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Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-
19 mortality and healthcare (UK)
Imperial College Response Team COVID19 ^
| 03/16/2020
| Staff
Posted on 03/16/2020 4:05:45 PM PDT by winoneforthegipper
click here to read article
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UK modelling discussion for Britain and the USA. Very sobering information.
2
posted on
03/16/2020 4:07:06 PM PDT
by
Jane Long
(Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.cuase)
To: winoneforthegipper
Pages 6 and 7 of the report are a hoot.
So is comparing the US healthcare system with the NHS.
3
posted on
03/16/2020 4:11:48 PM PDT
by
mewzilla
(Break out the mustard seeds.)
To: winoneforthegipper
4
posted on
03/16/2020 4:14:37 PM PDT
by
SanchoP
(DC is the deep state.)
To: SanchoP
5
posted on
03/16/2020 4:18:05 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: winoneforthegipper
“1918 H1N1 influenza pandemic”
The Spanish Flu. For God’s sake, enough with the political correctness. It was the Spanish Flu Epidemic. Period.
6
posted on
03/16/2020 4:18:54 PM PDT
by
cdcdawg
(Cornpop was a pony soldier!)
To: winoneforthegipper
The major challenge of suppression is that this type of intensive intervention package or something equivalently effective at reducing transmission will need to be maintained until a vaccine becomes available (potentially 18 months or more) given that we predict that transmission will quickly rebound if interventions are relaxed. I dont think a modern economy can survive 18 months of the kind of Social Distancing that is being forced upon us today.
7
posted on
03/16/2020 4:20:47 PM PDT
by
Pontiac
(The welfare state must fail because it is contrary to human nature and diminishes the human spirit)
To: Pontiac
It can’t. And you better believe plenty of people are overjoyed at the prospect.
8
posted on
03/16/2020 4:22:29 PM PDT
by
lastchance
(Credo.)
To: lastchance
we need herd immunity....I realize it will make people like me sick, maybe die, but I can’t in good conscience have this world deteriorate anymore for my children or grandchildren...
9
posted on
03/16/2020 4:28:33 PM PDT
by
cherry
To: SanchoP
And theres no shark in the bay, everyone go swimming. /s
10
posted on
03/16/2020 4:28:36 PM PDT
by
noiseman
(The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is for good men to do nothing.`)
To: mewzilla
Uk was banking on “Herd Immunity”. A concept supported by previous models from the response team.
What this paper truly addresses is their apology to their country.
11
posted on
03/16/2020 4:28:49 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: cherry
12
posted on
03/16/2020 4:30:06 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: Pontiac
Yeah. Hopefully a mitigation remedy and a vaccine are quickly realized.
13
posted on
03/16/2020 4:33:25 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: noiseman
There are always sharks in the bay genius.
14
posted on
03/16/2020 4:37:36 PM PDT
by
SanchoP
(DC is the deep state.)
To: cherry
Yes we need herd immunity. I certainly don’t want to see you become ill, or heaven forbid, die. Keeping those who would relish a complete collapse of the US economy from ever getting near the White House and Congress will do a lot to make the world a better place for your children and grandchildren.
15
posted on
03/16/2020 4:41:32 PM PDT
by
lastchance
(Credo.)
To: winoneforthegipper
“The global impact of COVID-19 has been profound...”
This needs to be corrected... Let’s see.
The ginned-up, media driven, hysterical global impact of COVID-19 has been ridiculous...
That’s better.
16
posted on
03/16/2020 4:45:59 PM PDT
by
PubliusMM
(RKBA; a matter of fact, not opinion. Mr Trump, we've got your six.)
To: PubliusMM
Certainly our media has used this as another weapon of Trump destruction but
What is happening in northern Italy is real time input for statistical modeling.
The treat is very real.
17
posted on
03/16/2020 4:49:39 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: winoneforthegipper
Unmitigated case prediction: 2million deaths, and this thing will end by August.
With mitigation/social distancing: Around 10-20,000 deaths (same as flu or fewer), but the disease will persist until the end of the year 2020.
18
posted on
03/16/2020 4:51:09 PM PDT
by
nwrep
To: nwrep
The take away is the extreme isolation.
19
posted on
03/16/2020 4:57:36 PM PDT
by
winoneforthegipper
("If you can't ride two horses at once, you probably shouldn't be in the circus" - SP)
To: SanchoP
20
posted on
03/16/2020 5:17:21 PM PDT
by
Grampa Dave
((FearRepublic.com - keeping the media panic narrative going 24/7 to finally bring down Trump)!!!!)
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