Snuffy rules!
Posted on 11/04/2018 10:58:21 AM PST by SeekAndFind
President Donald Trump's late campaign blitz targeting immigrants has rallied the Republican base of white working-class voters, helping to curb the Democratic advantage heading into Tuesday's midterm elections for Congress.
The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That's down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.
That slightly narrowing reflects rising interest in the election from the foundation of Trump's support: White men, especially older, less educated, less affluent ones in small towns and rural areas. Most noteworthy for a mid-term election, the 2018 campaign has seized the attention of voters at presidential-campaign levels — and Trump has helped Republicans wipe out the advantage Democrats held earlier in the campaign.
"There has been some method to his madness," said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducts the NBC/WSJ survey with his Democratic counterpart Peter Hart. "The base is coming home."
The results presage the possibility of a split verdict on Tuesday. With many battleground House races taking place in more affluent suburbs, the unusual Trump-era advantage Democrats continue to maintain among college-educated whites — especially women — represent a strong sign for their prospects of gaining or exceeding the 23-seat gain they need to recapture the majority.
But in the less-populated, more conservative states that will decide control of the Senate, the late campaign trend brightens Republican prospects. Needing a two-seat gain to recapture a majority, Democrats must defend incumbents in states such as Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota where the Trump base looms larger.
"Republicans have clearly made progress," McInturff said. One key indicator: the Democratic edge among independent voters has dipped to nine percentage points from 14 percent last month, reflecting fresh uncertainty among less-affluent white men.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...
What madness? What the hell does that mean?
Most Conservatives will not participate in any polls associated with left wing organizations. Many know that Rasmussen is a neutral organization and are willing to participate in their polls. I think that this helps explain the discrepancy. Rasmussen currently shows President Trump with a 51% approval rating.
So, all of the illegals in Calif. are going to vote ‘Rat?
At this point in the campaigns a nationwide poll is pretty meaningless.
A national poll is silly at this point
They need to get their crying towels ready.
He speaks plain. People can understand Trump.
The media pretends not to hear it.
For those that haven't noticed, this is one of the media's main themes in these closing days. "White, old, poor, dumb, bumpkin".
It's also a psychological technique designed to peel off any last minute, undecided, voters who do not identify with these traits.
Get out and vote! Please!
The election night meltdowns will be delicious.
Turns out that the Republicans won 240 seats and the Democrats won just 192.
I am a white male voter from a small town. Note the patronizing contempt...
I have heard it all my life.
I know these polls are legitimate. After all, president Hillary Clinton said so during her last White House press conference.
Democrats are supposedly up 7+.
Then why has the early vote been heavily R+?
Snuffy rules!
The daze of creating the bandwagon everyone is supposed to hop on as part of some self-fulfilling prophecy psych is long gone. There is this thing called the internet where information is now in the wild and cannot be controlled by the heavily partisan MSM outlets (fake news).
What? . . .
Readership and ad rates must be down. They had to fire the copy editor.
This time America will really reject Trump! Sounds like a liberal wet fantasy.
You are finding Nate Silver, who predicted 86% chance of Dems taking the House, now saying “80 percent, but it could go either way”. These “pundits” have to protect their reputations and in some cases, their newsletter subscription sales. Even as biased as this poll is, it appears to point us to the following in the Senate: R Gains of North Dakota, Missouri, West Virginia, Florida and Montana; possibles in Ohio and Michigan. One endangered R seat in Nevada for a net gain of six or seven Senate seats.
“The election-eve NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows Democrats leading by seven percentage points, 50 percent to 43 percent, among likely voters. That’s down from a nine-percentage point lead last month.”
Any time I see groups like NBC or the WSJ attached to a poll, I cringe. Neither one of these two have told the truth in 50 years. And you’ll notice they said “likely” voters. That means they didn’t actually contact anyone and get a definitive determination they were going to vote. No contact, no poll. Trump and the attack on Kavanaugh has energized many to vote. And not pro liberal. This has all the makings of a made up story, i.e., a lie. And coming from NBC in particular, I’m not real surprised.
rwood
Poorly educated and easy to command. Oh and they’re less affluent country bumpkins.
Got it.
Because the NBC-WSJ polls are fake, as I documented by showing their 2016 poll.
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