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Advantage Obama in hunt for 270 electoral votes
AP via SFGate ^ | 10/28/12 | THOMAS BEAUMONT, Associated Press

Posted on 10/28/2012 7:01:43 PM PDT by SmithL

AMES, Iowa (AP) — President Barack Obama is poised to eke out a victory in the race for the 270 electoral votes needed to win re-election, having beaten back Republican Mitt Romney's attempts to convert momentum from the debates into support in all-important Ohio, according to an Associated Press analysis a week before Election Day.

While the Democratic incumbent has the upper hand in the electoral vote hunt, Romney has pulled even, or is slightly ahead, in polling in a few pivotal states, including Florida and Virginia. The Republican challenger also appears to have the advantage in North Carolina, the most conservative of the hotly contested nine states that will determine the winner.

While in a tight race with Obama for the popular vote, Romney continues to have fewer state-by-state paths than Obama to reach 270. Without Ohio's 18 electoral votes, Romney would need last-minute victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and manage to pick off key states now leaning Obama's way, such as Iowa or Wisconsin.

(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: asspressbias; hurricanesandy; ilovelucy; japan; obama; romney; skittles
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To: okie01

I stand corrected! (I.S.C. as hubby says...not too often!).

I actually remember Tom Foley getting voted out on his ear after he opposed term limits, I thought that was great. Of course I also thought it kind of demonstrated why you don’t really need term limits you can just, you know, throw the bums out on a regular basis.

I do think we should have a system of no pensions or other post office benefits for any elected official, that would probably do well enough to limit terms in office.


61 posted on 10/28/2012 11:50:50 PM PDT by jocon307
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To: SmithL

It’s easier for Obama because he has 57 states from which to win them.


62 posted on 10/28/2012 11:57:54 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
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To: HiTech RedNeck

The AP “analysis” overlooks the fact that Obama’s hard ceiling is 47% and he is unlikely to win a single swing state with that kind of number - which matches his approval rating to a T.

For AP to be right, O has to crack 50% and then run the table. I don’t see that happening. Its MSM wishful thinking at this point and they want to protect their investment in the One.

And they need people to think he could defy the polls and do what Harry Truman did to Tom Dewey in 1948. Though if there is movement towards O - we’ll only see it happen in the last 48 hours of this election.

But its more likely late undecideds break for the challenger than for the incumbent.


63 posted on 10/29/2012 1:01:47 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: SmithL
Right on, crAP!


64 posted on 10/29/2012 2:58:32 AM PDT by hattend (Firearms and ammunition...the only growing industries under the Obama regime.)
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To: NavVet

Even Nate Silver has already given Florida and North Carolina up.


65 posted on 10/29/2012 10:22:19 AM PDT by Experiment 6-2-6 (Admn Mods: tiny, malicious things that glare and gibber from dark corners.They have pins and dolls..)
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