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White House Watch: Still A Close One
rasmussenreports.com ^ | Friday, October 21, 2016

Posted on 10/21/2016 5:45:11 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach

Early results from their final debate are in, and Donald Trump remains barely ahead of Hillary Clinton in the White House Watch.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with a 43% to 41% lead over his Democratic rival. Five percent (5%) favor Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein earns three percent (3%) support. Another three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Yesterday, Trump was ahead by three. The lead has been shifting back and forth since late last week. 

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: hillary; polling; polls; rasmussen; trump
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1 posted on 10/21/2016 5:45:11 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

It is ‘close’ in their wishful minds. I’m pretty sure it’s not close at all. That is why they are relegated in these final days to criminalizing trivial horsh!t pledges and nonsense like “abide by election results” and “he said the word ‘pussy’.”


2 posted on 10/21/2016 5:51:27 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Gaffer

What the media are realizing is saying Hillary is up 10 points just brings out more Trump voters. You can’t keep hiding that.


3 posted on 10/21/2016 6:03:21 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Election 2016 - Freedom or Slavery)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

We all know that Trump support is under-reported (Shy Tory Effect). More than two weeks to go, if he has any lead at all, and it holds or improves — he’s in. MAGA!


4 posted on 10/21/2016 6:04:27 AM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

“They” said that 1988 was going to be a close one too.

The Pravda Media shills won’t ever release the real numbers.


5 posted on 10/21/2016 6:04:48 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (A rigged debate is a rigged election. More was made of the "Twenty-One" gameshow scandal.)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

A guest commentator on “CBS THIS MORNING” called the race for Hillary and said they probably will run up the elecotal college to sieze the senate. He said Trump is performing hare cari (sp?) and that he’s positioning himself for a post election loss role.

Which is nice, because Hillary is sooo far ahead, most of her voters can stay home.


6 posted on 10/21/2016 6:06:27 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: EQAndyBuzz

10 points because they ‘diddle’ with the poll weighting according to archaic standards from the time before we all became enlightened. For them it is all about the short headline. The specifics of how they arrived at it is horsesh!t.


7 posted on 10/21/2016 6:08:40 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: 1Old Pro

To every Hillary supporter, “We have this in the bag. You can STAY HOME on November 8.”


8 posted on 10/21/2016 6:10:07 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Gaffer

No just tell them: “Remember Republicans vote on Tuesday, Democrats vote on Wednesday”.


9 posted on 10/21/2016 6:22:36 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

I’d tell them all they had to do was use their EBT cards for Christmas and they have already voted for Hillary.


10 posted on 10/21/2016 6:24:13 AM PDT by Gaffer
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

When Trump leads by 2, he’s “barely ahead,” but when Hillary is up by 2, she’s “pulling away.” Got it.


11 posted on 10/21/2016 6:33:32 AM PDT by Prince of Space (Be Breitbart, baby. LIFB.)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

The aggregate totals given here are less important than the totals for the states associated with electoral votes which we’re not seeing.


12 posted on 10/21/2016 7:09:23 AM PDT by cymbeline
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

This election is tight RIGHT NOW according to the tracking polls (not media flash polls). A lot of votes are still swayable. GOTV.


13 posted on 10/21/2016 7:33:10 AM PDT by Thickman (Obama - Professor of the United States)
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To: Gaffer
LOL!

I like that one!

14 posted on 10/21/2016 8:07:41 AM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

NBC Crew Crooked Hillary’s MASSIVE MELTDOWN at Commander in Chief Forum

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7lCm81NMGLc


15 posted on 10/21/2016 8:12:49 AM PDT by KeyLargo
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To: Genoa
We all know that Trump support is under-reported (Shy Tory Effect). More than two weeks to go, if he has any lead at all, and it holds or improves — he’s in. MAGA!

Bloody hell, its called the "Bradley Effect" by us yanks. Well its also called the Wilder effect, or yeah the Shy Tory Factor, or maybe we can call it the Brexit effect now. Looking up names for it I saw a lot of articles by leftwing gits whinging about there being no such thing though....that the Bradley election turned for another reason and they then argued about how it did not happen in the case of Obama (while ignoring that it has happened enough times to be called by different names). Perhaps when Trump wins they will maintain it was do to his greater enthusiasm or the wikileak factor, or the Veritas hit, or the reality-star effect, or who knows what else.

16 posted on 10/21/2016 10:45:41 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear
Bloody hell, its called the "Bradley Effect" by us yanks. Well its also called the Wilder effect, or yeah the Shy Tory Factor, or maybe we can call it the Brexit effect now.

Shy Tory is related to Bradley/Wilder, where the respondents say they will vote for the cool candidate, but don't. You might say it's the flip side. Both are at work this time, actually. It's cool to say I'll vote for the woman, and not cool to say I'll vote for the caveman.
17 posted on 10/21/2016 11:16:36 AM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

If Hillary were two points ahead, their headline would be “Post-debate, Trump behind; Madame Secretary bounces to lead”


18 posted on 10/21/2016 11:50:07 AM PDT by Albion Wilde (We will be one People, under one God, saluting one American flag. --Donald Trump (standing ovation)
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To: EQAndyBuzz

Hillary was never up 10.. its ludicrous on its face...

Look at the undecideds and or refused to answers... When Trump goes down in the polls I have seen, Hillary isn’t gaining his votes, they are just moving over to did not respond or undecided... Hillary isn’t gaining any ground, she’s just functionally looking stronger because Trump voters are refusing to answer, or claiming to be undecided... Come election day I expect these to break Trump solid. In this poll the undecideds are 5%... does anyone think they are going to go Hillary? No,... they will mostly go to Trump..

ANy poll showing Hillary up 10 is just laughable on its face.

She can’t get over 42/43% the only way she gets higher than that is if folk in large numbers stay home, and I just don’t see that happening.


19 posted on 10/21/2016 12:49:31 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Genoa

Seems like the “You’re not gonna vote for Trump are you?” Bullying is all over the place...writing off this effect is wishful thinking by the left...or maybe it’s because they are oblivuous...but then the two causes seem closely linked.


20 posted on 10/21/2016 1:31:17 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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