GOP pollster: Romney up in Ohio, closing the gap in Wisconsin (R49, O46 in Ohio)

The Hill ^ | 11/1/2012 | Cameron Joseph

[whitey righty]

Mitt Romney has the lead in Ohio and trails narrowly in Wisconsin, according to a new poll for the Republican group Citizens United.

Romney leads Obama by 49 to 46 percent in Ohio, according to the poll, and trails Obama in Wisconsin by 49 to 47 percent, according to polling first obtained by The Hill.

[Brown Deer]

Video: Clear Eyes, Full Hearts - Ohio

Ohioans are looking for real change. In 2012, the man and the moment have met perfectly. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan will lead in Washington and take back our country. Clear eyes. Full hearts. Ohio can't lose.

[verum ago]

Following the polls is kind of fun. You’re doing it.

It's addictive. There's probably going to be mass crankiness after the election due to poll withdrawals. Some might even resort to getting their poll high from posting reality programming votes, only to get zotted.

[Numbers Guy]

One of the more interesting things about the internals is the self-reported 2008 vote — among this cohort it was 50-45 for Obama (with 5% not having voted in 2008). That is identical to Obama’s 2008 margin in Ohio, 5 points. That’s a good sign that the sample is not skewed one way or another (in fact, I would argue that the self-reported 2008 vote, if truthful, is a very good check on a state poll).

[kingattax]

[ConservativeInPA]

Zero at 46% is really bad. You would expect that he would get at least 47%. LOL. I hope this spills over into MI and WI and we have a very early night on Tuesday.

[DarthVader]

ODamBustula!!

[manc]

obama did nto do AD’s or anything much up in those states but then Romney caught them by surprise in the final couple of weeks and now they are trying to defend these states thus taking time and money from the key battle grounds, .

smart move and if this pays off then they caught the left with their pants down

[ConservativeInPA]

they are trying to defend these states thus taking time and money from the key battle grounds

You got that right. Romney, RNC, NRA, Crossroads, etc. are pouring dollars into previously "safe" states. Obama blew his load before the debates on negative ads. He's broke now and borrowing money from Bank of America. That is so appropriate considering Democrats can't do anything without borrowing money.

[Brown Deer]

Rasmussen Electoral College Breakdown

Romney 285
0bama 243

Safe Romney (167)
AK (3), AL (9), AR (6), GA (16), ID (4), IN (11), KS (6), KY (8), LA (8), MS (6), ND (3), NE (5), OK (7), SC (9), SD (3), TN (11), TX (38), UT (6), WV (5), WY (3)

Likely Romney (21)
Arizona (11): Romney 52%, 0bama 44% (October 25, 2012)
Missouri (10): Romney 54%, 0bama 43% (October 19, 2012)

Leans Romney (18)
Montana (3): Romney 53%, 0bama 45% (October 17, 2012)
North Carolina (15): Romney 52%, 0bama 46% (October 27, 2012)

Toss-up (95) - Romney 79, 0bama 6
Florida (29): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 26, 2012)
Ohio (18): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 29, 2012)
Virginia (13): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 25, 2012)
Colorado (9): Romney 50%, 0bama 47% (November 01, 2012)
Iowa (6): Romney 49%, 0bama 48% (November 01, 2012)
New Hampshire (4): Romney 50%, 0bama 48% (October 24, 2012)
Wisconsin (10): 0bama 49%, Romney 49% (November 01, 2012)
Nevada (6): 0bama 50%, Romney 48% (October 24, 2012)

Leans 0bama (37)
Connecticut (7): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 23, 2012)
Minnesota (10): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 23, 2012)
Pennsylvania (20): 0bama 51%, Romney 46% (October 25, 2012)

Likely 0bama (28)
Michigan (16): 0bama 52%, Romney 45% (October 12, 2012)
New Mexico (5): 0bama 54%, Romney 43% (October 10, 2012)
Oregon (7)

Safe 0bama (172)
CA (55), DC (3), DE (3), HI (4), IL (20), MA (11), MD (10), ME (4), NJ (14), NY (29), RI (4), VT (3), WA (12)

[KansasGirl]

[ Someone in another thread this was posted says this was done by a Republican pollster so it doesn’t mean much ]

First off, welcome to FR!

So we should take Rat media polls seriously instead? I think Romney will win OH, WI, CO, IA, and NH. FL, NC, and VA are in the bag. PA may surprise everyone and go Romney as well.

[Jeff Chandler]

If you placed every pollster end-to-end on the bottom of the ocean.

[Raycpa]

They would get eaten after the lawyers?

[manc]

this culd be a great strategic move if this works.
We got the first debate and took them off step and now we have them on this and Axelrod must be getting his knickers in a twist LOL.

Lets just hope this pays off as we have to win with a good majority to fight off the media bias and voter fraud.

[MSF BU]

CD1 in Maine is not safe for Obama. I don’t know what it is for sure, but it’s certainly not “safe”.

[Canedawg]

‘Those pesky internals!”

I’ve come to believe that a +5 D is accurately reflecting the fraud that will occur, so all things being equal...it is what it is.