Romney Narrows Vote Gap After Historic Debate Win

Gallup ^ | October 8, 2012 | Jeffrey M. Jones

[Cincinatus' Wife]

By record-high margin, debate watchers say Romney did better

PRINCETON, NJ -- Registered voters' preferences for president are evenly split in the first three days of Gallup tracking since last Wednesday's presidential debate. In the three days prior to the debate, Barack Obama had a five-percentage-point edge among registered voters.

Gallup typically reports voter presidential preferences in seven-day rolling averages; the latest such average as of Saturday interviewing shows Obama with an average three-point edge, 49% to 46%, among registered voters. This Sept. 30-Oct. 6 field period includes three days before the Oct. 3 debate, the night of the debate itself, and three days after the debate.

Even on this basis, the race has become somewhat more competitive compared with before the first debate.........

[Cincinatus' Wife]

It's Drudge's morning lead story

[Cincinatus' Wife]

Breitbart: Battleground Poll: Romney Up 16 with Independents, Up 13 In Enthusiasm

"In 2008, President Barack Obama won the independent vote over John McCain by a margin of eight points, 52-44. This morning, a new Battleground Poll has Mitt Romney massacring Obama among indies by a whopping 16 points, 51-35......"

[Jim from C-Town]

It is of registered voters and I can not find the internals of party affiliation.

[MrChips]

Well, it’s Gallup, so you KNOW that they oversample Dems.

[comebacknewt]

Once they move to their likely voter model, Romney should pull ahead.

[HapaxLegamenon]

In previous years they switch to the likely voter model on Labor Day. That was a month ago. Why the delay?

[dvwjr]

Can not find the internals for the Gallup daily tracking Presidential preference Gallup poll, but the political ID breakdown (R/D/I) for seperate "who won the debate" Gallup poll looks as follows:
Gallup poll, October 4-5, 2012 - debate poll

Demographics	Republican	Democrat	Independent		Poll Numbers
Favor Romney	97.0%	49.0%	70.1%	Romney:	71.56%	Romney
Favor Obama	1.7%	38.6%	18.6%	Obama:	19.89%	Obama
Favor Neither	1.3%	12.4%	11.4%	Neither:	8.54%	Neither
Do not know:	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	Do not know:	0.00%	Don’t Know
	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%	Total:	100.0%
				Results
				(Weighting)
		`
Poll Information			Republican	31.51%	Republican
Gallup			Democrat	33.24%	Democrat
10/4-5/2012			Independent	35.25%	Independent
MOE 4.0%
749 Adults				100.0%
password: poll
Sauce.xls				All Adults
dvwjr			Republican	236	31.51%
Version 1.3			Democrat	249	33.24%
10/27/2000			Independent	264	35.25%
Free Republic			Total:	749	100.00%

dvwjr

[bray]

Because if they show Obozo losing he won’t be able to raise any money and Romney could win.

Pray for America

[goodolemr]

Obama isn’t going to be able to suddenly defend his record any better in the next prez two debates.

[Private_Sector_Does_It_Better]

I think he will to some degree put up a better defense; but he’ll still be on the defensive and Romney will still look like the more knowledgeable of the two. I also think Obama will try to put Romney on the defensive (taxes/Bain..:) so that he will have to spend his time answering Obamas attacks rather than attacking Obama’s record. Expect Romney to give a quick, clear response to Obama’s attacks and turn it back around to Obama’s record.