Posted on 03/02/2016 7:59:19 AM PST by over3Owithabrain
Raw vote totals from ALL states thus far, Trump/Cruz/Rubio, from RCP:
Trump - 3,357,976 33.5% Cruz - 2,759,045. 27.6% Rubio - 2,129,410. 21.3%
Now, if you take out Texas (no offense just making a point):
Trump - 2,600,845. 36.0% Cruz - 1,520,503. 21.1% Rubio - 1,627,566. 22.6%
Without Texas, Cruz home field, the overall numbers show a big Trump lead nationally which lines up with most national polls, and Cruz in 3rd. Even with Texas, Trump still has a 600,000 6% lead nationally but Cruz bumps Rubio for second.
For your consideration.
Conclusion- Rubio needs to get out...
Interesting, can you post the Dem raw vote numbers as well?
It’s okay. If Cruz gets the nomination, he’ll somehow draw out a mythically huge conservative base to vote for him.
And then when that doesn’t happen, they’ll piously declare that America itself is to blame for the outcome, and that ‘we’ got what we deserved (Hillary).
Conclusion - Neither Cruz nor Rubio will get out and Trump will remain on course for the nomination.
Ted Cruz needs to concentrate now on Rubio’s defeat if he wants any chance of sustaining his run.
The folks in Texas know Cruz better than the folks in the rest of the country. The folks in Oklahoma know him second best. Trump had said that if you know Cruz you won’t like him. The folks who know him most, like him most.
National polls basically put Trump around 40 and Cruz/Rubio in the high teens or low 20s. Obviously, with only 15 states voting thus far, the national percentages won’t line up. But thus far we see Trump performing a little lower than polling and Cruz a few points higher. Rubio around the same.
Texas has been the biggest state in voting numbers by far with 20 percent of the entire vote thus far. So Cruz has an advantage there but overall Trump is performing well albeit not as dominant as 40% or above.
That’s how I read it.
And yet a majority of Texans stated yesterday that they don’t like him....
NY Times has very detailed coverage - down to the towns.
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results
Ha I’ll do the Dems later. Don’t care as much and no time haha. It’s on RCP and easier to conclude with only 2 candidates.
I’m sorry, but he can’t break 50%+1 in his own state?
Seems to me that’s a pretty clear message.
“Now, if you take out Texas”
I understand you are trying to promote Trump here. But Texas is the largest and most important Republican state in the country. Why are you even attempting to downplay that and prop up all the other votes in the other states? You could have just left it as you originally put it and moved on.
In uber-liberal Massachusetts, 18,000 Democrats switched parties to vote for Trump. Dems, Ind, people who never voted before came out to vote for Trum.
....... our country is made up of “We, the people” not “We, the party”.....
Trump/s Super Tuesday wins surpassed voter turnouts obtained by newcomer Obama. Obama was lauded by his party; Trump gets shot down by his party.
Gopeers oughta consider....what the Trump voters might do, if they make one false move against Trump....Not to mention what Trump might do.
Once you add in more states that favor Trump, the national poll numbers will more closely match the actual vote %. The SEC (plus SC) was supposed to be Cruz territory yet Trump still leads by ~600,000 actual votes.
With the crowded field Mr. Trump has a ceiling of 35%-40%.
No need to get defensive. I said I was making a point and it was a valid one. I also concluded Cruz is outperforming polls in general.
If Florida and New York voted we could extrapolate how Rubio/Trump would do in their favored state relative to the national polls.
Settle down no one is really taking away the Texas vote!
And if my grandmother had balls I’d have a gay couple for grandparents . . .
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