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Washington Compost in VA: 0bama 52% Romney 44% - No internals available
Washington Compost ^ | 9-18-12 | Laura Vozzella, Dan Balz and Jon Cohen

Posted on 09/18/2012 5:12:32 PM PDT by GR_Jr.

With just seven weeks of campaigning left before the November election, President Obama holds a clear lead over Mitt Romney in Virginia, buoyed by growing optimism about the state of the country and fueled by a gender gap working in his favor, according to a new Washington Post poll.

Obama leads his Republican rival by 52 percent to 44 percent among likely voters. Among all registered voters, the president leads by 50 percent to 43 percent, a margin identical to that recorded in a survey in early May. That indicates that Romney has made up little apparent ground against Obama during four intense months of advertising and campaign visits.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; boguspoll; election2012; va2012; wp
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To: GR_Jr.

If there are no internals available, then it is most likely a crap poll that over-samples Dems.


41 posted on 09/18/2012 6:02:30 PM PDT by ShovelThemOut
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To: GR_Jr.

This is hilarious. Obama won Virginia by 6.5 points in 2008 and that was a huge Democratic year. There is no way Obama beats Romney by 9 points, win or no win.


42 posted on 09/18/2012 6:05:51 PM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: CapnJack

I can believe those numbers.
Think about it, Virginia has how many hundreds of thousands of Gov’t jobs?
They want Zero to keep the paychecks rolling in.

I don’t know why people keep saying that government workers are in the bag for Obama. Government workers have not had a raise since Obama has taken over and not only that but they are not getting another raise for at least 2 or three more years. I think you guys over think the government worker thing.


43 posted on 09/18/2012 6:08:33 PM PDT by napscoordinator (GOP Candidate 2020 - "Bloomberg 2020 - We vote for whatever crap the GOP puts in front of us.")
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To: SamAdams76

we have union thuggery and multistate voting.

I one democrat politician emboldened enought is voting in two states, how about those unionistaas?

Obama is a student of “the chicago way” with fraudulent voting at the center of power.


44 posted on 09/18/2012 6:13:00 PM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: LS; GR_Jr.
This poll has been posted three times today. I don’t know of two other polls. This is a poll of ADULTS and without knowing anything else you need to adjust it by 4. Then, on top of that, they OVERSAMPLED Dems to make up the difference. WaPo and WSJ have both been very poor, as they were in 2008.

The latest partisan breakdown I've seen in Virginia for voter identification has it 39% R vs. 36% D. This means that while Democrats are undersampled by 4%, Republicans are undersampled by 15%. Hence, an 11% net deficit for the GOP. Indies are thus oversampled by 10%. Given that Indies are leaning slightly Romney, but not enough to overtake an 11% deficit among the total electorate, oversampling them seems to be a new way that the MSM pollsters have cooked up to try to get around the charge of straight-up Dem oversampling (have noticed this in a few other polls the past few days).

Adjusted, I'd guesstimate that the actual lie of the land in VA is closer to a 49%-47% lead for Romney.

45 posted on 09/18/2012 6:13:44 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can wish in one hand and spit in the other and see which gets filled first.)
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To: GR_Jr.

Democrat 32

Republican 24

Independent 35

No Pref./Other 5

Don’t know 4


46 posted on 09/18/2012 6:14:57 PM PDT by 1035rep (Obama: "I killed Bin Laden" ...you didn't do that. Somebody else made that happen.)
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To: Yashcheritsiy

Thank you. That was my intuition, but honestly I’m getting punchy trying to keep these lying POSes straight.


47 posted on 09/18/2012 6:19:24 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: GR_Jr.

The ComPost sampled D+8. Virginia`s registration is R+2. This “poll” was not even in the ballpark of reality. The accompanying story read like a breathless brag piece we see with PPP polls. The “media” polls should be tagged with a (D) before inclusion onto RCP.


48 posted on 09/18/2012 6:31:36 PM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: PA Engineer

IT is bad for the Kenyen when pollsters are still at this late date not switching to the likely voter model....

1) sleestack creatures
2) adults
3) registered voters
4) likely voters

Compost still stuck on #2


49 posted on 09/18/2012 6:32:31 PM PDT by AdamBomb
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To: AdamBomb
Compost still stuck on #2

Agreed. The 10% not voting (internals) in the last election was very revealing.

I wonder if this polling manipulation could backfire and suppress democrat turnout instead. Heck, if Obama is way ahead why bother voting?
50 posted on 09/18/2012 7:13:04 PM PDT by PA Engineer (What if the rabbit hole is endless?)
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To: jennings2004

Yes we can...
Same here in Hampton Roads...
More Romney signs though not a lot...
And one Obummer sign seen...hmmmm...gay marriage?


51 posted on 09/18/2012 7:49:05 PM PDT by matginzac
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To: GR_Jr.

No internals means a fake poll but, this is excellent news since the REAL voter break down is 37.6% Republican, 33.3% Democrat and 30% Independent.
As per Carville poll Romney leads Independents by 15 and CNN has it at 14 (54/40).
CNN also has Republican enthusiasm 6 points higher than Dems enthusiasm.
Right now Obama is NOT winning any group he lost in 2008; not doing better with any group he did win ( including Jews, women, young, Blacks and Hispanics) nor is he closing with veterans which he lost last time and will lose even bigger this time.


52 posted on 09/19/2012 5:11:45 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: GR_Jr.

They caught on and won’t publish the interals. That’s why we call them the ComPost.


53 posted on 09/19/2012 5:13:11 AM PDT by stratman1969
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