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Will Obama win in November? Wide gap between preference and prediction.
Washington Post ^ | September 16, 2012 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 09/17/2012 3:22:37 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper

National polling suggests that the American public is deeply divided about whom it wants to be the next president of the United States...

But if likely voters are almost evenly split on who should occupy 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. in January, they are far less indecisive on who they think will be the next president.

Nearly six in 10 (59 percent) registered voters in a Post-ABC poll in late August said they thought Obama would win while just 34 percent chose Romney, even as the head-to-head vote in that poll stood at 47 percent for Romney and 46 percent for Obama among registered voters.

(Excerpt) Read more at m.washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012
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To: The Sons of Liberty

It is my belief that we are also slipping into a 2nd recession that wont be reported until after the election.

My business is very sensitive to future economic conditions, and it just dropped off a cliff.


21 posted on 09/17/2012 5:42:57 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: jersey117

I saw that guy too. He’s actually 40. That’s what liberalism does to ya.


22 posted on 09/17/2012 5:43:11 AM PDT by Bramuce
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To: TexasFreeper2009

Join the club.

4 more years of this hell is unthinkable.


23 posted on 09/17/2012 5:46:11 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: RipSawyer
“Nobody could want four more years of this...”

But Many are afraid the "freebies" will stop!

24 posted on 09/17/2012 5:47:28 AM PDT by radioone ( Main Stream Media. The Government built that.)
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To: SoFloFreeper; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; Impy; stephenjohnbanker; NFHale; ...

Back in 2008 Chris Matthews used to repeat a theory over and over again that I havent heard him say this year. That theory is that many voters are scared to tell polsters that they will vote for Obama because he is black, even if they dont plan on voting for him.

Romney’s main theme has been “Obama is a nice guy but things just havent worked out”, with some exceptions. The libs still complain about his campaign being dirty so I am not sure what it is buying him.

Obama on the other hand Obama has been destroying Romney’s character and person from day ONE.

Now maybe recent events will change the campaigns.


25 posted on 09/17/2012 5:48:49 AM PDT by sickoflibs (Romney is still a liberal. Just watch him. (Obama-ney Care ))
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To: TexasFreeper2009
You are absolutely correct! Any statistical reporting from the government certainly cannot be believed and at best it is a lagging indicator. Bernanke's actions last week, no matter how misguided, are a definite sign that the Fed sees it coming also. It's time to call it what is is -
THE 0BAMA DEPRESSION!
26 posted on 09/17/2012 5:50:07 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ("Get that evil, foreign, muslim, usurping bastard out of MY White House!" FUBO GTFO!)
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To: gotribe

All candidates, no matter when, say ridicuous things...yet none of them can explain how they will actually do them.

I hope Mitt wins just to see what he does. I really have no expectations for any real results.


27 posted on 09/17/2012 5:51:03 AM PDT by stuartcr ("When silence speaks, it speaks only to those that have already decided what they want to hear.")
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To: SoFloFreeper

Propaganda works, that’s why you see so much of it.


28 posted on 09/17/2012 5:53:46 AM PDT by Fresh Wind ('People have got to know whether or not their president is a crook.' Richard M. Nixon)
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To: SoFloFreeper

If Republicans just get to the polls on election day the same way we did in 2010, then we will have the same tidal wave result in our favor.

These crap lame-stream polls are using 2008 party weighting and over-sampling Dems. Just don’t believe lame-stream polls. Don’t get down-hearted. Show up on election day and vote.


29 posted on 09/17/2012 6:01:28 AM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: MachIV; SoFloFreeper; kearnyirish2; ilgipper; Ann Archy; stuartcr; gotribe; Gaffer; Venturer; ...
MachIV: It’s not 1980 anymore.

Exactly. It's 1984. (Orwell's 1984, not Reagan's)

As long as people like Chris Cillizza are writing the history in newspeak....

30 posted on 09/17/2012 6:16:08 AM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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To: kearnyirish2

“Nobody could want four more years of this.”

I wish that were true, but I can name SEVERAL who do. I have a few very liberal friends/family and I see all their friends on Facebook. They will not be voting for Romney (the rich idiot 1%er, liar and income tax cheat) no matter what they think of Obama. And all of these folks are in Oklahoma and Texas, too. :-(

By the same token - I also know of MORE people who don’t. This includes my personal friends, my other FB friends/acquaintances and all of the people here.

We just have to hope that we outnumber them.


31 posted on 09/17/2012 6:23:46 AM PDT by babyfreep
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To: Gaffer
I believe he is better than McCain

Ya got that right.

Romney has wanted this opportunity for the past 5-6 years (or more). I think that he'll fight for it.

McCain was running because it was his turn. Frankly, I'm not entirely sure that he wanted the job.

32 posted on 09/17/2012 7:25:04 AM PDT by wbill
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To: SoFloFreeper

Not the normal ones.


33 posted on 09/17/2012 7:34:26 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: sickoflibs; ding_dong_daddy_from_dumas; DoughtyOne; Gilbo_3; Impy; stephenjohnbanker; NFHale

Something needs to change. I’m falling asleep. Romney needs to attack.


34 posted on 09/17/2012 8:33:39 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: stephenjohnbanker; All

Still say 1980 because of the poor economy and the Middle East on fire, just like Iran was.


35 posted on 09/17/2012 9:03:54 AM PDT by Biggirl ("Jesus talked to us as individuals"-Jim Vicevich/Thanks JimV!)
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To: Biggirl

The MSM is lying, and covering up like never before. Romney has to attack just to get any coverage. Reagan attacked, and even though the media went after him, the truth got through to the people.


36 posted on 09/17/2012 9:11:43 AM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.)
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To: RipSawyer

“It is like living in Wonderland”

I don’t believe a single poll that is out there; here in NJ there were plenty of Obama stickers four years ago, now they are few & far between.


37 posted on 09/17/2012 3:44:46 PM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: babyfreep

“We just have to hope that we outnumber them.”

Most people I know that are better off than four years ago are public school teachers (ones who survived the layoffs); there are not enough of them to re-elect him. The blacks I know are hurting like whites are.


38 posted on 09/17/2012 3:46:40 PM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic war against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: SoFloFreeper

0bama will win. Easily. Romney is running a horrific campaign is handing the election to 0bama on a silver platter.


39 posted on 09/17/2012 5:04:58 PM PDT by GR_Jr. ("On Nov.6 I guess I will swallow that bitter pill called Mitt Romney...only to stop 0bama")
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To: Venturer

“With Gingrich we may have had a chance”

Gingrich would have been a larger disaster. 60% of this country hates him. Romney had a shot, but he is blowing it.


40 posted on 09/17/2012 5:06:55 PM PDT by GR_Jr. ("On Nov.6 I guess I will swallow that bitter pill called Mitt Romney...only to stop 0bama")
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