Updated polls in 10 key U.S. Senate races [Dems hold 52-48]

Examiner.com ^ | 10/21/2012 | Ryan Witt

[JediJones]

Based on the polls and projections below, as well as polls in other contests not listed here, the Democrats are projected to keep their majority in the Senate by a 52-48 margin.

Massachusetts (D pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Warran 48.0%, Brown 46.3%

Missouri (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: McCaskill 45.8%, Akin 43.5%

Connecticut (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Murphy 47.0%, McMahon 42.7%

Nevada (R hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Heller 45.8%, Berkley 41.0%

Virginia (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Kaine 47.6%, Allen 45.4%

Wisconsin (D hold) Real Clear Politics Average: Baldwin 48.4%, Thompson 46.0%

Indiana (R hold) Most Recent Poll: Mourdock 47%, Donnelly 42% (Rasmussen 10/11)

Montana (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Rehberg 46.3%, Tester 46.0%

Maine (I pickup!) Real Clear Politics Average: King 45.5%, Summers 31%, Dill 13.8%

North Dakota (R pickup) Real Clear Politics Average: Berg 48.5%, Heitkamp 43.5%

[Viennacon]

Tester is a rubber stamp. The general opinion of him can’t be good. Majority in Montana disapprove of Obama, and Tester is undeniably tied to Bozo. He’s gotta be up there with McCaskill in terms of unfavorables.

[Combat_Liberalism]

Like I said, most polls are not reflecting reality. Also, recent polls have all shown Brown, Akin, or Thompson either tied or leading. No, not all polls have shown that result. Re-read the first sentence. I believe the GOP will take the Senate based on the results of the election, not on hope alone, although hope is crucial. I believe Romney will win going away and will carry several who otherwise might not have won to victory. In another post I suggested a way for you to help. Send a contribution to JIm DeMint’s Senate Conservatives Fund.

[JediJones]

Also, Sens like Manchin, Lieberman, or Dems vulnerable in 2014 can be persuaded to vote the right way on important tax reform legislation and energy issues.

Lieberman is retiring and the Dems are ahead for his Connecticut seat.

Manchin said in debates this year that he does not want to repeal Obamacare, but wants to reform and improve it.

[Viennacon]

I would put my money on Akin simply based on the hatred of McCaskill that exists and is being amplified by her proven corruption. After Akin’s gaffe, Republicans expected him to lose at least half of his support. Stick a fork in him... but he’s lost very little. This tells me that Missouri voters who want McCaskill out are 100% committed to getting her out, and are therefor more likely to come out to vote on election day.

[tsowellfan]

hope is crucial to encourage the base to find a good strategy.

In another post I suggested a way for you to help. Send a contribution to JIm DeMint’s Senate Conservatives Fund.

That's a good strategy.

Here's another: KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!

[rfp1234]

Oops forgot about Joe ;)

[rfp1234]

Oops forgot about Joe ;)

[tsowellfan]

Akin’s gaffe, Republicans expected him to lose at least half of his support.

Akin's gaffe is history. Michelle Bachmann's had gaffes.

We should stop reminding the republicans who made those predictions and try to move forward.

[montanajoe]

I know you GOP folks that are here to drum up support for the GOP think cheer leading helps your cause but it doesn't fly in Montana. Folks here split their tickets all the time, if the Dim Schweitzer was not term limited he would get reelected with 85% of the vote. Romney is ahead here but its not going to be a blowout and he will have no coattails.
Actually I think had the GOP ran a Senate candidate who had not already been in Washington forever he/she would have been way ahead..

[Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America]

Dems will focus their voter fraud on Senate races to disable Romney if he wins.. Al Franken’s fraudulent victory with car trunks full of ballots is all they needed to tip the balance in the Senate.

[TrueFact]

“I don’t see any dem hitting 50”

I noticed that, too. And most seem pretty close.

[genghis]

it is starting to feel like 1980.
ya reagan won.
but 9 of the most disgusting ( ok not as disgusting as the current crop) of rats lost their senate jobs.
When romney wins by double digits, about 9 current rats are going to join the ranks (hopefully forever) of the unemployed.

[Delhi Rebels]

It’s a little dated. Rasmussen is out with a poll in Missouri that puts McCaskill up by 8 points with a 5% rolling average.

[Delhi Rebels]

If MA vots for Warren, they are dumber than I thought.

This is the state that voted Teddy in election after election. Nothing they do would surprise me.

[Delhi Rebels]

Yep, forgot OH. Rs will pick that one up...

No they won't.

[Pilsner]

There is a first time for every thing, but no President defeated for reelection, who had a majority in the Senate, has not taken his party's Senate majority down with him. From Adams to Carter, before and after the 17th Amendment, the American people have never fired a President without firing enough Senators to change control (when the Presdent's party held the Senate).

If this is a very close election, BO could lose, and the Democrats keep the Senate. If Romney wins by a wide margin, there won't be enough ticket splitting to keep Harry Reid the majority leader.

All the more reason to keep working.

[MNJohnnie]

Only problem is these have D incumbents polling under 50% holding their seats. That is highly unlikely.

[LongWayHome]

I’m not hearing good things about Warren/Brown right. It looks like she has broken out somewhat in the last 10 days to a 5 or 6 point lead.

[Delhi Rebels]

I don’t care what the polls say here, the fact that Akin (after being crucified as Satan by every media outlet) is close, tells me he will win.

If you don't believe any of the polls then how do you know if he's close or far?

[MNJohnnie]

Of course, Cook is a Leftist Establishment hack. Why anyone takes him seriously is a mystery.