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The Republican Party’s uphill path to 270 electoral votes in 2016
Washington Post ^ | 1-18-14 | Dan Balz

Posted on 01/19/2014 9:22:33 AM PST by afraidfortherepublic

A recent conversation with a veteran of GOP presidential campaigns raised this question: Which, if any, of the recent battleground states are likely to become more Republican by 2016? The consensus: very few.

That reality highlights one problem Republicans face as they seek to regain the White House after six years under President Obama. Lots of factors affect elections: the quality of the candidates, the state of the economy, the effectiveness of the campaigns. But in a country whose demographics continue to change, Republicans will begin this campaign with one significant disadvantage.

Over the past three decades, the political leanings of many states have shifted dramatically. What once was a sizable Republican advantage in the electoral college has become a decided Democratic advantage.

One way to look at this is by comparing two overlapping 20-year periods. In the first, 1980 through 2000, Republicans won four of six presidential elections. In the second, 1992 through 2012, Democrats won four of six.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Editorial; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2014election; 2016election; 2016issues; balz; conservatism; cruz2016; demagogicparty; diversity; election2014; election2016; elections; hitlery; hrossperot; illegals; johnanderson; latinovote; memebuilding; paleolibs; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; patbuchanan; ralphnader; randsconcerntrolls; republicans; thirdpartytrolls
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To: Count of Monte Fisto

You know what, I don’t think Cruz will run in 2016.


101 posted on 01/20/2014 7:39:13 PM PST by Theodore R. (TX Republicans can't wait until March 4 to nominate Cornball and George P.!)
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To: afraidfortherepublic; All

I’m thinking that if ObamaCare is still a train wreck in 2016, that might shoot down their analysis. Anybody agree?


102 posted on 01/21/2014 7:51:54 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Count of Monte Fisto; All
The GOP can easily beat Hillary if they run Ted Cruz or Rand Paul or some other real conservative.

Ted Cruz: I'm thinking that the GOP might need to seriously consider someone with a Hispanic surname in 2016.
Rand Paul: I'm sorry, but I'm so pissed at him for endorsing Mitch McConnell..... I'd love to slap him so freakin' hard, his curly hair would straighten.
103 posted on 01/21/2014 7:57:42 AM PST by Din Maker
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To: Din Maker

So what happens if Cruz comes aboard the Cornball “Conservative” Express, as he again claims.?


104 posted on 01/21/2014 2:57:33 PM PST by Theodore R. (TX Republicans can't wait until March 4 to nominate Cornball and George P.!)
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To: Theodore R.

So what happens if Cruz comes aboard the Cornball “Conservative” Express, as he again claims.?
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
If that happens, I’m giving up.


105 posted on 01/22/2014 7:58:27 AM PST by Din Maker
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