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7/17: New Hampshire 2016 Could Be Swing State
Marist College ^ | 7/17/14 | Marist Poll

Posted on 08/03/2014 3:30:16 PM PDT by Plummz

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is in a close contest against potential GOP rival, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul in a 2016 general election matchup in New Hampshire. Clinton has single-digit leads against New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, and Florida Senator Marco Rubio. She has a wider lead over Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker and Texas Senator Ted Cruz. But, only against Cruz is Clinton supported by more than 50% of New Hampshire voters. Clinton does better than each of her potential opponents among independent voters. The gender gap in all of these matchups is wide.

Clinton is well liked by a majority of New Hampshire residents owing to her strong standing among women. Vice President Biden has a higher negative rating than positive score among residents in the state.

New Hampshire residents give mixed reviews to Republicans Marco Rubio, Rand Paul, and Scott Walker. The ratings for Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz are all upside down with more residents viewing them negatively than positively.

The morning line for the first-in-the-nation presidential primary has Hillary Clinton the overwhelming choice of Democrats over Joe Biden. Both Clinton and Biden are popular among most Democrats in the state.

On the Republican side, there is no clear choice among the potential 2016 New Hampshire Primary electorate for their party’s nominee. More than one in five GOP’ers are undecided, and only Rand Paul, Chris Christie, and Jeb Bush have low double-digit support. Each potential GOP contender is viewed more favorably than unfavorably by Republicans in the state. Rand Paul is the most popular among GOP voters.

“New Hampshire always gets a lot of attention because of its status as the first-in-the-nation primary and 2016 will be no exception,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, Director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It may be a frequent stopping off point for the general election, as well.”

Poll Points

-- Democrat Hillary Clinton is in a competitive contest against potential GOP rival Rand Paul, 46% to 43%. She has a narrow lead over Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, and Marco Rubio, 47% to 42%, in each instance. Clinton does better against Scott Walker, 48% to 39%, and Ted Cruz, 51% to 38%. -- Clinton is boosted by her support among independent voters and is backed by the majority of women in each matchup. --Statewide, 53%, of residents have a favorable view of Hillary Clinton including 60% of women. 42% of state residents have an unfavorable opinion of her. Biden is viewed positively by 39% of New Hampshire residents, but 48% have a negative opinion of him. -- Residents in the state divide about how they view several of the potential GOP candidates: Marco Rubio who has a 31% positive rating and a 28% negative score; Rand Paul who receives a favorable rating of 39% and an unfavorable score of 38%; and Scott Walker, with whom voters are least familiar, is liked by 24% of residents and disliked by 23%. -- Chris Christie, Jeb Bush, and Ted Cruz all have ratings that are upside down.

Dems: Clinton Strong Frontrunner

-- Hillary Clinton outpaces Joe Biden 74% to 18% among the potential New Hampshire Democratic Primary electorate for 2016. -- Most Democrats in the state, 94%, have a positive opinion of Clinton. Just 4% view her negatively. Joe Biden is also liked by most New Hampshire Democrats. 79% have a favorable view of him, and 14% have an unfavorable opinion of him.

GOP: No Pace Horse

-- 22% of the potential New Hampshire Republican Primary electorate are undecided in their preference for a 2016 GOP presidential nominee. Paul at 14%, Christie at 13%, and Bush at 10% are the only potential candidates who have double-digit support. -- The contest is no clearer when the potential Republican electorate is asked for a second choice. Rubio is the backup pick of 16%, Bush garners 13%, Christie and Paul each attract 12%, and Ryan is the second choice of 10%. -- 71% of state Republicans have a positive opinion of Rand Paul and only 15% have a negative impression of him. Although each of the potential GOP candidates are more popular than unpopular among New Hampshire Republicans, Paul has the highest favorability rating. A majority of state Republicans like Bush, 65%, Rubio, 58%, and Christie, 52%. 50% have a positive view of Cruz and Walker.


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: gop2016; hillary; newhampshire; paultardation; paultards; randpaul; randsconcerntrolls; retreadzot; romneyagenda; romneycare; romneycare4ever; romneymarriage
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To: Diogenesis

“....Are you a RAT supporter?...”

He’s a ZOTTED Rat supporter.


61 posted on 08/04/2014 12:09:07 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: Don Corleone

I was saying that for a while.

After she lost in 2008 I was saying by 2016 she’d look like Maddy Albright and who’d want to see that all the time?

Now she spends all her time raising money for the Clinton Family trust fund. Meaning she ain’t running.


62 posted on 08/04/2014 12:12:39 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: First Authority

bump


63 posted on 08/04/2014 12:13:21 PM PDT by GeronL (Vote for Conservatives not for Republicans)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Impy; AuH2ORepublican

“...Good to see he got the ZOT ...”

Like I said in my post to him - courtesy, even when disagreeing, goes a LONG way towards longevity hereabouts.

He’ll be back with a different screen name in a few days. I get the impression he was a DU troll or one of the other sites that trolls us daily. They’ve got nothing better to do.


64 posted on 08/04/2014 12:13:56 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Elsie

Well, in Elsie’s defense (she’s one of our premier knights in fighting the Willardbot scourge, why I invited her to the thread), she & I are fed up with these folks coming in here justifying voting for ever-worsening garbage that the party establishment foists down our throats. The lesser of two evils is still evil and not getting us anywhere.

As for McCain, it was pretty clear he didn’t want to win, he behaved like a ringer, so he went a long way in giving the country Zero (not much different than Willard). I think McCain would’ve been disastrous as President, and we would’ve suffered enormous losses in the following elections... and last but not least, he would never have allowed Palin to succeed him as President. He would’ve done everything in his power to sabotage her, just as Willard was doing covertly.

Until we ultimately arrest power from this corrupt establishment, which seems to be little to no better than the IL Combine at a national level, we’re never going to be able to resolve the immense problems facing us and take our nation back. We need the good guys, not lessers of evil.


65 posted on 08/04/2014 12:25:09 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: NFHale

I noticed his responses were so typical of past trolls to me. Anytime they freak out when you dare ping other people who might be interested in the discussion, you know something is wrong. They act like it’s some private convo where they alone are free to behave like an imbecile, lying, attacking, etc.

One hard rule we should have around here is as soon as Cruz birtherisms are brought up (in the form of a talking point, especially), that gets an instant ZOT. I have to say he did seem familiar to me. It’s possible I spoke to him awhile back on the same subject, but there were some others whose responses to me were virtually identical.

I still can’t believe he was stupid enough to casually toss out a racial slur as if it was “cool” to do. Just imagine what this troglodyte would’ve said if I had brought up Dr. Ben Carson.


66 posted on 08/04/2014 12:31:42 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

“...I have to say he did seem familiar to me. It’s possible I spoke to him awhile back on the same subject, but there were some others whose responses to me were virtually identical....”

He’ll be back. He was predictable. I was polite, as usual, but I was expecting him to escalate. They’re out in force lately, because they know their side is going to it’s clocks cleaned in November and they’re going into panic mode.

Glad I could be of some help, and never hesitate to ping me.

As far as a “racial slur” goes.. ehh. Words only have the power one lets them have. We all know that the other side uses slurs as a weapon. When you acknowledge it, you give them the upper hand, and let it distract you from the original issue.

Eff ‘em.


67 posted on 08/04/2014 12:42:28 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: First Authority

No, dj is a mental giant!


68 posted on 08/04/2014 12:50:22 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: who knows what evil?

Red Hampshire seems to get worse ever year.


69 posted on 08/04/2014 12:52:28 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: Theodore R.

The conservatives are moving south and west. They are being replaced by liberals from New York, Massachusetts and Connecticut.


70 posted on 08/04/2014 12:56:37 PM PDT by who knows what evil? (Yehovah saved more animals than people on the ark...www.siameserescue.org.)
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To: NFHale

Sure thing. I should assemble a ping list to hit when the more ornery trolls start to rock and roll... ;-D


71 posted on 08/04/2014 12:58:04 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Theodore R.

He got a ride on the ZOT Express (especially after his racist slur against Sen. Cruz).


72 posted on 08/04/2014 12:58:57 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: NFHale; sickoflibs

” Right now, both parties are the “Good Ol’ Boy club”. That’s why BOTH of them hate the Tea Party mentality - it’s messing with the status quo.”

Y U P


73 posted on 08/04/2014 1:36:33 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The only people in the world who fear Obama are American citizens. KILL THE BILL!)
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To: First Authority; fieldmarshaldj; Dr. Sivana; RitaOK; Finny; Windflier; cripplecreek; ...
I am a proud member of that posse and prefer to be pinged by fieldmarshaldj whenever he chooses to ping me and particularly about that sorry pro-abortion, pro-perversion, gun grabbing, tax hiking POS one-term governor of Taxachusetts, Willard. Willard is every bit the libtard that his daddy and mommy were before him. The mystery is why ANY Romney EVER sullied the GOP by claiming to belong.

I am pinging part of my posse too or my FRiends as they may prefer. They may agree or disagree but I think they will be interested.

FMDJ has a distinguished track record here. I don't remember EVER hearing of you previously. Just as well given your tolerance of or even eagerness for Mittens.

Finally, neither I nor any conservative OWE our vote to the corrupt ruling class GOPE or Demonrats in Republican drag. If the GOP wants my vote and that of an increasing number of FED UP conservatives, it will have to earn those votes the old-fashioned way by nominating candidates worth voting for. We also don't owe our votes to your preferred quislings. And, no, it absolutely does NOT matter who the Demonrats nominate. Only deserving candidates get conservative votes. Wanna keep on losing? Keep on nominating a POS for POTUS like Romney, McCain, Dole, Bush the Elder, etc.

74 posted on 08/04/2014 2:22:56 PM PDT by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society: Rack 'em Danno!)
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To: BlackElk

Thank you. Apparently management saw F.A.’s trolling posts and the deleted one with his racist slur against Sen. Cruz and decided to run him out on a rail.


75 posted on 08/04/2014 2:31:33 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: stephenjohnbanker; sickoflibs

SJB!!!!!!!!!! Welcome back brother!!!


76 posted on 08/04/2014 2:36:25 PM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
I still can’t believe he was stupid enough to casually toss out a racial slur as if it was “cool” to do. Just imagine what this troglodyte would’ve said if I had brought up Dr. Ben Carson.

Reminds me of an exchange with the most underrated talker in NY city talk radio history, Dave Dawson.

A pro-abort caller was trying to make Dave Dawson (who had been libertarian pro-abort earlier in life until swinging hard pro-life) to make an exception. Unlike Bob Grant, Mark Levin and other NY talkers (except Barry Farber) Dawson, never raises his voice or get s heated:

Caller: What if the Doctor sayd your wife will die if she doesn't get an abortion?!

Dawson: (in monotone) I'd get another doctor.

Caller: You #$%$%$ half-breed! (Dawson was half American Indian)

Dawson: (calmly hanging up on caller for out of bounds remark) Now we know what he was all about.

Dawson was never appreciated in NYC, like he was in Missouri, but he was a great morning man, worthy of being on before Rush's 10AM NY show and Bob Grant's afternoon drive time on WABC-AM.
77 posted on 08/04/2014 2:36:46 PM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("If you're litigating against nuns, you've probably done something wrong."-Ted Cruz)
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To: NFHale

Thanks NF Hale.

I have been ill, but on the rebound. Needed to check in on my favorite (Partners in Intelligence : )


78 posted on 08/04/2014 2:41:51 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker (The only people in the world who fear Obama are American citizens. KILL THE BILL!)
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To: fieldmarshaldj; Elsie; AuH2ORepublican

DJ: You and Elsie are right and, regrettably, Father Pavone is flat out wrong. John Cardinal O’Connor was a fine and saintly man but he often softened his pro-life advocacy in a failed attempt to persuade Daniel Patrick Moynihan on that issue. Cardinal O’Connor persuaded a very conservative Knights of Columbus Supreme Council not to expel such as Congressman Roybal of California, and the likes of Ted Kennedy. The Cardinal was a fine man as is Father Pavone but they are flat out impractical in their political advice.


79 posted on 08/04/2014 2:46:03 PM PDT by BlackElk (Dean of Discipline, Tomas de Torquemada Gentlemen's Society: Rack 'em Danno!)
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To: Dr. Sivana

Well handled. Left-wingers are just about the most racist people around, and it doesn’t take much to set them off.

I almost never listen to talk radio anymore. With all the newsfeeds these days, there’s not much reason to have it distilled via talking heads or radio hosts when you can be on it almost at once dissecting it (unless you really want a particular person’s take).

One person whom I wish had his own show is Pat Cadell, who is one of the most intelligent folks out there.


80 posted on 08/04/2014 2:48:43 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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