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Senate polls show Democrats up in Michigan and Colorado (bland Establishment candidates)
thehill.com ^ | 7/15/14 | Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 07/15/2014 8:08:54 AM PDT by cotton1706

Two new polls hold good news for Democrats in the blue-leaning swing states of Colorado and Michigan, both key to the party’s hopes of protecting their fragile Senate majority.

The NBC/Marist polls released Tuesday show Democratic Sen. Mark Udall (Colo.) and Rep. Gary Peters (D-Mich.) leading their Republican challengers, though their races remain tight. In Colorado, Udall posts his strongest lead in months against Rep. Cory Gardner (R), taking 48 percent support among registered voters to Gardner’s 41 percent support, with 10 percent undecided.

The actual margin of the race is likely somewhat tighter, as nearly every survey has shown a one- or two-point lead for Udall, and this poll tests registered, not likely voters. But the new poll could also be an indication Democratic attacks on Gardner’s support for restrictive abortion and birth-control measures have taken a toll on his standing in the state.

In Michigan, Peters takes 43 percent support among registered voters to Republican Terri Lynn Land’s 37 percent support, while 19 percent remain undecided in the open set contest.

That aligns closely with most recent polls of the race, which have shown Peters holding onto a solid single-digit lead.

The details of the Colorado poll seem to indicate those Democratic attacks on Gardner’s position on women’s issues have indeed been trouble for him.

Udall’s lead is driven by a 12-point advantage with female voters, while he’s about tied with Gardner with male voters.

And the senator is somewhat more popular than his challenger, with 42 percent viewing Udall favorably while 36 percent have an unfavorable view of him, and a fifth of registered voters are unsure. Gardner splits respondents more evenly, with 34 percent holding a favorable view, 32 percent viewing him unfavorably, and a quarter of voters saying they’re still unsure.

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections

1 posted on 07/15/2014 8:08:54 AM PDT by cotton1706
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To: cotton1706

The R’s are milk toast RINOs, but the poll is suspect. It is of Registered voters. It also shows neither incumbent getting over 50% or even 50% of the vote.

We will see what happens in September and November when the idiots start to pay attention.


2 posted on 07/15/2014 8:12:17 AM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: cotton1706
In Michigan, Peters takes 43 percent support among registered voters to Republican Terri Lynn Land’s 37 percent support, while 19 percent remain undecided in the open set contest.

I think those are dismal numbers for an incumbent. But what do I know?

3 posted on 07/15/2014 8:12:53 AM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: CaptainK

He’s not the incumbent. The incumbent, Carl Levin, is retiring.


4 posted on 07/15/2014 8:14:20 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: Jim from C-Town

Yeah, Gary Peters isn’t exactly Mr Excitement and the race has been pretty quiet lately and neither one faces a primary challenger.

Its kind of a holding pattern race right now.


5 posted on 07/15/2014 8:15:31 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin.)
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To: cotton1706

LOL see, what do I know!
Still he’s a Democrat running for a Democratic seat, so I’d expect his numbers to be much higher.


6 posted on 07/15/2014 8:17:14 AM PDT by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: Jim from C-Town
The Rs are milk toast RINOs

Then they'll lose. Look what happened in OH. The economy was dismal, and people wanted a change. They voted in state legislators who vote for the conservative issues a majority want.

Voted for by the state are Senator Portman and Gov Kasich, chosen by RINO ptb to run. The state tried to vote more conservative, and instead got these two. And Boehner from his district. What good is it to have RINOs such as these when they undo as much of the Republican agenda as dems would?

JMHO, Kasich has a chance of losing. All of his compromising and supporting business interests but not conservative issues has him coming across as a nice guy but not having guiding principles, except for throwing money around to people who need it the least.

7 posted on 07/15/2014 8:22:11 AM PDT by grania
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To: CaptainK

“Still he’s a Democrat running for a Democratic seat, so I’d expect his numbers to be much higher.”

That’s true.


8 posted on 07/15/2014 8:23:36 AM PDT by cotton1706 (ThisRepublic.net)
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To: cotton1706

The Dems. will be counting the votes and “finding” enough votes to “win.” The fix is in. The electoral process is useless.


9 posted on 07/15/2014 8:27:42 AM PDT by Wordkraft (Remember who the Collaborators are.)
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To: cotton1706

NBC/Marxist poll


10 posted on 07/15/2014 8:30:57 AM PDT by CMailBag
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To: cotton1706

Registered voter polls, always leaning Dem, and always useless.


11 posted on 07/15/2014 8:31:33 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: cotton1706

That the other side is worrying about these two states speaks to how strong is our position this year. We need to net six seats to take outright control of the Senate. (* indicates open seat)

MT*, SD*, WV* - our candidates have strong leads
AR, LA and NC - toss-up or our candidate has a small lead
AK - uncertain

ALL OF THE ABOVE ARE RED STATES

CO, IA*, MI* - toss-up or their candidate has a small lead
MN, NH, OR, VA - their candidates have strong leads

ALL OF THE ABOVE ARE PURPLE STATES

Our seats that are at risk (both of which are Red States):

GA*, KY

I think the odds are that we pick up 7 to 10 seats. If it is 10 or so, Angus King of ME and/or Joe Mancin of WV may join our caucus.

In addition to expanding our caucus, we want to improve our caucus. We have won a few internal fights this year. Mississippi might still be a possibility. Of the toss-up states, Iowa is particularly important given who are candidate is.


12 posted on 07/15/2014 8:33:31 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
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13 posted on 07/15/2014 8:40:46 AM PDT by DJ MacWoW (The Fed Gov is not one ring to rule them all)
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To: cotton1706

All polls are suspect. There are no polls or ‘official facts’ that have any purpose save to demoralize the electorate and make Democrat dominance appear to be preordained by god.


14 posted on 07/15/2014 9:02:12 AM PDT by x_plus_one
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To: cotton1706

these are outlier polls designed to skew realclearpolitics averages.

They are the push polls.


15 posted on 07/15/2014 9:06:26 AM PDT by longtermmemmory (VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
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To: grania
First and foremost: Josh Mandel is no RINO. He was however perceived as a young guy in a hurry. He also was up against the Brown name which carries a lot of weight in the State of Ohio. Why? I have no idea, but it does.

He also was seen as a kid who job hopper. He went from state congress to the State Treasury and within a year was running for U.S. Senate. He was a little to much of an opportunist running against a dynastic name in a 50/50 state that had big Democrat turnout and the Obama fraud machine working Overtime.

As for Kasich. He will win by a landslide. He will take Ohio 57% (r)- 52% (d) - 1% (Nutter. He holds a 15% lead in a low turn out year against a job hopper from Cuyahoga County who was named Public Official #14 in one of the largest political corruption cases in the history of the country and certainly in the history of Ohio.

Also’ as much as I dislike some of what Kasich has done, including Medicare expansion. He has lowered taxes. Turned a multi-billion$ deficit into an $800 million surplus. added lots of jobs and opened the way for fracking and oil and gas exploration. The state is in a much better way than it was under Strickland and Fitzgerald is a nobody with no message.

16 posted on 07/15/2014 9:29:48 AM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Jim from C-Town
I don't think Kasich is as bad as Portman is, either. The Medicaid thing really frosted me. So does the money he's handed out to museums etc, extra money to the Cleveland schools, to construction projects we could live without.

Towns are struggling. A formula that improved the balance would I'd expect mean less money being thrown away and more money going to those voters who actually support Kasich.

17 posted on 07/15/2014 9:47:46 AM PDT by grania
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To: cotton1706

Marist polls exhibit a Democrat bias.


18 posted on 07/15/2014 9:48:12 AM PDT by amnestynone (A big government conservative is just a corporatist who is not paying enough taxes.)
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To: grania

I;m in Ohio and don’t think Kasich is going to lose in 2014. He is running against a nobody from Cleveland - the guy has no name recognition and his campaign is very low key. most don’t know or won’t know who he is until they go to the polls in November. I could be wrong, though.


19 posted on 07/15/2014 9:49:41 AM PDT by Catsrus (A)
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To: cotton1706

Colorado is a shame. A beautiful state that has slid into the obis of hell called Dimocrat party faithful.


20 posted on 07/15/2014 9:51:12 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (MARANATHA, MARANATHA, Come quickly LORD Jesus!!! Father send thy Son!! Its Time!)
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To: Catsrus

I’m here in NE Ohio and see it from the standpoint of Kasich’s overtures to Cleveland not winning him any new supporters around here. I hope you’re right and that the rest of OH isn’t going to want Cuyahoga County’s chief exec to be governor.


21 posted on 07/15/2014 9:53:53 AM PDT by grania
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To: grania

A Republican will probably never win Cuyahoga County anyway. Nor Franklin or Hamilton counties - Athens county - home of Ohio University is also solid blue - but, most of Ohio counties are red. Fitzgerald (his name?) came to my hometown and only 20-25 people showed up to hear him. Of course, this is a solid red county - but, still - that was a poor showing.


22 posted on 07/15/2014 10:07:10 AM PDT by Catsrus (A)
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To: cotton1706

“The details of the Colorado poll seem to indicate those Democratic attacks on Gardner’s position on women’s issues have indeed been trouble for him.”

I think its interesting how successful democrats are with theses attack ads


23 posted on 07/15/2014 5:09:10 PM PDT by Monorprise
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