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A Final Push for the Bedeviled, Beloved Osprey
The New York Times ^ | 07/06/03 | LESLIE WAYNE

Posted on 07/05/2003 1:49:46 PM PDT by Pokey78

PATUXENT RIVER
NAVAL AIR STATION, Md.

IN the clear summer sky, the V-22 Osprey was showing its stuff. It went backward, zoomed at an angle, hovered close to the ground and then shot straight up into the air. Buck Rogers himself couldn't have created a more dramatic sight: a hybrid craft, half helicopter and half airplane, that danced in the sky and appeared to defy the laws of aerodynamics.

It was exactly the performance the Marine Corps wanted to show.

After two decades in development, the Marines, along with the Osprey's contractors, Boeing and the Bell Helicopter subsidiary of Textron, are making their final push to gain Pentagon approval for the Osprey, an aircraft as high in promise as in problems. The government has spent more than $12 billion so far on the Osprey, which has the notoriety of having suffered three fatal crashes in test flights, leading to the deaths of 30 people, 26 of them Marines.

Still, the Marines are determined, and they see the Osprey as crucial to their mission in the world. "It won't be long before everyone wants one of these," said Col. Daniel Schultz, the V-22 program manager. It's not hard to see why. The Osprey, which can take off like a helicopter and fly like a plane, can travel twice as fast and five times as far as the Marines' current helicopter fleet, from the Vietnam era. "It's the promise of the future," he added.

It is a future that some people hope never comes. Neither the Osprey's razzle-dazzle aerobatics nor the Marine Corps's doggedness has been able to silence critics, who remain convinced that the Osprey's design is too complicated and inherently flawed, that the craft is being pushed into production without adequate testing and that it is simply too dangerous and too expensive.

"The Marines have a tremendous can-do attitude," said Philip E. Coyle III, a senior adviser at the Center for Defense Information, a military research group in Washington. "But when they're overly committed to a program like this, they can end up looking foolish as well as killing people." Mr. Coyle is a former assistant defense secretary who ran the Pentagon's weapons testing program in the 1990's.

Just last May, the General Accounting Office offered its own criticisms. It said the Osprey program "plans to enter full-rate production without ensuring that the manufacturing processes are mature" and that Osprey production continues with inadequate assessments.

But critics fear that the passion of its supporters and the weight of history will keep moving the project along. "The Osprey is on the road to recovery, and the proponents are pushing really hard," said Chris Hellman, a director at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, a research group in Washington. "My problems with the Osprey remain. The V-22 has gotten to the point where so much money has gone into it, it will probably go ahead regardless."

 
OR maybe not. Despite this aura of inevitability, the Marines and Osprey contractors know that, given the craft's troubled history, they can afford no more missteps. Clouding their optimism is the fear that something — again — could go terribly wrong. Should the Osprey have another fatal accident, even as strong a supporter as Colonel Schultz acknowledges, "we'd be out of business."

For that reason, the Osprey's backers are pulling out all the stops. After being removed from the skies for more than a year and a half after two fatal crashes in 2000, the Osprey is undergoing a redesigned round of test flights the Marines say should silence critics and ensure that the craft is safe.

In addition, the Osprey is starring in a publicity campaign aimed at opinion makers, both inside government and out. Members of the news media, as well as members of Congress, are being brought to the naval base here to see the Osprey put through its paces.

By the end of 2005, the Pentagon will decide whether to ask Congress to finance a combat-ready fleet of 458 Ospreys — at a projected price of $48 billion. The bulk of the Ospreys would go to the Marines, with 98 for the Army Special Forces and the Navy. For the most part, the Osprey is designed for amphibious troop transport and assault.

The Osprey has also received backing from the Bush administration, which is calling for a "low rate" production of 11 test Ospreys annually in the fiscal 2004 Pentagon budget. A big boost came in May, when the Pentagon's departing weapons chief had an 11th-hour conversion and, on his last day on the job, switched from being a critic to a supporter.

That official, Under Secretary of Defense Edward C. Aldridge Jr., who previously said he had "some real problems" with the Osprey, said he had changed his mind because recent tests gave him "sufficient confidence" in its safety and reliability. In a statement, he added that the craft would provide "much-needed capability to the war fighter" and even called for increasing Osprey production above the current 11 test planes a year, of which 7 are now in the skies. A spokesman for Mr. Aldridge said he was not available to comment on his change.

Aiding the Marines' push in Washington are two formidable lobbying powerhouses, Boeing and Textron. Each is a 50 percent partner in the Osprey and has platoons of lobbyists working Capitol Hill, along with those of the Osprey's many subcontractors.

An example of their efforts was on display last month as Boeing, Bell Helicopter and the Marines jointly sponsored a V-22 media expo at the naval base here to demonstrate the Osprey's prowess to those who could spread the word. Wearing identical sea-foam-green polo shirts with a V-22 logo, dozens of Boeing and Bell employees, along with similarly clad Osprey subcontractors, set up booths in the airfield's hangar to promote their wares and echo the positive spin of the Marines. "Forward with Confidence," was the theme.

The enthusiasm of Boeing and Bell is not surprising. Right now, each Osprey has a price tag of $68.7 million; by comparison, an F-16 fighter jet costs around $20 million. One of the challenges for the Osprey program is to bring the per-craft cost down to around $58 million, a number critics say is still staggeringly expensive for a craft that is essentially a replacement helicopter.

With numbers this large, the Osprey is expected to give each company up to $20 billion over the life of the 12-year project. For Boeing, which had revenue of $54 billion last year, this is a nice additional source of cash. For Bell Helicopter, it is more important than that. Even today, the project accounts for 38 percent of the annual revenue of Bell Helicopter, which also wants to use the Osprey's tilt-rotor technology to make a commercial version of the craft. The Osprey also accounts for 6 percent of Textron's $10.7 billion revenue.

"While Boeing has a lot in development, Textron does not have any new military helicopters," said Paul H. Nisbet, an aerospace analyst at JSA Research in Newport, R.I. "This is a major program for them." Luckily for Textron, it has the Marines. "In Washington, the Marines usually get what they want," Mr. Nisbet said.

 
IN a presentation before the aerial demonstration here, Colonel Schultz defended the revised testing program that began when the Osprey returned to the skies in May 2002. In the new program, many of Osprey's initial developmental tests were eliminated — to the dismay of many critics — and replaced with ones that Colonel Schultz said were better designed to simulate battlefield conditions and address the problems underlying the crashes. The main problems involved the Osprey's aerodynamics and hydraulics.

"This has not been a fluffy flight-test program," said Colonel Schultz, with a model V-22 in his hand to demonstrate his points. "It's time to take another look at this plane. We have made incredible strides. We have confidence in this plane, and we are ready to give it to the fleet."

Not only do the Osprey's backers feel that it's good enough for the military, they also feel it is good enough for the president. They are angling to have a V-22 Osprey selected in the current competition to replace Marine One, the presidential helicopter. "It would be perfect for the president," said Bob Leder, a spokesman for Bell Helicopter.

Among the unconvinced are retired military aviators, some members of Congress and other military industry analysts. They say the problems behind the multiple crashes have not been resolved and that the complicated design is only setting up the Osprey for more tragic problems — the current optimism notwithstanding. For years, a group of retired military aviators, calling itself the "red ribbon panel," has issued one critical warning after another.

"While there are some very good design tricks, it's got the same basic problems," said Harry P. Dunn, a retired Air Force colonel who heads the group. "It's not a question of if someone gets killed, but when."

Most critics say the Osprey lacks enough maneuverability at low altitudes, and they question whether the manufacturers have solved an aerodynamic problem, called vortex ring state, that caused an April 2000 crash in Arizona in which 19 Marines died. In that condition, the craft becomes caught in its own turbulence and loses lift.

Representative Jim Gibbons, a Nevada Republican who flew F-4's in Vietnam and in the Persian Gulf war as an Air Force combat pilot, is a doubter, too. "This has all the earmarks of becoming the Edsel of the aviation industry," he said. "The Osprey is a nice tool, but is it the right tool in the circumstances?" asked Mr. Gibbons, a member of the House Armed Services Committee.

He questions Osprey's effectiveness at high altitudes, like the mountains of Afghanistan. He also says the downdraft that comes from the Osprey's powerful rotors as it hovers is so great as to make Marine rescue missions impossible, especially over water.

Yet with Boeing, Bell and Osprey subcontractors spreading V-22 work in over 40 states and 200 Congressional districts, Mr. Gibbons is one of the few critics in Congress. "The industry has a very heavy hand when it comes to making the program work in Washington," he said. "All they have to do is go to Congress with those employees."

The history of Osprey crashes casts a long shadow over the sales effort. The April 2000 crash that killed 19 Marines occurred just as the Pentagon was to decide whether to approve the Osprey. The following December, an Osprey crashed in a forest outside Jacksonville, N.C., killing four more Marines. After that crash, which was attributed to a leak in hydraulic lines, the Osprey was grounded and testing suspended.

Nearly a decade earlier, in July 1992, a test Osprey crashed into the Potomac River, killing four Boeing employees and three Marines. Even at that early date, the Osprey was catching flak. Vice President Dick Cheney, who was defense secretary at the time, repeatedly tried to halt the program, arguing that it was too costly. But every time he tried to starve the Osprey for financing, he was overruled by a Congress that kept the money flowing.

 
AT the Osprey demonstration here, Colonel Schultz and his team of test pilots put the Osprey through aerial paces intended to counter specific complaints. In a mere 12 seconds, the craft can tilt its rotor, switching from helicopter to airplane mode. As the Osprey hovered like a helicopter 25 feet off the ground, doing a tap dance of gyrations, Colonel Schultz said: "Can't maneuver? I believe this shows maneuvers."

The craft then rocked back and forth in the air, did a nose dive toward the ground, hovered, and finally put its nose in the air and headed upward. It even demonstrated that it could land with only one engine. (The other was idling.) When the Osprey finished its 15-minute show, it dropped out of the sky and put its rotors into the air. Then, one by one, each blade of the rotor collapsed downward, like fading flower petals. Once collapsed, the blades then bundled themselves together. With its blades compactly tucked away in this fashion, the Osprey showed that it would not take up a lot of space on an aircraft deck — addressing another complaint.

As he stepped out of the Osprey, Boeing's top V-22 test pilot, Thomas L. MacDonald, said the air show here explained why the Marines are so gung-ho for the Osprey. "As a former Navy airplane and helicopter pilot, I'm acutely aware of the limitations of both," Mr. MacDonald said. "With the Osprey, the Marines will be able to get to the fight without dying on the way and get out without being killed on the way back."  


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: osprey
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1 posted on 07/05/2003 1:49:47 PM PDT by Pokey78
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To: Pokey78
Maybe Boeing and Textron should settle for the $7 billion they've already gotten from this program.
2 posted on 07/05/2003 1:56:50 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Cicero
Sorry, $12 billion.
3 posted on 07/05/2003 1:57:17 PM PDT by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Pokey78
Each of the V-22 aircraft being tested requires 122 mechanics to keep it viable and at least 12 clerical staff to make sure the records reflect the desired results. This is a terrible program and should be scrapped. The time and money being wasted could be put to much better use developing something that would work.

The diversity police have just forced Bell and the Pentagon to have the plate on the underside of each V-22 machine which says "LOOK OUT ABOVE, FALLING SCRAP METAL!!" also printed in six other languages to help save folks as these crash outside the US.

4 posted on 07/05/2003 2:01:41 PM PDT by Tacis
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To: Tacis
Another issue: It will take a full year of training before anyone trusts a pilot in one of those to carry troops again, especially into combat that isn't kamakazi oriented.

USMC 1977-1981
6 posted on 07/05/2003 2:54:03 PM PDT by RaceBannon
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To: RaceBannon
Remember now that this story is from the New York Times which is not exactly friendly to the military. They would rather see the money spent on social programs. I would want to see more sources before making up my mind on the subject. Parley
7 posted on 07/05/2003 3:47:00 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: Parley Baer
Simple problem solver....

have the CEO, CFO, retired Marine "consultants" and 1 congressman fly the Osprey for the next year exclusivly on short trips. Rotate the congressional supporters weekly so that they all can demonstrate how "useful" this machine is.

I mean, it's good enough to transport troops into a hot LZ. So why not a safe little commute around the country.... seems easy enough.

Greed....follow the money.

8 posted on 07/05/2003 4:11:50 PM PDT by Dick Vomer
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To: Pokey78
Amazingly well balanced article for the NYT.

As a former Army pilot (Vietnam - '68-'70), I'm still in the "inherently flawed" camp on the V-22. When they demonstrate that it can safely land with NO engine power, I'll reconsider....
9 posted on 07/05/2003 5:01:44 PM PDT by Bobsat
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To: Pokey78
I wonder how many bucks Linda Dasshole has made off this boondogle?

Nice idea, the Osprey, maybe just a little ahead of it's time?

10 posted on 07/05/2003 5:25:40 PM PDT by upchuck (Contribute to "Republicans for Al Sharpton for President in 2004." Dial 1-800-SLAPTHADONKEY :)
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To: Pokey78
After two decades in development...

Time to quit flogging the dead horse already.

11 posted on 07/05/2003 5:58:51 PM PDT by Prof Engineer (I'm a man, But I can change, If I have to, I guess)
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To: SMEDLEYBUTLER
...
12 posted on 07/05/2003 6:01:49 PM PDT by dighton (NLC™)
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To: Bobsat
Do one successful auto-rotation and I'll be sold
13 posted on 07/05/2003 8:12:54 PM PDT by Chief_Airframer (Initiated..... And PROUD of it!)
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To: Chief_Airframer
Do one successful auto-rotation and I'll be sold

I don't think they're even claiming that it can theoretically autorotate....

Any landing that results in injury or aircraft damage is called a "crash" just to make that point clear before the V-22 apologists get here.

14 posted on 07/05/2003 9:26:33 PM PDT by Bobsat
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To: Pokey78
Once again, the NYT cites the extreme-left, anti-military Center for Defense Information, a onetime Soviet front, as an objective organisation. I call BS!

d.o.l.

Criminal Number 18F
15 posted on 07/05/2003 9:59:34 PM PDT by Criminal Number 18F
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: Parley Baer
Remember now that this story is from the New York Times which is not exactly friendly to the military...

It's still an obvious deathtrap. And if it wasn't, it's still hideously expensive. Somebody in the world must be able to gear up to make enough helicopters to replace the old Sea Knights and etc.

17 posted on 07/06/2003 6:07:05 AM PDT by eno_
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To: Pokey78
If Dick Cheney was against it, it must be bad.
18 posted on 07/06/2003 8:21:00 AM PDT by MaxPlus305
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Comment #19 Removed by Moderator

Comment #20 Removed by Moderator


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