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Four years ago, Trump carried the state by 3.6 points, when the pre-election polls (according to RealClearPolitics) had him ahead by only 0.6 points. Just seven days before the election, the polls showed Hillary ahead by 3.3 points. The takeaway is that Trump has a very good chance of carrying North Carolina again.

My issue with this poll is with the Senate and Governor elections. Four years ago, the Republicans outperformed in the Senate race relative to the Presidential, winning by 5.6 points. This poll shows the Republican underperforming in the Senate race by 5 points. That would be a huge swing.

Turning to the Governor race, four years ago, the Democrats outperformed in the Governor race relative to the Presidential by just enough to win. This poll has the Democrat ahead by 13 points. Again, that would be a huge swing.

1 posted on 08/16/2020 4:14:31 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: Redmen4ever

I never bought the claims that Biden was leading here. Trump is going to win North Carolina again.


2 posted on 08/16/2020 4:17:59 PM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: Redmen4ever

What were the two bellweather counties, One in FL and one is IA (I think) that have been 100% accurate and all inside pollsters watch? I used to have a bookmark but have lost it.


3 posted on 08/16/2020 4:18:07 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Polls are no longer designed to measure public sentiment but to influence it.)
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To: Redmen4ever

so trump is up by about 8%.

That’s close to being past the margin of fraud, but still too close.


4 posted on 08/16/2020 4:18:59 PM PDT by for-q-clinton
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To: Redmen4ever

What’s maddening is that Cooper won because he painted his opponent as bad for business because of the bathroom controversy four years ago. Yet Cooper is VERY BAD for business in North Carolina. He’s the southern version of Cuomo. I’m surprised he has this much support.


5 posted on 08/16/2020 4:20:15 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: Redmen4ever

the key component when cheating in an election...

make people think it’ll be close

and when you win by a few percentage points, no one questions it

NO ONE thinks biden will win. any such polls are trying to push a narrative to manufacture a reality favorable to cheating


6 posted on 08/16/2020 4:23:21 PM PDT by sten (fighting tyranny never goes out of style)
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To: Redmen4ever
Data were collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only (n=879) and an online panel provided by Lucid (n=376).

Landlines???? REALLY? How many people are still tethered to that antiquated system in this day and age? They distorted their poll from the get-go with their methodology. LANDLINES? It was reported about two years ago that the entire state of Illinois had only ~19,000 residential landlines still connected. The rest were business landlines.

7 posted on 08/16/2020 4:24:17 PM PDT by Swordmaker (My pistol self-identifies as an iPad, so you must accept it in gun-free zones, you hoplophobe bigot1)
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To: Redmen4ever

If this is the robo poll that called me last week they took info from a registered republican who voted for Trump in the last election and is now disgusted with him and is voting for Biden and all Democrats.


18 posted on 08/16/2020 4:48:34 PM PDT by Rebelbase
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To: Redmen4ever

21 posted on 08/16/2020 4:51:09 PM PDT by 4Liberty (As a conservative college professor I'll pro'ly be fired soon & then killed. Been nice knowing you!)
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To: Redmen4ever

Biden is not going to win any state Trump won and will lose Minnesota New Hampshire maybe Colorado and Virginia. He has an outside chance of winning Washington State where he lost by About 7 points. Trump has rung up four 30 plus enthusiasm haps favoring him


22 posted on 08/16/2020 4:52:15 PM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: Redmen4ever

FLORIDA DUDE POLL. North Carolina Trump 54%, Biden 41%, and others/undecided 5%. Trump+13

Democrat Incumbent Roy Cooper 43%, Republican Challenger Dan Forest 49%, and others/undecided 8%.


27 posted on 08/16/2020 5:28:50 PM PDT by revivaljoe
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To: Redmen4ever

Northeast NC is solid red


28 posted on 08/16/2020 5:32:20 PM PDT by elpadre
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To: Redmen4ever

This poll shows the Republican underperforming in the Senate race by 5 points. “

I just find this incomprehensible. NC is really read to hand the Senate to the rats? RBG will be gone by the end of the year. I know just hanging here gives a skewed impression but with all the insanity coming from the rats I just cannot believe it.


30 posted on 08/16/2020 5:49:39 PM PDT by iamgalt
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