Cruz could win ugly (Saturbray)

www.braylog.com ^ | 3/28/15 | bray

[bray]

Yes, we call it Fraud by Mail, but it is a two edged sword. It gives us more opportunity to get our voters out.

[SoConPubbie]

They were the product of a WWII generation that is no longer with us. And gone is that generation’s work ethic, moral values and common sense.

The GOP will never see a map like that again. Best we can hope for is to regain CO, OH, FL and NC.

And what empirical evidence backs that up?

Let me throw some anecdotal evidence at you:

1. This country is now solidly Pro-Life, during Reagan's time, it was not
2. Somewhere around 50% of the electorate does not vote in Presidential election.

A large portion of the 50% is conservatives and independents that hate the wishy-washiness of the GOP.

Yea, the Reagan WWII generation is dying off, but there is more than enough Korea, Vietnam, Iraq era conservatives that have come along after them to make up the difference.

Quit with the Negative Waves Moriarty!

[Enterprise]

Just win baby!

I have a small hope that Cruz might be the ambush candidate regarding the "hispanic" vote. Hispanics just might vote in numbers far stronger for Cruz than the Democrats are expecting.

[marktwain]

“Why run a weak liberal Republican when those who are middle of the road will vote for the Democrat every time.”

I do not think you are correct about the “middle of the road” vote.

But why would they vote for a weak liberal Republican when they can get a full strength liberal backed by the media?

Give them a real choice with a rock solid, articulate conservative, and lots will vote for the Conservative.

[bray]

You also need to point out that 58% of this country is still against abortion under any circumstances. This is a huge untapped resource that always gets painted the other direction.

People would vote pro-life if they had the opportunity. Even the pro-abortion people understand the moral stand.

[marktwain]

“You also need to point out that 58% of this country is still against abortion under any circumstances. This is a huge untapped resource that always gets painted the other direction.”

Yes, and there are untapped supermajorities who are against amnesty and support a controlled border.

Another supermajority wants Obamacare repealed.

Another supermajority wants a sane tax code.

Another supermajority wants national reciprocity on CCW and supports the second amendment.

Cruz can hit homeruns with all of these.

The elites have been governing against the will of the people on all of these issues.

[txhurl]

We also need 20% or more of our side to lie to pollsters.

[SkiKnee]

I'm proud to state, here and now, that I've just made a very small donation to the Cruz campaign. This is the first time I've done that since my Libertarian activist days, over 20 years ago. I sincerely wish I could have made a larger contribution, but I am a man of modest means.

I intend to make more.

Cruz! For the Republic!!!

[American Constitutionalist]

Yes, that’s the message I was trying to say, you said it more eloquently.

[bray]

Remember the story of the widow’s mite?

[stephenjohnbanker]

Cruz

Control

[marron]

When you have no principles or moral values how can you ask anyone to follow you.

That will be GOP's epitaph.

For me, its Cruz. I will accept no substitutes.

[Caipirabob]

"Most right wing" would put Ted Cruz squarely in the center.

[marktwain]

You and me both, brother. I was a Libertarian activist for 30 years. Then I realized how the Libertarians were most often providing the margin of victory for “Progressives”, candidates that were always much more statist than the Republican that was defeated. I never saw it go the other way. We *always* got a more statist candidate elected when the Libertarians were a significant factor.

The excuse that the Libertarians “pull votes” from both parties simply does not stand up to the empirical evidence. The Libertarians have simply become a spoiler vote to get “Progressives” elected where they otherwise would not be.

The last case that I recall is in Montana, where Governor Bullock (D) was elected with a 1.5% margin. The Libertarian candidate took nearly 4% of the vote.

I think it happened last time in Virginia as well, but I do not have the numbers handy.

[cookcounty]

You are correct. I still think that when one candidate does not reach 50% +1, there should be a runoff between the top two. That would help the Libertarians to grow their party without damaging the chances of the next-most-libertarian GOP candidates in the near term. It’s one area where I actually think the French know what they are doing, they do all their elections this way.

But then, sadly, Libertarians are not good at long-term strategizing.

[Salvation]

**When it comes to elections the only thing that matters is making sure your people come out to vote and keeping as many of their ballots out of the garbage as possible.**

Amen.

[bray]

There is a large percentage of Mexicans who are offended by amnesty. They had to do it the hard way and are not ready to share with some freeloaders.

[nascarnation]

Here’s the difference.

California 1970 Reagan +8
California 2014 Moonbeam +20

It’s a whole new America.

[duffee]

“I liked it lot better when we were BLUE and the Commie-Dems were RED.

democrats and media didn’t like the jokes about how it was appropriate that Republicans were “True Blue” and democrats were “RED”.

[txhurl]

I think Cruz is going to pull way more than 40% of the latino vote, more like 50-60%.