to be defeated.
An acquaintance originally from the Chicago area, told me about coming home from college for Xmas that year. Ran into an old HS buddy (19 years old) who told him he had voted 18 times in the November election. Apparently he was paid so much per vote ... said it was easy money. Multiply that by several hundred people doing the same thing and you understand why there were voter irregularities in the Chicago area.
OK, so will Romney PLEASE step down for the good of the party and the country? Too much is at stake in this election! Someone tell him to stop being so selfish. And cut off all his funding NOW.
When George W. Bush came into office, the Clintons stole everything that wasn't nailed down. And yet Rove et al. gave us this crap about "we can't let Bill Clinton suck all the air out of the room by prosecuting him for his numerous felonies ..... we have to concentrate on the Bush agenda, and not get distracted".
Yeah, like Lyndon Johnson didn't let Vietnam distract him from trying to use the Treasury to lock up the Government forever for the Democrats.
Just once, I wish an incoming GOP president would prosecute the living hell out of his felonious predecessor and throw his ass in Leavenworth. You'd see an end of that kind of behavior, like the last-minute Clinton pardons-for-cash.
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