Gallup Tracking Poll: R50/O47

Gallup ^ | 10/25 | Gallup

[tatown]

R50/O47

[tatown]

No change

[tatown]

Ping

No change to top line number. O’s approval (-2) overnight and disapproval (+2) overnight.

[TigerClaws]

47%ers won’t budge!

[Parley Baer]

Looks like Rasmussen and Gallup have come together on their polling. Good news for Mitt. Steady as she goes.

[tatown]

Ping

No change to top line number. O’s approval (-2) overnight and disapproval (+2) overnight.

[nhwingut]

Exactly mirrors Rasmussen. No challenger (or candidate) at 50 at this point in time has gone on to lose. We are at the end of October now, not mid October. Too long at the 50 to lose now.

Also, note Obama’s approval among adults dropped by 4 points from yesterday.

Back to work...

[rurgan]

This is freedom and America's last stand. If that communist Muslim Obama wins then the socialists achieve their goal of destroying freedom forever. Do everything you can to elect Romney and so save freedom.

[PghBaldy]

For those who don’t know, this is a 7-Day Rolling Average among LIKELY VOTERS. Not bad place for Romney to be 12 days out.

[tatown]

The approve/disapprove change from yesterday would suggest to me that Gallup may be ready to ‘cycle’ back up to a 4, 5, or 6 point lead over the next day or two.

[rurgan]

Good analysis.

[ConservativeInPA]

[tatown]

Thanks for posting that. Please continue to do so every day as it is VERY instructive.

[apillar]

No Change from yesterday, which pretty much eliminates any chance that Obama got any substantial or lasting bounce from the final debate considering that we now have 3 days of Gallups seven day rolling average taken after the debate. Also, according to Dick Morris on O’Reilly last night, the real number in Gallup is 53%R 47%O because the undecideds always break for the challenger.

[SamAdams76]

Nice comparison chart to this point four years ago with Gallup.

Romney seems to be in nearly identical position that Obama was in with McCain four years ago at this time.

Also, note that McCain apparently had a "surge" around Oct 28 that year that put him within 2 points of Obama. In the final 5 days, Obama pulled away dramatically. Just wanted to point that out for those who might be panicked about this appearing to be a 2-3 point race.

I believe that Romney is in a fantastic position with 50-51% of the vote. It is truly his race to lose at this point.

[justlurking]

Nice chart.

Can you upload it to Google Docs or someplace static so that I can bookmark it? I don't want to miss your updates over the next 11 days.

[ConservativeInPA]

I’ll try to do that. I doubt I will be timely on Saturdays. I’ll be out squirrel and wabbit hunting.

[SoftwareEngineer]

Tatown,

Based on the drop in the President’s approval number, I predict we may be back to +4 tomorrow

I saw this trend last week, so it may repeat

[uncbob]

which pretty much eliminates any chance that Obama got any substantial or lasting bounce from the final debate

Forget the debate the BS in Libya should have had an big adverse impact --didn't happen

[ConservativeInPA]

Just click on the pic and it will take you to photobucket. Bookmark that link. You will see the other polling days’ pics at the bottom of the page. I am also doing it for Rasmussen, I would mind putting it on Google Docs, but I am at work and Google Docs is a blocked site out our network.

[Mr. Silverback]

Saw a stat back in September that said the incumbent usually finishes about 3 points below the Gallup number from September 15...Obama was already below 50% then. Has to do with the fact that Gallup is surveying registered voters in mid-September.