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Pennsylvania: Last-Minute Game-Changer?
Wall Street Journal ^ | 10/22/2012 | COLLEEN MCCAIN NELSON

Posted on 10/22/2012 10:57:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The Keystone State Hasn't Backed a GOP Presidential Candidate Since '88, but as Obama's Lead Narrows, Romney's Camp Eyes It.

Pennsylvania has emerged as an appealing target for Mitt Romney and the Republican Party as they consider where to invest their considerable resources during the final weeks of the presidential campaign.

A quick visit to a Pittsburgh suburb on Saturday by Mr. Romney's running mate, Rep. Paul Ryan, suggested that Republicans are eyeing the state—or else trying to keep their opposition guessing.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; obama; pa2012; pagoingred; painplay; paswingstate; pennsylvania; romney; tomsmith
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1 posted on 10/22/2012 10:57:04 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Cleveland Ohio

Erie PA

Pitt. PA

ADVERTISE in the border markets HEAVY!


2 posted on 10/22/2012 11:06:08 AM PDT by Kansas58
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s all about the suburbs. Like it or not, but Romney is the kind of guy that the fiscal conservatives, social liberals/moderates that have money like.

There’s hardly any signs for Obama out, in fact I saw my first Obama 2012 bumper sticker last night, on a car with New Jersey license plate.


3 posted on 10/22/2012 11:09:52 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: Shadow44

Agree. Romney should hit the Philly market hard. There are a lot of potential voters out there in Montgomery, Delaware, Chester, and Bucks Counties and well as in South Jersey.


4 posted on 10/22/2012 11:12:47 AM PDT by wolfman23601
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To: Kansas58

I live in a suburban Philly county and believe me I am talking to a lot of people who have buyers remorse concerning the last election. Most of them will vote for Romney or stay home. From my point of view and experience, it may be worth Romney spending some money here, he has a real chance to win PA. In ‘08 there was a fever for Obama, car bumper stickers, yard signs...I can count on one hand the number of those items I’ve seen in the suburbs, even in Philly. Obama has lost his mojo in PA.


5 posted on 10/22/2012 11:13:45 AM PDT by Right Wing Puppy
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To: SeekAndFind

Correct me if I’m wrong, but if R & R take PA then winning OH is not critical.


6 posted on 10/22/2012 11:14:10 AM PDT by Hotlanta Mike (Resurrect the House Committee on Un-American Activities (HUAC)...before there is no America!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Many Pennsyvanians cling to guns and bible...to many of them also cling to their welfare and the big G’teet.
Actually,its a strange mix out in rural Pa.
I know a guy who is disabled who owns hunting rifles and crossbows.
He cuts all his own fire wood and helps his father with his farming.


7 posted on 10/22/2012 11:14:26 AM PDT by Leep (Forward! to serfdom)
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To: Hotlanta Mike

RE: Correct me if I’m wrong, but if R & R take PA then winning OH is not critical.

You are correct my friend. But then I don’t see how he wins PA without also winning OH. Winning both will be icing on the cake.

Mike Gallagher tells us in his talk show that no one has ever won the presidency without winning OH since... Lincoln.

If ( and that’s a big if ), Romney wins PA but loses OH, it will be a BIG surprise ( a black swan even really ), but he’ll win the presidency nonetheless. And that will all but bury the Lincoln curse.


8 posted on 10/22/2012 11:17:53 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
For a long time, expecting to win in PA has been like Charlie Brown expecting that Lucy won't yank the football THIS time. Philly always seems to manufacture JUST enough votes to bring the Dem over the finish line, even if it means recording 120% voter turnout.

That said, if PA is called for Mitt early in the evening, the election is over. Especially if Fox calls it before West Coast polls close (forget about the rest of the MSM calling it, even if overwhelmingly for Mitt).

9 posted on 10/22/2012 11:18:36 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: Hotlanta Mike
Less critical, not exactly not critical.

0 could conceivably run the table on a handful of other states to compensate.

Normally, I'd say that that doesn't usually happen, but it's Pennsylvania that's the wild card this time because of coal country.

10 posted on 10/22/2012 11:21:28 AM PDT by Tanniker Smith (Rome didn't fall in a day, either.)
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To: Tanniker Smith

Someone else pointed this out but it bears repeating: ads in Western Pa and eastern Ohio are very smart. If we take Pa, which I think is unlikely but possible, the election is over IMO. If we take Pa and put a ton of money into ads in eastern Ohio and can swing that state, I will be cheering around 11PM for sure.


11 posted on 10/22/2012 11:33:27 AM PDT by Mouton (Voting is an opiate of the electorate. Nothing changes no matter who wins..)
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To: PapaBear3625

“For a long time, expecting to win in PA has been like Charlie Brown expecting that Lucy won’t yank the football THIS time. Philly always seems to manufacture JUST enough votes to bring the Dem over the finish line, even if it means recording 120% voter turnout.”

yeah but PA has a GOP governor so the Rendell machine is history.


12 posted on 10/22/2012 11:36:57 AM PDT by ari-freedom
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To: Leep

Pennsylvanians cling to the government teat in places like Johnstown, where all of the available jobs were there as the direct result of Democrats like John Murtha abusing their positions to steal from other parts of the country and redirect them here.

Murtha is dead. Gas is king. Obama is toast.


13 posted on 10/22/2012 11:39:38 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: ari-freedom

Agreed. Check out the margin of victory in the last five elections. Pretty close. PA is not a lock for Obama.


14 posted on 10/22/2012 11:39:58 AM PDT by Right Wing Puppy
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To: ari-freedom

Agreed. Check out the margin of victory in the last five elections. Pretty close. PA is not a lock for Obama.


15 posted on 10/22/2012 11:40:07 AM PDT by Right Wing Puppy
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To: wolfman23601
Agree. Romney should hit the Philly market hard. There are a lot of potential voters out there in Montgomery, Delaware, Chester, and Bucks Counties and well as in South Jersey.

Advertising on Philadelphia TV hits DE and NE MD too. I doubt MD is in action, but there are a couple of polls in NJ that have Romney trailing by 4 or 5 points. I haven't seen any polling on DE. I don't think there are enough conservative voters in southern DE to make up for Wilmington. Small State ... Small Wonder.

16 posted on 10/22/2012 11:40:36 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (The truth hurts)
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To: Shadow44
I live in upstate NY. I attended a neighborhood cocktail party in 2008 where all my liberal neighbors bragged about how thrilled they were to finally have a candidate like Obama. One bozo even crowed his son was working for the campaign and he flew out to swing states to help his son out. Well, that guy put his house on the market in 2009 and it took over 2 years to sell and he had to lower it by $100K. Bet he's glad he put out all the effort for the marxist.

Not one Obama sign on my street but nearly a dozen Romney signs!!

17 posted on 10/22/2012 11:41:27 AM PDT by NoExpectations
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To: ConservativeInPA
NJ would be a real long shot. Then again, they did elect Chris Christie.

Election night will mostly have lots of Obama victories in the NorthEast, then we will have Romney victories in most of the Middle, and then Obama victories on the West coast. If we can mute the Obama NE victories, we might dispirit people on the West Coast.

18 posted on 10/22/2012 11:46:27 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 (political correctness is communist thought control, disguised as good manners)
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To: SeekAndFind
What would make the biggest difference for Obama would be for him to actively support all of the down ballot Democratic contestants, which he has not done nor will he do. The support of the down ballot creates a structure conducive to winning. Romney knows that and works with other Republicans, however Obama is so inexperienced that this one aspect of running a major campaign has for some reason completely escaped his view, as if he does not need help from anyone but Joe Biden.

So, let us calm our restless hearts. The first time Obama ran he got lucky and skated into office by sheer magic. However, this second time around he is facing a substantial candidate and he is missing his retractable rollers and facing an uphill climb with only his media and university toadies exasperatingly blowing on his back.

19 posted on 10/22/2012 11:47:14 AM PDT by Slyfox
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To: Slyfox

Here in southeastern Montgomery County, PA, you would pick Romney in a landslide if based on signs. The enthusiasm for R/R is much higher than Mcain in 2008. I drive deep into enemy territory in Philly and see 4 or five signs for the O’Chair. In fact in parts of Philly I see more Romney signs overall. DO NOT GIVE UP ON PA. I think we take it. There are a lot of people here who I think voted for Obama last time but are going to swallow pride and vote for Mitt.


20 posted on 10/22/2012 11:50:40 AM PDT by Phillyred
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