POLL WATCH FOR JUNE 5, 2003 -- EDWARDS NOT GAINING TRACTION!!!!!! (RNC RESEARCH)

Republican National Committee ^ | 5 June 2003 | RNC Research

[PhiKapMom]

RNC RESEARCH

POLL WATCH FOR JUNE 5, 2003

EDWARDS NOT GAINING TRACTION

Edwards Far Behind In National And Birth State Polls

NATIONWIDE

Lieberman Lead Slips. A CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll asked, “After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Democratic nomination for president in the year 2004 …”

No One/No Opinion - 20
Joe Lieberman - 20
John Kerry - 17
Dick Gephardt - 14
Al Sharpton - 7
John Edwards - 6
Howard Dean - 5
Bob Graham - 4
Carol Moseley Braun - 4
Dennis Kucinich - 2
Other - 1

(CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll, 403 Democrats And Democrat-Leaning Independents Nationwide, Conducted 5/30/03 – 6/1/03, Margin Of Error +/- 5%)

IN THE STATES

CALIFORNIA (Primary March 2, 2004)

In Bay Area, “Not Sure/No Preference” Beats Top Three Hopefuls Combined! A KGO-TV Poll of Bay Area Democrats asked. “If the election were being held today, which one of these candidates would you prefer?”

Not Sure/No Preference - 40%
Lieberman - 13
Kerry - 13
Dean - 13
Gephardt - 8
Edwards - 4
Braun - 4
Kucinich - 2
Graham - 2
Sharpton - 1

(Hertz Research Poll For KGO-TV, Asked Of Democrats In Sample Of 1,153 Bay Area Residents, Conducted 5/20-25/03, Margin Of Error +/- 3%)

NEW HAMPSHIRE (Primary January 24, 2004)

Kerry Takes Lead Over Dean. American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll asked likely Democrat primary voters, “If the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary were being held today between [the names listed below], for whom would you vote? (NAMES ROTATED)”

John Kerry - 26%
Undecided - 20
Howard Dean - 19
Dick Gephardt - 12
Joe Lieberman - 12
John Edwards - 3
Bob Graham - 3
Wesley Clark - 2
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 1
Al Sharpton - 1

(American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll, 600 Likely New Hampshire Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 5/19-22/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)

But Gore Draft Would Sap Kerry Votes. The poll then asked, “What if a campaign were organized to draft Al Gore in the New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary. Would you vote for Al Gore in the primary, or not?”

Al Gore - 25%
John Kerry - 17
Howard Dean - 16
Undecided - 15
Joe Lieberman - 12
Dick Gephardt - 7
Wesley Clark - 2
John Edwards - 2
Bob Graham - 1
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 1
Al Sharpton - 1

(American Research Group’s The New Hampshire Poll, 600 Likely New Hampshire Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 5/19-22/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)

IOWA (Caucus January 19, 2004)

Gephardt Still Well Below 1988 Vote Total. Gephardt received 31.3% of the vote in Iowa’s 1988 Caucus, but a Mason-Dixon Poll asked likely Democrat voters who they would choose in the 2004 caucuses:

Undecided - 37%
Dick Gephardt - 25
John Kerry - 13
Joe Lieberman - 9
Howard Dean - 7
John Edwards - 6
Carol Moseley Braun - 2
Bob Graham - 1
Dennis Kucinich - --
Al Sharpton - --

(“Caucus Results,” Iowa Official Register, 1999-2000, p. 377; Mason-Dixon Poll, 300 Likely Democrat Caucus Voters, Conducted 5/5-9/03, Margin Of Error +/- 5.8%)

SOUTH CAROLINA (Primary February 3, 2004)

Edwards Far Behind In First-In-South, Birth State Primary. When likely primary voters in South Carolina were asked, “If the South Carolina Democratic Presidential Preference Primary were being held today between [candidates listed below] for whom would you vote? (NAMES ROTATED)”

Undecided - 47%
Joe Lieberman - 19
Dick Gephardt - 9
John Kerry - 8
John Edwards - 7
Al Sharpton - 3
Howard Dean - 2
Bob Graham - 2
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Joe Biden - 1
Gary Hart - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 0
Wesley Clark - 0

(American Research Group Poll Of 600 Registered S.C. Likely Democrat Primary Voters, Conducted 4/24-29/03, Margin Of Error +/- 4%)

A Publication of the RNC Research Department

[Paleo Conservative]

[Jorge]

Like you, I was concerned about Edwards at first and then started paying attention to him! No way could he win!

Same here. He is definitely one of those candidates who has this initial appeal..but the closer you look, the less likable he is.

I really don't think the Dems have a candidate who comes close to George Bush. They all look like losers to me.

Unless something goes drastically wrong for GW..like maybe the economy tanks...I believe he will win a second term.

[fml]

"I for one hope no preference is nominated! :-)"

_________________________

LOL...me too.

[BonnieJ]

Does anyone think the WMD issue will last for weeks or even months as a negative for Pres. Bush, or is it just the latest talking points? It's worrisome that P.M. Blair is also being attacked & investigated about it. Hopefully they'll soon find something substantial in Iraq and it will become just a memory like all the rest of their planned attacks. I saw David Corn on Hannity & Colmes tonight and he brought up the "Bush AWOL from the Guard" lie and Ann Lewis jumped right in, not a word from Hannity as usual. We will hear plenty of that over the next 18 months, esp. if Kerry is the nominee. Why doesn't someone just come out and refute it with facts? Or have they?

[Mind-numbed Robot]

Sen. Bob Graham was a late entry but he has now pulled even with Carol Moseley Braun. See what money will do for a candidate? :-)

[PhiKapMom]

LOL!!!!!!!!!!!! That cracked me up when you put it that way!

[PhiKapMom]

These Dem candidates have zero appeal it seems. A lot of arrogant people running!

[Carolina]

Oh, please, please, let Johnny Boy keep focused on the presidential race. That way, Foreskin Bowels and Danny Blue are waiting...and waiting [in the wings while Blow Dry Johnny decides]....I want Burr to win his Senate seat.

[PhiKapMom]

LOL!!! People in Florida feel the same about Graham!

[Carolina]

Graham's too busy writing notes in his little diary--he's got gravitas.

[Jorge]

Does anyone think the WMD issue will last for weeks or even months as a negative for Pres. Bush, or is it just the latest talking points? It's worrisome that P.M. Blair is also being attacked & investigated about it. Hopefully they'll soon find something substantial in Iraq and it will become just a memory like all the rest of their planned attacks.

These same Democrats who are attacking Bush never disputed the intelligence reports on WMDs before..and in fact most of them encouraged Clinton to take action against Saddam for his WMDs.

They never disputed the UN Security Council which claimed there were tons of bio and chemical weapons unaccounted for..they all voted to give Bush the authority to disarm Saddam.

They even warned of the dire consequences of Saddam using his WMDs against us.

Now they are pretending they never existed and Bush lied. These people are such transparent hypocrites..they only make themselves look bad.

Unfortunately Europe is so full of liberal flakes who are totally out of touch with reality...if we don't find the WMDs..it could hurt Blair politically.

[Moosehead]

Is Grahem up for re-election in 2004?

[eeman]

I saw Edwards on Tim Russert about six months ago. Russert just took him apart. Edwards was contradicting himself within 2-3 sentences and just burying himself deeper with every utterance.

Before that interview, I was worried about another Southern Schlickmeister. Now, however, I hope he ends up being the nominee (not gonna happen). I would just love to see him fall apart under pressure during presidential debates.

I was suprised that a trial lawyer could look that inept. I guess he is not used to being on the receiving end of hard questions

[PhiKapMom]

He is up for reelection and hasn't decided if he is going to run for Senate is my understanding! I pinged some FL Freepers who should know!

[ARCADIA]

With this bunch of uninspired second stringers the Dems should running FDR. Yes, he is quite dead, but that hasn't been a problem for them in the past. Hillary can run as his VP and fill in after he is elected. (sarcasm - I hope?)

[PhiKapMom]

LOL!!!!!!! Now that is the most novel idea I have seen yet. With the Clintons anything is possible!

[votelife]

Florida freeper here. My best guess is that Graham doesn't want to be in the Senate (bc he'd likely be in the minority) anymore. He's getting old. I think he wants VP and seeing as Edwards basically adds all of nothing to the ticket, I'd say there's a fair chance Graham is the VP nominee. If he doesn't get VP (forget about Pres) than I think he'll be lobbied VERY hard to stay in the Senate, but who knows.

[Reagan is King]

Joe Lieberman - 19
Dick Gephardt - 9
John Kerry - 8
John Edwards - 7
Al Sharpton - 3
Howard Dean - 2
Bob Graham - 2
Carol Moseley Braun - 1
Joe Biden - 1
Gary Hart - 1
Dennis Kucinich - 0
Wesley Clark - 0

---

Yes folks, this is the best the Democratic has to offer for President. Pathetic!

[PhiKapMom]

Thanks for the update on Graham. Talk about a dull candidate for VP -- Graham will be it!

[Reagan Man]

What a sorry bunch of candidates.

At this rate, Bush will win with 60%!