Skip to comments.
Louisiana Senate: Cassidy (R) 44%, Landrieu (D) 40%
Rasmussen Reports ^
| January 30, 2014
Posted on 02/01/2014 11:45:09 AM PST by Clintonfatigued
click here to read article
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-33 next last
To: fieldmarshaldj; AuH2ORepublican; Impy; GOPsterinMA; randita; Sun; LdSentinal; ExTexasRedhead; ...
This looks promising. I look forward to other polls confirming these findings.
2
posted on
02/01/2014 11:46:13 AM PST
by
Clintonfatigued
(The War on Drugs is Big Government statism)
To: Clintonfatigued
It’s very promising. Any candidate needs 50% to win outright. I just wish Rob Maness was doing better.
3
posted on
02/01/2014 11:47:19 AM PST
by
Viennacon
To: Clintonfatigued
Margin of Error for this sample is 4.5% (MOE)
To: Clintonfatigued
The same poll also shows state Rep. Paul Hollis is tied 42%-42% with Landrieu at this point, even though 40% don’t know who Hollis is.
5
posted on
02/01/2014 11:51:46 AM PST
by
Plummz
(pro-constitution, anti-corruption)
To: Clintonfatigued
6
posted on
02/01/2014 12:06:33 PM PST
by
deport
To: deport
7
posted on
02/01/2014 12:49:47 PM PST
by
deport
To: Clintonfatigued
I find this very good, in the face of television adverts from a subversive organization named “senatemajoritypac” running nothing but lies about Cassidy, all over USANetwork, and I’m sure others, here in Louisiana.
According to a story by “Daddy” Landrieu, in “The Caucus”, he is still pulling political strings to make sure that ‘the blonde from the chocolate city’ Mary Landrieu gets her re-election, and a certain Mr. Carville is mentioned, as well.
Good ol’ Mary took a $300 million dollar bribe, “for the State of LA, of course”, in treturn for her yes vote on Obamacare.
To: Viennacon
Its very promising. Any candidate needs 50% to win outright. I just wish Rob Maness was doing better.
Worth reading
To summarize, since the late 1980s its been accepted conventional wisdom that an incumbent polling below 50% near election day is going to lose; that they haven't made the case for their reelection and the undecided votes will end up breaking in favor of the challenger.
The article deconstructs this CW quite a bit, with a helping hand from Nate Silver (ok FRiends, contain your groans and jeers, please). Here's what the article says:
Indeed, Silver's earlier data suggests that the "incumbent rule" is viable even earlier in the cycle than today. In April, he compiled a lengthy list of incumbents' polling data from January to June of 2006, 2008 and 2009. These polls showed that a third of incumbents who polled below 50 percent in polls even at this early time in the cycle went on to lose in the fall, while nearly 2/3 of those below 45 percent lost in November. Only one of the incumbents who was above 50 percent lost: George Allen.
So, basically, even by Nate Silver's standards Moon's little girl is in deep, deep doo-doo. The question is whether Dems will try to pull a Torricelli bait/switch and yank her from the ticket at the last minute and replace with someone who might have a better chance. But is there any Dem in LA at this point who would?
To: deport
The Libertarian candidate is a flake. All you need to do to get on the ballot in Louisiana is put up $900. But he’s insisting on doing it the hard way, by gathering x signatures from each CD. He won’t even make the ballot.
10
posted on
02/01/2014 1:05:41 PM PST
by
Plummz
(pro-constitution, anti-corruption)
To: Plummz
The Libertarian candidate is a flake.
***************
I don’t know a thing about him but if helps to take a few votes that keeps Landrieu
nder 50% and into a runoff then that is a positive, imo.
11
posted on
02/01/2014 2:05:31 PM PST
by
deport
To: Clintonfatigued
Boom. Cassidy needs more commercials of Landrieu supporting Obamacare
To: Clintonfatigued
Rasmussens has been horrible for two straight cycles now. I am not feeling good about this one ... for now. Still very early.
To: Clintonfatigued
Jeff Landry needs to get in. Cassidy is an establishment RINO.
To: tanknetter; Viennacon; fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued; randita; Galactic Overlord-In-Chief; ...
The question is whether Dems will try to pull a Torricelli bait/switch and yank her from the ticket at the last minute and replace with someone who might have a better chance. But is there any Dem in LA at this point who would?I would say no, there is not.
15
posted on
02/01/2014 4:58:51 PM PST
by
Impy
(RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
To: Terry L Smith
I find this very good, in the face of television adverts from a subversive organization named senatemajoritypac running nothing but lies about Cassidy, all over USANetwork, and Im sure others, here in Louisiana. senatemajoritypac? A Rovian org?
16
posted on
02/01/2014 5:09:17 PM PST
by
COBOL2Java
(I'm a Christian, pro-life, pro-gun, Reaganite. The GOP hates me. Why should I vote for them?)
To: COBOL2Java
Dear Coboltojava,
Rovian? No way. They make a stink about shutting down the government. They make a stink on cutting food stamps. They put the stink on Republicans, period.
Here is their fishwrap website:
http://www.senatemajority.com/
To: Viennacon
18
posted on
02/01/2014 7:38:22 PM PST
by
murron
(Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
To: Clintonfatigued
“This looks promising. “
It sure does!
19
posted on
02/01/2014 10:50:12 PM PST
by
Sun
(Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
To: Terry L Smith
Thanks! Just wondering. Can’t trust Tokyo Rove.
20
posted on
02/02/2014 5:11:43 AM PST
by
COBOL2Java
(I'm a Christian, pro-life, pro-gun, Reaganite. The GOP hates me. Why should I vote for them?)
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-33 next last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson