Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

GOP Rout In Pennsylvania Absentee Ballot Returns

Posted on 10/30/2012 5:30:50 AM PDT by Perdogg

This morning President Obama’s campaign indicated they are going on the air in Pennsylvania and sending Joe Biden to the state trying to protect a state that just one week ago was considered to be safe ground. One possible reason? The enormous GOP edge in absentee ballot returns in the state, creating an enormous and unexpected hole for the President’s campaign to dig out of.

In 2008 the GOP edged the Democrats by just 2% in absentee returns. As of today the GOP’s lead is 18.8% — a 16.9% bump in a state Obama won by 10% in 2008. Republicans have turned in 55.2% of the absentee ballots to date while the Democrats have returned just 36.4%.

The Romney Victory team has been on the ground in Pennsylvania for months with over 60 staff and dozens of offices. We have made over 5 million volunteer voter contacts including over 1 million volunteer door knocks across Pennsylvania. That voter contact is paying off in the absentee ballot returns and clearly the President’s campaign sees it in their numbers. That’s why they are playing defense in the Keystone state as Governor Romney’s momentum allows us to expand the map.

PENNSYLVANIA AB RETURNS

PENNSYLVANIA AB RETURNS

Party

2008 AB Votes Cast

2012 AB Votes Cast

Change

DEM

132,170

44.70%

42,013

36.42%

-8.28%

REP

137,850

46.62%

63,717

55.24%

+8.62%

TOTAL

295,659

+1.92%

115,346

+18.82%

+16.90%

 


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2012swingstates; pa2012; vanity
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081 next last
To: MrB

So they just assume if they receive a dem ballot, it was a vote for Obama and a republican ballot is a vote for Romney?


21 posted on 10/30/2012 5:49:29 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: SW6906

Party registration?


22 posted on 10/30/2012 5:50:08 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: ilovesarah2012

Not necessarily. A lot of conservative Reagan Democrats won’t vote for Obama.


23 posted on 10/30/2012 5:51:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: tbw2
If elections are delayed due to Hurricane Sandy, will this help or hurt Obama?

I don't think you're going to see many concerns about delaying the elections.

However, what you probably WILL see is Obama being decked out in a flak jacket being air dropped into disaster areas in a desperate attempt to look like a leader.

This should knock Benghazi out of the news for the rest of the election period, and for that, I believe the O campaign will be grateful for the destruction.
24 posted on 10/30/2012 5:51:26 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

How is that silly for someone to think it might be delayed. If there is no power (for machines) and people are still evacuated (can’t get to their precinct), how can the election be held?


25 posted on 10/30/2012 5:53:04 AM PDT by autumnraine (America how long will you be so deaf and dumb to the tumbril wheels carrying you to the guillotine?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: mmichaels1970
This storm will be off the front page in a day or so. And stunts like the one you describe will be more than offset by Romney/Ryan campaign activity to provide help with volunteers and contributions.

26 posted on 10/30/2012 5:54:22 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

I am registered as a dem (from 2008 to vote for Hillary to keep Obama out) and never changed back. I have sent in my absentee ballot, so when they see it, will they assume it’s a vote for Obama, cause it sure as h*ll isn’t!


27 posted on 10/30/2012 5:55:42 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 23 | View Replies]

To: autumnraine

The ballots can be counted by hand. It will just take longer.

We held elections during the Civil War and both World Wars. A hurricane is not going to prevent the election from taking place next week!


28 posted on 10/30/2012 5:56:24 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: ilovesarah2012
So they just assume if they receive a dem ballot, it was a vote for Obama and a republican ballot is a vote for Romney?

I believe they do...and that may turn out to be a huge error for them.

If we consider the small percentage of folks who vote for the opposite party, I believe that percentage is larger this cycle for the dems that the reps.

I'm no poll expert. However if we hypothetically say that 5% of reps will vote Obama and 8% of dems will vote Romney (just pulling the numbers out of thin air), it seems to me it would blow these early voting tabulations out of the sky.

In my hypothetical, Romney would be a few points higher than being reported.

I wonder if anybody knows what the current poll numbers are on people who are voting against their party?
29 posted on 10/30/2012 5:56:39 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

It might help if Biden remembers what state he’s in.


30 posted on 10/30/2012 5:57:52 AM PDT by New Jersey Realist (America: home of the free because of the brave)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop; autumnraine

No polling place will be without power, at least generator power.


31 posted on 10/30/2012 5:58:07 AM PDT by Genoa (Starve the beast.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: ilovesarah2012
Do they open the absentee ballots before election day?

Not in PA if there is a poll watcher on site.

If no one is watching, those demonRAT liars, cheaters and thieves will not only open them, but they will destroy any pubbie ballots and re-vote them as demonRAT. It is crucial to have poll watchers in any demonRAT strong hold.

I go into the belly of the beast, can't say where because I have my little friend with me and I don't want any upfront grief.

The place where I spend the day isn't safe, even if you have a friend with you and they wish I wasn't there but I'm too stubborn to die and let them have their way {at least for this election}. demonRATs are not real Americans, they are communists and when Romney/Ryan win, there will be a reaction unlike anything we have ever experienced over a political election.

32 posted on 10/30/2012 5:59:08 AM PDT by USS Alaska (Nuke the terrorist savages, start today.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: mmichaels1970

That is why I believe relying too much on these absentee ballots if foolish. I think quite a few dems will vote for Romney and can’t imagine many republicans voting for Dumbo.


33 posted on 10/30/2012 5:59:25 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Please send Biden. Biden needs to travel every county in PA and campaign. The Obama campaign needs to run videos of Biden’s debate performance. We need Biden 24/7 until Election Day.


34 posted on 10/30/2012 5:59:51 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (In a previous life I was ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All

If PA goes to the GOP this cycle, I will personally drive to Cranberry Township (suburban Pittsburgh) and drink some of that swill they call Pennsylvania beer.


35 posted on 10/30/2012 6:00:41 AM PDT by mmichaels1970
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Apple Blossom

PING


36 posted on 10/30/2012 6:00:41 AM PDT by bmwcyle (45% to 47% of American voters are stupid)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tbw2

If elections are delayed due to Hurricane Sandy, ...It’s a WEEK away. We’ll have sunny skies and Sandy will be considered the media hyped joke it was.


37 posted on 10/30/2012 6:01:25 AM PDT by Safetgiver ( Islam makes barbarism look genteel.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: WashingtonSource

Happily for us, they actually do think sending Joe will help them. ....We need a laugh here. You know,like ol’ plugs did all night during the debate, HAHAHA.


38 posted on 10/30/2012 6:03:57 AM PDT by Safetgiver ( Islam makes barbarism look genteel.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
And people thought when we pointed this out in OH that it was just a clever diversion. We saw something here that is being manifest in Colorado, North Carolina, Florida, and now Pennsylvania.

And remember, the "indies" are a strong subgroup and if they are---as all surveys indicate---going to Romney by even a few percent, it's going to be a very long election night for the "mmmm mmmm mmm" crowd.

39 posted on 10/30/2012 6:04:29 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: tbw2
If elections are delayed due to Hurricane Sandy, will this help or hurt Obama?

The elections are not going to be delayed. Already the sun is coming out in New England and everybody's headed back to work. NY/NJ were hardest hit but they should be getting back to normal over the next day or so.

40 posted on 10/30/2012 6:05:04 AM PDT by SamAdams76
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-8081 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson