Posted on 10/26/2012 10:07:49 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Likely Voters
Romney 51% +1 Obama 46% -1 7-day rolling average
(Excerpt) Read more at gallup.com ...
They are back to being tied in Registered voters and President Obama’s approval numbers fell by 3% to 48%
It’ll be 10+ by the end of next week. This on entering into the last weekend of October.
And with Gallup projecting a R+1 advantage for 2012, O will be crushed in a blowout.
Max O will get is 45% on November 6th.
It’s over. No more analyzing and crunching. Time to soak in the end of America’s first dictatorship.
Woo hoo!!
Excellent.
Don’t get over confident, let’s drive Obama’s numbers down more and get a mandate. Also, it’s still about the electoral votes
Nate Silver says this should increase Obama’s likelihood from 70.124 to 74.345 (the decimal places added to garner statistical credibility).
LOL!
Nate Silver ....(snicker)
This race is settling into its pattern, Obama won’t swing it back, too many people made up minds now.
The time to soak in the end of Obama’s term is in the hours after the polls close on Nov. 6 - take umbrage but persevere. The time is now and the opportunity is at hand. GOTV + GO R&R GO!
GO !
VOTE ! !
If Nate Silver is as good as he says he is he would be someone’s Karl Rove working in the back room.
Comes close to my prediction RR 55% O 45%.
Nate Silver is all in. He is the hero over at the DUmp.
Every day that goes by he doubles down on Obama’s chances on winning.
Is this using Gallups new R+1 formula?
Agreed. I want to see his numbers crushed.
Every day that goes by he doubles down on Obama’s chances on winning.
Makes for more entertainment on November 6th watching the crash and burn.
If Nate Silver is as good as he says he is he would be someone’s Karl Rove working in the back room.
++++++++++
Take a look at his website : Excellent presentation. Fundamentally good methodology using weighted polls. Statistical use of MOEs.
But ...
His bias ruins the soup. He favors D biased polls and weights them on the heavy side. He includes polls that shouldn’t be on any honest list.
In a nutshell: it’s garbage in - garbage out. So much talent, so few brains.
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