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A Year’s Supply Of Rice
The Daily Reckoning ^ | 10-8-2012 | Addison Wiggin

Posted on 10/09/2012 7:03:04 AM PDT by blam

A Year’s Supply Of Rice

By Addison Wiggin
October 8, 2012

“Better buy now,” advised the rice merchant in Tehran.

The retired factory guard took him up on the advice, buying 900 pounds of the stuff to feed his extended family for the next 12 months.

“As I was gathering my money,” the retiree told The New York Times, he got a phone call. “When he hung up, he told me prices had just gone up by 10%. Of course, I paid. God knows how much it will cost tomorrow.”

Iran’s currency, the rial, collapsed 40% last week under the pressure of Western sanctions and homegrown blundering. We’re not sure if Iran is in hyperinflation, as Cato Institute researcher Steve Hanke asserted in Friday’s 5 Min. Forecast, but at the very least they’re on the cusp.

Austrian economists describe three stages of inflation. In the first stage, people still hang onto their money, expecting prices to come down. In the second stage, people part with their money to stock up on goods before prices rise again. In the final hyperinflationary stage, people buy anything they can get their hands on — even if they don’t need it — because the goods are more valuable than the currency.

As we said on Thursday, Iran today is looking more and more like Iran during the 1978-79 revolution. Now there’s corroboration from someone who lived through those days.

“The new government wanted to prevent flight capital from leaving the country,” recalls Chicago-based derivatives specialist Janet Tavakoli, who married an Iranian while in college.

“In the panic to leave the country with some of their wealth,” she wrote in her 1998 book Credit Derivatives, “citizens found that although there was an official exchange rate of 7 tomans (10 rials) to the U.S. dollar, there was no means to convert money. Banks were closed much of the time. The government put a further restriction on conversion of currency. Citizens could take only $1,000 in U.S. currency out of the country and could take only a suitcase of clothing. The idea was to prevent citizens from taking valuable carpets, now labeled national protected works of art, out of the country.”

“Before a currency goes into free fall,” she writes now at Huffington Post, “its value can be chipped away while a distracted population fails to notice that the currency buys cheaper-quality clothing and less food in a package at a grocery store… That’s the current situation with the U.S. dollar.”

Iran, she says, is far beyond that stage. Where it leads this time, we have no idea… but it’s nowhere good.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; hyperinflation; inflation; iran
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To: Mad Dawgg

A year ago I bought 70 lbs of ground chuck at $1.99 a lb.
In the past year it has gone up to $2.88 a lb. It would cost over 200 dollars to buy what I paid just over 139 dollars for last October.


21 posted on 10/09/2012 8:35:48 AM PDT by sockmonkey (Of Course I didn't read the article. This is FreeRepublic, afterall.)
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To: Lurker
In the US, the shelves are likely to be wiped clean by credit card weilding suburbanites that don't worry about paying off the credit card bill.

At least in Iran, the use of cash and barter will slow down the wipe-out of shelves and warehouses.

/johnny

22 posted on 10/09/2012 9:29:39 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: sockmonkey
I just received my annual green coffee bean delivery. I was checking reciepts, and I paid about twice what I paid 5 years ago. If the price drops as the harvest season goes on, I'm going to double or triple buy this year. It's not going to be cheaper next year.

/johnny

23 posted on 10/09/2012 9:37:36 AM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: griswold3
" Bernanke knows that if he quits pushing buttons a rise of just 2 point in the interest rate would mean game over for the US. But then maybe that’s the ultimate end game. "

Exactly.

24 posted on 10/09/2012 11:02:17 AM PDT by blam
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks blam.
Iran’s currency, the rial, collapsed 40% last week under the pressure of Western sanctions and homegrown blundering.
It's an article about today's version of the Weimar non-republic.


25 posted on 10/09/2012 3:35:50 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: appalachian_dweller; OldPossum; DuncanWaring; VirginiaMom; CodeToad; goosie; kalee; ...

Preppers’ PING!!


26 posted on 10/09/2012 5:37:17 PM PDT by Kartographer ("We mutually pledge to each other our lives, our fortunes and our sacred honor.")
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To: Soul of the South
The only reason I can think of the GOP is not making an issue of the high rate of inflation for food, gasoline, and health care is they expect their economic policies to continue or accelerate the trend if Romney is elected.

Yep, and because they didn't utter a peep while The “real world basket” of goods has increased 45% in 4 years, they are certain the democrats will give them a pass for the next four years of 20% inflation.

Repeating the same stupid appeasing actions and hoping for a better treatment from evil people is the definition of what again?

27 posted on 10/09/2012 6:12:32 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1358 of our ObamaVacation from reality - Obama, a queer and present danger)
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To: GOPJ
Seems strange the MSM hasn't noticed the food inflation - guess we'll have to wait until Romney's President before they'll open their eyes again...

There aren't any homeless either.

Expect that to change at noon on January 20th...

28 posted on 10/09/2012 6:16:58 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1358 of our ObamaVacation from reality - Obama, a queer and present danger)
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To: null and void

“Repeating the same stupid appeasing actions and hoping for a better treatment from evil people is the definition of what again?”

Capitulation?


29 posted on 10/09/2012 6:21:30 PM PDT by Soul of the South
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To: Soul of the South

That works. ‘Insanity’ would work. ‘Stockholm syndrome’ would work. ‘Beaten wife syndrome’ would work...


30 posted on 10/09/2012 6:27:35 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1358 of our ObamaVacation from reality - Obama, a queer and present danger)
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To: blam

This does point out the limited value of sanctions.

The people who are hurt the most are not the power elite making the decisions. - it is the man in the street, the family trying to make ends meet and feed their family, the small businessman.

I know the argument - they should throw off their incompetent leadership and end the conditions that brought about the sanctions.

But that is easier said than done.

We have had an absolute disasterous president for four years and nothing has been done to change the situation. And now that we have a chance to change direction it still looks like he has a good chance of staying in office.

And the difficulty of making a change in a place like Iran is much higher than in a place like the US.

At least here the government has only killed citizens in small groups (so far) - not by the hundreds and thousands like Syria and Iran.


31 posted on 10/09/2012 6:43:01 PM PDT by Iron Munro (Obamaspeak: An army of pompous phrases marching across the landscape in search of an idea.)
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To: blam

$17 for 50 lbs rice from Costco. Enough for all the calories an adult male needs for over one month. (Incomplete nutrition, but at least a cheap minimum energy.)


32 posted on 10/09/2012 6:52:04 PM PDT by ctdonath2 ($1 meals: http://abuckaplate.blogspot.com)
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To: Iron Munro

This is 2007, on Ahmadinejad’s whim and not even the Green Revolution:

JULY 2007 : (IRAN : MASS EXECUTIONS OF “ANTI-ISLAM HOOLIGANS” FOR 6 WEEKS RUNNING; AT LEAST 150 MORE SCHEDULED TO DIE IN COMING WEEKS...) Iran has just carried out the largest wave of executions since 1984.
It is early dawn as seven young men are led to the gallows amid shouts of “Allah Akbar” (Allah is the greatest) from a crowd of bearded men as a handful of women, all in hijab, ululate to a high pitch. A few minutes later, the seven are hanged as a mullah shouts: “Alhamd li-Allah” (Praise be to Allah).
The scene was Wednesday in Mashad, Iran’s second most populous city, where a crackdown against “anti-Islam hooligans” has been under way for weeks.
The Mashad hangings, broadcast live on local television, are among a series of public executions ordered by President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad last month [JULY 2007] as part of a campaign to terrorize an increasingly restive population. Over the past six weeks, at least 118 people have been executed, including four who were stoned to death. According to Saeed Mortazavi, the chief Islamic prosecutor, at least 150 more people, including five women, are scheduled to be hanged or stoned to death in the coming weeks.(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...-————Domestic Terror in Iran
OpinionJournal.com ^ | August 6, 2007 | AMIR TAHERIhttp://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1876899/posts
410 posted on 08/06/2007 2:28:30 AM PDT by Cindy


33 posted on 10/09/2012 7:05:30 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustments offered here free of charge)
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To: Soul of the South

I don’t know where those prices came from but the prices here are much higher.

World basket prices:
potatoes 42c lb.
bread went up 20c since 2008
pizza today is $3.33

My prices:
potatoes this week’s ad 60c lb.
bread doubled in four years
cheap nasty never buying again store brand pizza bought last week was around $5

My property taxes have gone up 50% since 2008.


34 posted on 10/09/2012 7:44:50 PM PDT by bgill
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To: blam

27 five gal. buckets in Mylar pouches.


35 posted on 10/09/2012 8:00:41 PM PDT by grumpygresh (Democrats delenda est; zero sera dans l'enfer bientot)
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To: Mad Dawgg

The small cans of tuna used to be 7.5 oz. Today they’re 5 oz. Be careful with them when storing them because the cans are very thin. Very thin metal. It’s so thin, you can’t use the lid to squeeze the liquid off the meat because it’ll bend on you. A couple years ago, store brand tuna was 45c but now it’s 79c for a smaller can.

Toilet paper, same thing. “Double rolls” are a joke. They’re small than what regular rolls used to be. I made my bathroom shelves to fit two stacked rolls but now there’s a 3/4ths in gap so they’re not only shorter in length but narrower. I’ve noticed the last two packages are so narrow that I have to carefully fold the paper so that it’s wider when using. Probaby too much information but we shouldn’t have to go to all that trouble for tp.

And don’t even get me started on the price of ground beef. I broke down this weekend and bought 10 lbs of the cheap stuff. I hadn’t bought ground meat in a year because it’s gone up double what it was.


36 posted on 10/09/2012 8:04:21 PM PDT by bgill
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This will probably sound like sacrilege to the preppers here, but I’m crossing rice off my list of “good emergency storage foods” and replacing it with other grains. Wheat flour, barley, pasta, cornmeal, etc.

Why? Because if I eat rice, I can’t tell that I’ve eaten anything.

Maybe it’s just me, I know I have kind of a weird digestive tract, I even have lab tests proving it. But, if I try to make rice the main carb in a meal, it won’t matter how much I eat of it, I’ll still feel like I haven’t had a single bite. What’s more, I found out my body can’t get energy from it for some reason. Probably missing that enzyme, I know I’m missing others. But, when I was on a special diet for a week to test for food intolerances, my choices were limited to rice, unseasoned meat, and a specific list of fruits and vegetables. Not only was I famished that whole week, I also felt like I’d been hit by a truck, and had so little stamina that just crossing a room wore me out.

On the other hand, if I eat different grains, I feel full. Cream of barley soup is one of my favorites.

So, I’m not saying this should apply to everybody, but if there’s anyone else who has noticed they get this effect with rice, it might be prudent to look to other grains instead.

I’m also stocking up on seeds for the grains I enjoy the most. I’ve got wheat, barley, spelt, hulless oats, amaranth, sorghum, and quinoa in my stash so far, along with a few varieties of corn.


37 posted on 10/09/2012 8:23:24 PM PDT by Ellendra (http://www.ustrendy.com/ellendra-nauriel/portfolio/18423/concealed-couture/)
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To: Holly_P

I believe that Cost of Living has gone up more than that, and people on SS haven’t gotten a raise in TWO years, but our bloody Congress critters sure as Hades did.


38 posted on 10/09/2012 8:43:01 PM PDT by Shadowstrike (Be polite, Be professional, but have a plan to kill everyone you meet.)
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To: blam
I Know rice is a staple for something like 2/3s of the worlds population.
I just could never figure out why!
39 posted on 10/09/2012 8:49:22 PM PDT by djf (Political Science: Conservatives = govern-ment. Liberals = givin-me-it.)
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To: blam; Kartographer

If the morons in the Fed want the U.S. Dollar to be any good in the future, they’d stop buying bonds and start selling them, drawing all those extra paper dollars and bank account zeroes OUT of the economy.

But they won’t do that, will they?


40 posted on 10/09/2012 8:56:25 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Obama should change his campaign slogan to "Yes, we am!" Sounds as stupid as his administration is.)
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