That Vegas Oddsmaker is probably somebody who got regular pay-offs from Harry Reid.
Red Storm Rising!..........................
Amen to that.
When you factor #Walkaway, BLEXIT, and low EV dem numbers, a resulting aggregate 3-6% reduction in dem votes could be the difference in winning or loosing in MANY races tomorrow.
So be it!
“Meanwhile I was opening speaker for President Trump’s event in Las Vegas last month- with 10,000 waiting in line for hours in a place where no one cares much about politics. This is a phenomenon.
Does that sound like the GOP is losing 40 seats? Dream on delusional Democrats. “
Lol, finally someone talking some sense.
Pubbies win bigtime.
Should be a hoot watching CNN tomorrow night!
JOBS NOT MOBS!
But the democrats already have all of the votes they need, printed signed delivered to the precincts of their choice.
Ignore good or bad predictions, just be sure to get out and VOTE!!!
From his mouth to God’s ears
If the polls fail again then they will be totally discredited. Which would be great!
Oddsmakers don’t make predictions. They spread the betting to make sure they always win.
Still not enough.
Watch for fraud on an epic level, more people voting for the (D) than even live in some districts.
And nary a peep from the never-Trumpers in protest.
The media will have egg on it's face tomorrow...
Bloomberg { link only on FR} article on a gambler who went to England to lay a large bet on the Rs keeping the House:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-05/midterm-elections-why-one-punter-thinks-democrats-will-lose
Interesting summary of polling problems.
I know it upsets people to go contrary, but here goes.
I attended a huge, swarming, wildly enthusiastic rally for Bush Sr. After which he lost the state and reelection. Crowds aren’t everything.
The problem with the House is the vulnerable seats are mostly in states where our state wide candidates are not expected to win, like PA & NJ.
If Trump can’t bring Senate candidates in those states to victory, no real reason to believe he is winning moderate House districts.
I certainly hope we add many Senate seats and handily hold the House. But we are preaching to the choir here, and outside the gate many are singing a different tune.
My humble analysis is, the Trump vote will turn out he’s energized his base. But maybe this time the Democrat base is energized as well (Hillary was a dud). So that spells a tossup with some reverses from 2016.
Senate +3
House -15 to 30.
I’m putting the finishing touches on my new election prediction software, and will be plugging data into it over the next couple days. I expect the answers to pop out in a few days.... and it will be the best prediction software ever!
I like his sense of logic, and believe he is quite correct in his analysis. dates. I personally felt in 2016 exactly what he says about the crowds the candidates attract.
The dems are the ones responsible for making polling worthless in their shaming efforts or outright violence towards anyone conservatives and their candidates.
We’ll see come Wednesday.
My predictions for overall results tomorrow follows the “World Series theory”. This year, it was the RED Sox over Dodger BLUE in a hard-fought but decisive victory.
Yeah, I know both team represent deep blue areas of the country, but that’s irrelevant, IMHO.