Skip to comments.DONíT BLAME SOCIAL ISSUES FOR ROMNEY LOSS
Posted on 11/13/2012 9:29:14 PM PST by neverdem
Republicans post-election loss ritual of scapegoating and finger pointing has begun, and, as is almost always the case, conservatism, and in particular values issues, is getting the bulk of the blame.
Republican elites will soon join liberal commentators in declaring that the party must moderate on social issues or risk consigning itself to permanent minority status. But while the GOP would benefit from a period of reflection and self-examination, and while the party does need to adjust how it communicates with voters on social issues, its core values cannot change.
It would be difficult to argue that November 6th was a good day for those of us who support traditional marriage. The voters of four states voted for same-sex marriage. But that doesnt mean the GOP should abandon its support of normal marriage.
In a national exit poll of 800 voters conducted on my behalf by the polling company, inc./WomanTrend, 8 percent of respondents said that the definition of marriage was their top issue, while another 20 percent called it one of their three top issues.
Interestingly, 44 percent of voters said they would be less likely to support a candidate who supports same-sex marriage (including 32 percent who said they would be much less likely), while 40 percent said theyd be more likely (including 21 percent who said they would be much more likely).
Other exit polls showed voters essentially tied on the question of whether same-sex marriage should be legal. That corresponds with most opinion polls. And remember, 38 states have voted to ban same-sex marriage, most via constitutional amendment, most recently in North Carolina in 2012. The truth is, America is still divided almost evenly on this question.
Then theres abortion. That the issue motivates voters continues to baffle professional pundits. In our poll, when asked how important abortion was to their vote, 13 percent of respondents said it was their top issue, while another 24 percent listed it as one of their top three issues.
The media consensus seems to be that the election was a vindication of the lefts attacks on Republicans so-called war on women. But the election wasnt a repudiation of the pro-life position, but rather a repudiation of conservatives who talk about abortion ineptly.
The view that all human life is sacred wasnt what made headlines during the campaign. It was stupid comments about legitimate rape and offensive references to a young abortion activist as a slut and a prostitute.
The relevant issuesforcing taxpayers to pay for abortions; Obamacares coercion of religious institutions into paying for abortion drugscould have been political winners for Romney and other Republicans, if they hadnt allowed the Democrats to frame any attempt to limit abortion as part of a broader war on women. But Romney chose to let the attacks go unanswered.
In a bit of good news for pro-lifers, a referendum to legalize assisted suicide lost in Massachusetts, and an abortion parental notification law passed overwhelmingly in Montana.
Even on the broader question of values, the conservative position prevailed. A clear majority, 58 percent, of exit poll voters said that the decline of American morality and values was a challenge for future generations. In an ABC exit poll, Romney beat Obama by 13 points among voters who prioritized a candidate who shares my values.
The upshot is that values issues still matter, and that they are a net positive for conservative candidates who can talk about them with precision and compassion.
Historically, Republican candidates win when they embrace conservative positions on social issues. And it could help them with the group of voters everyone believes the GOP needs to attract: Hispanics.
Hispanics make up growing share of the electorate (10 percent this year), and they vote overwhelming and increasingly for Democrats. But they are also more religious and more socially conservative than most Democrats. They should be a natural fit for the Republican Party.
An under-examined reason why Romney and other Republican candidates lost had to do with the three million white evangelical voters who cast a ballot in 2008 but didnt vote this year. In an election decided by fewer than three million votes, they would have been pivotal. And I think its safe to assume they didnt stay home because of Mitt Romney wasnt liberal enough on social issues.
Looking ahead, the Republican Partys strengths are its conservative House and its roster of up and coming conservative party leaders. Rep. Paul Ryan, Sen. Marco Rubio, Gov. Bobby Jindal, Gov. Scott Walker and Gov. Bob McDonnell, to name a few, are all across-the-board conservatives.
America remains a sharply divided nation. Obama received only 50 percent of the vote. Republicans retained control of the House and now control 30 governorships, the most since 2000. The Republican Party doesnt need candidates who will ignore values issues; they need candidates who can present their positions on those issues to voters in a reasonable, compassionate and straightforward way.
Who knows who voted or not? With the massive voter fraud even if Romney got every living evangelical soul the polls, the Democrat Revolutionaries would have manufacture 3 million votes above that total.
I don’t blame social issues, but I will give part, and only part, of the blame to certain candidates who are focused on social issues and who were clearly awful candidates.
There are good people out there who are:
A: correct on all or most of the issues, social included.
B: NOT part of the GOP establishment
C: have an IQ of over 80.
D: have ability, talent, some presence, and can articulate.
Sadly, too many jump on the bandwagon of candidates with only items and A and B. I suggest we also consdier items C and D. Funny, Bauer himself was one of the items A and B only kind of candidates....years ago....
Oh and same to you, you stay at home evangelicals.
Your temper tantrum has cost us the future of the United States of America.
HEY GARY! You are just as clueless as the RINO’s...Let’s talk sophisticated Voter Fraud...d’oh!
If it was matter of turn out, why did Romney win Indiana when Mourdock lost? why did Romney win Missouri when Akin lost especially considering that McCain lost both these states in 2008.
I’m skeptical of this rumor about 3mil evangelicals who supposedly stayed home. Are there any real numbers to back that claim?
Assuming this were actually true, I don’t see why the GOP needs to pander to these single-issue infantile voters next cycle. Considering the consequences at stake in this election, staying home was inexcusable.
But our side sold the “economy only stupid” idea
McCain lost in Indiana, not Missouri, IIRC.
Pander to us? take a hike RINO!!
And I voted for the sorry SOB!!
There you go again. The GOP did not, has not, and will not, pander to evangelicals. Romney stunk as a candidate and the liberals pegged him to the wall. Why is there not one word from the Romney camp about alllllll the vote fraud? How about all those machines calibrated to vote Obama when a Romney vote was cast. The so called Bible belt states voted overwhelmingly for Romney. You have been the one stuck on one single issue.
Massive huh? LOL As that July 2012 video you pinged me with proves?
Freepers.....This is a video well worth the time to watch!
6 posted on Wednesday, November 14, 2012 12:04:54 AM by wintertime
turn out in Ohio Counties at 139% Boston 135%, Philly at 145%?
Prove it to your self.
Considering Bauer doesn't provide a source, I think this qualifies, to use technical terminology, as a "Bald-Faced Lie."
Romney did better than McCain in the "Bible Belt" states.
Hey temper tantrum boy, Evangelicals voted for Romney by
How did your group vote?
You know that Evangelicals voted republican by 79%, something not even approached by any other category, and you know that the people that think like you voted in the almost equal percentage (tinier number of course)for Obama, so why are the Evangelicals the "infantile voters"?
call me old fashioned, but when we lost a football game we should of won, the fans and administration knew exactly who to blame: that would be the team and the coach.
well it seems to me that, romney was the “coach” and his campaign was the team. the score being total votes, romney would have lost to both obama and mccain in the last two presidential elections.
i think that puts the “blame” squarely where it belongs.