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PPP Nevada poll: Obama 51, Romney 47
politico ^ | 10/24/12 | Alexander Burns

Posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:47 PM PDT by cdchik123

One of the states Democrats view as part of an electoral college firewall is still leaning slightly to the president, per Public Policy Polling:

PPP's newest Nevada poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51/47, numbers exactly identical to what they were when we last polled the state two weeks ago.

Obama is already well on his way to winning Nevada based on early votes that have been cast in the week. Among those who say they've already voted he has a 61/39 advantage. Romney is up 51/46 with those planning to vote between now and election day. ...

Obama's leading based on advantages of 69/28 with Hispanics, 82/12 with African Americans, 54/44 with women, and 58/39 with young voters. Romney's ahead with men (50/48), whites (57/42), and seniors (53/45). He also has a 53/44 advantage with independents but he'd probably need to take them by a wider margin than that to overcome the Democratic registration edge in the state.

Republicans have freely acknowledged that this is one of the tougher remaining swing states for Romney. If Obama continues to hold Nevada and Ohio, then Mitt Romney needs to crack Wisconsin in order to get to 270 electoral votes.


TOPICS: Extended News; Front Page News; Politics/Elections; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; 2012swingstates; nv2012
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1 posted on 10/24/2012 6:23:48 PM PDT by cdchik123
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To: cdchik123

Those four guys that Barry has over Romney are the same four guys who showed up at the Jiffy Lube in Reno to see Sandy Fluke last week.


2 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:32 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Big Bird, Binders, Horses and Bayonets! Sorry that’s all we’ve got! - the DNC)
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To: cdchik123

Wow! 12% of blacks and 28% of hispanics for Romney? That’s amazing and will only grow.


3 posted on 10/24/2012 6:27:48 PM PDT by gotribe (He's a mack-daddy http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AV415yit7Zg)
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To: cdchik123

I hate to say if but if the people of Nevada vote for Obama they deserve what befalls them. It was, after all, Obama who admonished American businesses and vacationers not to go to Vegas...not to spend their money there!!!
Their unemployment is much higher than the national average and his policies have done NOTHING to inspire confidence amongst the populace that would encourage them to spend disposable income for travel and entertainment which is about all Nevada has to offer !!
I hope they come to their senses...but they keep sending Harry Reid back to Washington so I’m not counting on it!


4 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:06 PM PDT by Froggie
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To: cdchik123

Doesn’t shock me. Even though it’s a left-leaning pollster, all of the polls show Obama up in Nevada by a few points.

I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.


5 posted on 10/24/2012 6:30:12 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: cdchik123

SIGH.... PPP again (double sigh).

So, what’s the D/R/I breakdown of the Nevada Poll this time... is it going to be D+9 again?


6 posted on 10/24/2012 6:31:12 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: cdchik123

Did Obama trash Las Vegas at one point? And NV is one of the worst states in terms of unemployment.

Have we reached a critical mass of stupidity in this country?


7 posted on 10/24/2012 6:31:36 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: Froggie

Exactly. The parasites are getting close to overcoming the host.


8 posted on 10/24/2012 6:33:02 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: SeekAndFind

D +6

42 D, 36 R, 23 I


9 posted on 10/24/2012 6:35:01 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: cdchik123
Nevada--whores, crooks and union thugs--- yep, definitely sounds like obama country.
10 posted on 10/24/2012 6:36:21 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Froggie

They re-elected Ried in 2010. I think RR ought to concede NV. They can, and will, win without it.


11 posted on 10/24/2012 6:37:31 PM PDT by outofstyle (Down All the Days)
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To: cdchik123

Even though this is PPP, it is consistent with the Rasmussen poll.

It looks like Iowa and NH are moving Romney’s way. With Nevada that would have cancelled out making Ohio essential...although I seriously doubt that if the more Democrat leaning states of Iowa and NH have moved to Romney that Ohio would not also end up in his column as that is a more Republican state.


12 posted on 10/24/2012 6:39:45 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: NYRepublican72

Can you advise all on what percentage threshold of votes cast must be achieved to gain a split in Maine?

(I ask here because others may also wonder)


13 posted on 10/24/2012 6:40:15 PM PDT by Michael.SF. (Obama Lied, Stevens died.)
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To: cdchik123

I have a very good smart conservative friend that lives in NV with very good “connections”. Obama by 3-4%.


14 posted on 10/24/2012 6:41:53 PM PDT by TaMoDee ( Lassez les bons temps rouler dans les 2012! Allez Pack!)
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To: cdchik123
Besides casino work and public education, what other employment opportunities exist there? Housing construction has to be very slow after the bubble burst with so many homes in default in that state. Is the B.O. lead simply a reflection of the HUGE union presence there?

Amazing that the low information voters cut off their noses to spite their faces and don't even know it. Sad.

15 posted on 10/24/2012 6:42:07 PM PDT by PLK
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To: Michael.SF.

Don’t know the numbers, saw a poll where the CD in ME was trending Romney.


16 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:15 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: NYRepublican72

“I have Romney at 261 (or 262 if you include ME-01). If Romney can take OH or WI, it’s over.”

What about hitting the needle with NH and Wisconsin?
Maybe Iowa is the better combo with NH.

Okay, let’s run the table!

Gotta get it and Mittmomentum is working.


17 posted on 10/24/2012 6:43:35 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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To: romanesq

261 assumes NH holds. WI would then put Romney over the top without OH.


18 posted on 10/24/2012 6:44:38 PM PDT by NYRepublican72
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To: KansasGirl

2004
D 35
R 39
I 26

2008
D 38
R 30
I 32


19 posted on 10/24/2012 6:45:16 PM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: PLK

“Is the B.O. lead simply a reflection of the HUGE union presence there?”

Yes.


20 posted on 10/24/2012 6:46:15 PM PDT by romanesq (For George Soros so loved the world, he gave us Obama)
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