Posted on 09/07/2012 6:30:38 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
As per yesterday, Thursday September 6th, Romney has taken the lead in most National Polls and the President is behind. You can follow the line graph on Realclearpolitics.com and see this is the first time in months Romney has lead. This is also the latest in the trend of Mitt Romney making up ground and the president losing voters. I heard it said once to “not look at numbers but look at trends”, going into an election. Romney has been steadily climbing and has passed Barack Obama. As of today the RCP betting line has Obama at 58% to win the election. This number had been as high as 70% in the past as well.
In the latest polls from 24 hours ago, Rasmussen has Romney up by 3% and Gallup has Obama by 1%. Gallup used Registered voters which is far less accurate and historically distort the outcome by about 2-4% in Democrats favor. The Likely voter polls, which are more accurate of the outcome, have all leaned Romney for the past week.
And today, yet another poor jobs report is coming out as I type this and gas has risen in price the last 4 weeks straight to over $4 a gallon yet again.
Hope, Change and wait, wait and wait I guess.
Stop that! Obama cannot “have” Michigan. Do people only think Michigan is made up of Detroit and Flint?!
Obama is DOA in the rust belt. Only states safe for Obama are Mn and Il. He will lose ia,wi,oh and IN.
Mi and PA are battleground. If Romney fights for them he can win them, best. Obama can hope for is to sPend a lot if time and money trying to defend them and maybe pull out a squeaker.
Obama’s 4 years of pissing on the Blue Dogs means the south with the sole exception of perhaps Va is dead mans land for him and it ensure he has no chance in Rust Belt as well.
The question in my mind is will the rust belt adjustment this election be a 1 election swing or as I suspect a larger longer term re alignment that is long overdue much like what happened in the south? Democrats have gone so far off the plantation with their nonsense that much of th rust belt rank and file match closer to reps than dems... Time will tell.
A couple days ago, I posted a prediction of R/R 59% to O/B 39%. That was at the beginning of this cluster-bungle of a DNC. Obunga got not even a dead cat bounce out of this convention, and his trend is going nowhere but down. His only remaining trick is to tip the chessboard in some catastrophic fashion.
Hoover came in with 58.21%, and went out with FDR taking 57.41%. Without our current foodstamps, unemployment extensions, and massive media manipulation, the picture today would be worse than 1932.
I expect to see the most desperate tactics in our election history, soon.
I just don’t see Romney pulling off the win in MI. Not unless Obama is thoroughly embarassed in the debates. At least we can be fairly confident we won’t get embarassed in the debates this time for once. Romney is no true conservative, but at least he is competant and will know know his facts, which we haven’t been able to say in about 20 years.
The country may very well have slid that far. The Dems in my wife's family all think the convention was wonderful. Including my BIL's Jewish wife.
There is a lot of time left and the fat lady isn't even humming. Still, a year ago I wouldn't have given Romney 1 in 3 chance. Now I'll go 50/50.
Karl Rove’s SuperPAC, by itself, has over a BILLION DOLLARS to spendLink or hyperbole?
Let’s hope you are right, but the voting behavior of tens of millions of your “fellow Americans” lends skepticism to your hopes.
The booing God thing didn’t help.
We often hear that PA is “ready” to vote Republican, but the “moderates” there do so only for governor and senator on occasion, not for President.
I really doubt that Romney has more money to spend than Obama. The foreign dough alone, although illegal, will fund whatever the Obama campaign has up it’s sleeves.
Do you think the fact that Romney is a Michigan native, and the son of a popular governor, will give him some momentum in a normally Democrat state?
Las Vegas, Detroit, and Chicago fully dominate NV, MI, and IL, and I don’t think we can do anything about it. People in those cities are and always will be liberal true believers.
So why is OBummer ahead 58-42% on InTrade?
Yes, as long as Governor Dweeb (Snyder) doesn't come out and say something stupid.
And, call me an optimist, but I look at $4 gas as an investment that will ensure a new administration come November. :-)
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