Posted on 06/09/2014 6:34:57 AM PDT by Eccl 10:2
The new forecast is for a Republican gain of 5.7 seats. So it’s shifted ever so slightly — by one-tenth of a seat — toward being a toss-up. Still, if asked to place a bet at even odds, we’d take a Republican Senate.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Doesn’t matter. Nothing will get done the next two years anyway.
Naaaah.... This country suffered a mortal head-shot when it allowed the antichrist to occupy the White House. Now we are simply watching prophecy being fulfilled at an unbelievably, uncanny rate. Scripture is now more of a news source than any media outlet on the planet.
Look up people for your redemption draweth nigh.
I agree completely.
GOP-E is using the Romney strategy: coast.
It’s June. They should be firing up the base.
Instead, they’re busy attacking conservatives....also the Romney strategy.
Conclusion: the GOP-E does NOT want to win.
Exactly. Nothing can get done. That’s the point. BHO will still be in there for another two years and still has his veto pen handy.
Obamacare can ONLY be repealed by electing a GOP president, House and Senate dedicated to repealing it. Period.
But you lay the ground for taking back the Senate this year when you have most of the opportunities with so many vulnerable Dems occupying US Senate seats in red states.
“He was in on the Democrats fraud in 2012 - he was only “right” because he knew each and every state they would steal.”
He knows which ones they will steal this time too.
Folks with all the scandals,the IRS especially,targeting Americans because the President did not like the citizen united decision.
Plus all the others and you tell me its a toss up?
Folks forget about it,this should be be an absolute slaughter,the country is finished
That's an important point.
In 2016, I believe the Republicans will be defending more Senate seats, compared to Democrats. I don't know how many of them are vulnerable. More Democrats vote in Presidential elections, skipping the off-year elections. So, the Republicans have to take advantage of this off-year election to win as many seats as possible in both the House and the Senate, so that any losses in 2016 don't undo it all.
This is a historic opportunity, comparable to the 1994 elections. The Republicans have a huge opportunity, and they are blowing it. They should have a unified message, and promoting it, non-stop. I'm not a big fan of Gingrich, but the Contract for America was an inspiration. We need something like that, again.
Maybe they will get their act together after the primary season. But, instead we hear rumblings that the GOPe will be actively marginalizing the conservative Tea Party wing. If that happens, you might as well "Get Ready for Hillary", because the outcome of 2016 election will be inevitable -- for the same reason McCain and Romney lost.
>Still, if asked to place a bet at even odds, we’d take a Republican Senate.<
.
Now we have to keep our fingers crossed and hope that the Stupid Party knows what to do with a Senate majority.
Both are solid blue, I agree.
But both have a history of electing GOP US Senators in the not too distant past.
Also midterm elections are different than presidential elections. In midterm elections, the electorate tends to be significantly smaller, therefore whiter, older, and more conservative than is usually the case in presidential elections.
Further Obamacare is very unpopular in MN and especially in OR where the rollout was an unmitigated disaster.
Just as red states can turn blue, blue states can sometimes turn red.
Arkansas, Kentucky, and West Virginia were staunchly Democrat in the not too distant past.
Oregon, Vermont, and New Hampshire used to be reliably GOP in the not too distant past.
From what I’ve seen Pryor is up and pounding Cotton hard with negative ads.
The National GOP is lining up to slam McDaniel before the runoff, forget about the damage this will do to him in the fall.
And Joni Ernst is, what, a point or two ahead of that sleezeball loudmouth Braley in the latest polls?
Have to hope for the best but at times it seems the Fifty-Two Percenters who look to the gubmint to survive are in the wheelhouse now.
Although Congress as a whole may only have an eight percent approval rating, most voters look more favorably on their personal Congress critter. At the moment the only GOPe pickup I see is in WV, with that gain being offset by a loss in Georgia.
We have the two most corrupt and hated men in the senate, running the senate.
Not much has changed, since January...will it after November, is the question:
Weekly Update: DC’s Most Corrupt
http://www.judicialwatch.org/press-room/weekly-updates/weekly-update-dcs-most-corrupt/
“No shot in MN.
Sadly, I think you are correct. Too many koolaid drinkers here.
The GOP will EASILY pick up the Dem held seat in SD.
If he can steal the election from a popular republican, just think how easy it’s going to be against someone that nobody has heard of.
May not care how Nate Silver thinks, but it’s worthwhile to look at how he behaves.
About a month ago he came out with a prediction that the GOP would take control of the Senate. He was roundly pilloried (beaten and abused, actually) by Democrats; treated like the typical slave who’d managed to step foot off the plantation.
Now suddenly he’s back showing a slight lean to the Dems retaining. That’s no coincidence: he’s back on the plantation, but still giving himself just enough wiggle room to hedge. I’d read this as things being worse for Dems than he’s willing to admit given the likelihood of suffering another beating.
Generally speaking, if history is in guide, the party in power tends to lose a number of seats in midterm elections, this is even more pronounced in the sixth year of a presidency, especially when the POTUS’s favorable ratings are below 50%.
Also keep in mind that the electorate in midterm elections generally speaking is more Republican than is the case in presidential elections.
Don’t count on unseating Begitch (D-AK). He is a bona fide Alaskan and knows which buttons to push to get Alaskans on board.
The presumptive R challenger, Sullivan, is widely viewed as a carpetbagger.
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